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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Machine Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #472 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

41%

“Machine Operator” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 41% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

61%

“Machine Operator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate equipment used for applying concrete, asphalt, or other materials to road beds, parking lots, or airport runways and taxiways or for tamping gravel, dirt, or other materials. Includes concrete and asphalt paving machine operators, form tampers, tamping machine operators, and stone spreader operators.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,660
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.20
Available Jobs (US) 45,680
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators #47-2071
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Observe distribution of paving material to adjust machine settings or material flow, and indicate low spots for workers to add material.

  • Set up and tear down equipment.

  • Operate machines that clean or cut expansion joints in concrete or asphalt and that rout out cracks in pavement.

  • Operate oil distributors, loaders, chip spreaders, dump trucks, and snow plows.

  • Drive and operate curbing machines to extrude concrete or asphalt curbing.

  • Cut or break up pavement and drive guardrail posts, using machines equipped with interchangeable hammers.

  • Start machine, engage clutch, and push and move levers to guide machine along forms or guidelines and to control the operation of machine attachments.

  • Light burners or start heating units of machines, and regulate screed temperatures and asphalt flow rates.

  • Set up forms and lay out guidelines for curbs, according to written specifications, using string, spray paint, and concrete or water mixes.

  • Operate tamping machines or manually roll surfaces to compact earth fills, foundation forms, and finished road materials, according to grade specifications.

  • Coordinate truck dumping.

  • Shovel blacktop.

  • Place strips of material, such as cork, asphalt, or steel into joints, or place rolls of expansion-joint material on machines that automatically insert material.

  • Drive machines onto truck trailers, and drive trucks to transport machines and material to and from job sites.

  • Inspect, clean, maintain, and repair equipment, using mechanics' hand tools, or report malfunctions to supervisors.

  • Operate machines to spread, smooth, level, or steel-reinforce stone, concrete, or asphalt on road beds.

  • Control paving machines to push dump trucks and to maintain a constant flow of asphalt or other material into hoppers or screeds.

  • Control traffic.

  • Fill tanks, hoppers, or machines with paving materials.

  • Install dies, cutters, and extensions to screeds onto machines, using hand tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Word processing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Warehouse management system WMS
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Time report software
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Autodesk AutoCAD Civil 3D
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Procore AI
  • Buildots AI
  • Email software
  • Transit levels
  • Cold in-place recyclers
  • Asphalt paving machines
  • Claw hammers
  • Vibratory rollers
  • Liquid asphalt storage equipment
  • Respirators
  • Hot mix material transfer devices
  • Snowplows
  • Locking pliers
  • Rolling machines
  • Asphalt heating equipment
  • Windrow pickup machines
  • Motor graders
  • Cold planers
  • Asphalt distributor trucks
  • Paving curbing machines
  • Milling machines
  • Wheel loaders
  • Vibrating concrete screeds
  • Two way radios
  • Jackhammers
  • Static rollers
  • Rubber-tired asphalt pavers
  • Compactors
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Nut drivers
  • Robotic paving machines
  • Dump trucks
  • Personal computers
  • Straightedges
  • Concrete paving machines
  • Manual rollers
  • Chip spreaders
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • String lines
  • Road heater-planers
  • Paving finishing machines
  • Profiling equipment
  • Slip form machines
  • Desktop computers
  • Asphalt mixing equipment
  • Self-propelled material transfer devices
  • Pneumatic paving breakers
  • Skid steer loaders
  • Oil distributors
  • Automatic paving control systems
  • Pneumatic rollers
  • Pavement marking machines
  • Laser levels
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Surveying tapes
  • Power extendable screeds
  • Tamping machines
  • Flatbed truck trailers
  • Rubber-track asphalt pavers
  • Concrete saws
  • Asphalt rakes