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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Roofer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #535 of 702. Estimated risk: 90.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Commercial Roofer” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Commercial Roofer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Roofers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,090
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.45
Available Jobs (US) 136,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Roofers #47-2181
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Roofers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install layers of vegetation-based green roofs, including protective membranes, drainage, aeration, water retention and filter layers, soil substrates, irrigation materials, and plants.

  • Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.

  • Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.

  • Punch holes in slate, tile, terra cotta, or wooden shingles, using punches and hammers.

  • Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.

  • Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.

  • Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.

  • Install skylights on roofs to increase natural light inside structures or to reduce energy costs.

  • Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.

  • Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

  • Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.

  • Smooth rough spots to prepare surfaces for waterproofing, using hammers, chisels, or rubbing bricks.

  • Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.

  • Cover exposed nailheads with roofing cement or caulking to prevent water leakage or rust.

  • Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.

  • Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.

  • Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.

  • Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.

  • Apply modular soil- and plant-containing grids over existing roof membranes to create green roofs.

  • Attach solar panels to existing roofs, according to specifications and without damaging roofing materials or the structural integrity of buildings.

  • Spray roofs, sidings, or walls to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures, using spray guns, air compressors, or heaters.

  • Cement or nail flashing strips of metal or shingle over joints to make them watertight.

  • Glaze top layers to make a smooth finish or embed gravel in the bitumen for rough surfaces.

  • Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.

  • Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.

  • Apply gravel or pebbles over top layers of roofs, using rakes or stiff-bristled brooms.

  • Cut felt, shingles, or strips of flashing to fit angles formed by walls, vents, or intersecting roof surfaces.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Word
  • Word processing software
  • Procore AI
  • ASR Software TopView LE
  • CADAFIS
  • Roof Pro Estimate Software Roof Pro
  • Roofing Calculator
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • AppliCad Roof Wizard
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Buildots AI
  • DigiTools Roof CAD
  • ASR Software LWC-Plus
  • RoofLogic
  • Maintenance record software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Energy cost evaluation software
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Humidity and vapor drive calculation software
  • ASR Software Taper-Plus
  • Exele TopView
  • Ziatek RoofDraw
  • Wintac Pro
  • ASR Software TopView ME
  • Round-point trowels
  • Torches
  • Corner roofing seamers
  • Roofing shoes
  • Scaffolding
  • Heat welders
  • Claw hammers
  • Shingle rippers
  • Shake tear-off tools
  • Downspout crimpers
  • Putty knives
  • Single burner draw kettles
  • Ladders
  • Seaming hammers
  • Measuring tapes
  • Tin snips
  • Fixed-roof brackets
  • Tear-off shovels
  • Safety lanyards
  • Pry bars
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Double-burner pump kettles
  • Air compressors
  • Wood shingling hatchets
  • Roofing coil nailers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Carpenters' hatchets
  • Shingle saws
  • Soldering irons
  • Hand crimpers
  • Membrane slitters
  • Riggers' axes
  • Utility knives
  • Snips
  • Seaming chisels
  • Standard roofing hatchets
  • Grooving tools
  • Tinsmith pliers
  • Single seamers
  • Welding hoods
  • Slaters' anvils
  • Hand punches
  • Clipping shears
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Wood chisels
  • Hoisting wheels
  • Semiautomatic welding machines
  • Core cutters
  • Two-handed edgers
  • Nail pullers
  • Triangular scales
  • Metric roofing hatchets
  • Roofing spades
  • Caulking guns
  • Desktop computers
  • Rolling magnetic sweepers
  • Korker cleats
  • Pneumatic air nailers
  • Adjustable roof brackets
  • Spud/scraper bars
  • Shingle shovels
  • Tear-off bars
  • Straight snips
  • Wrecking bars
  • Laser printers
  • Angle knives
  • Single burner pump kettles
  • Draw knives
  • Ladder jacks
  • Rip hammers
  • Compound snips
  • Trolley track hoists
  • Double-lock seamers
  • Notebook computers
  • Shingle ladder hoists
  • Roofing tearoff forks
  • Nail hammers
  • Roofing layout tapes
  • Hot air welding machines
  • Bitumen applicators
  • Pointing trowels
  • Gravelers
  • Bench-mount hand brakes
  • Axes
  • Roofing knives
  • Hammers
  • Roof hooks
  • Roofing guardrails
  • Ladder standoffs
  • Heating torches
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Slate rippers
  • Sheet metal hand tongs
  • Gas-powered chop saws
  • Power roof rippers
  • Cleat benders
  • Measuring wheels
  • Power roof cutters
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Ladder levelers
  • Hammer tackers
  • Roof pitch finders
  • Circular saws
  • Ladder braces
  • Seaming pliers
  • Slate cutters
  • Safety belts
  • Personal computers
  • Spud bars
  • Shears
  • Scraper/pullers
  • Tar mops
  • Roofing seamers
  • Short ladder hoisting wheels
  • Chicken ladders
  • Nail strippers
  • Chalk line markers
  • Plastic hammers
  • Long ladder hoisting wheels
  • Hot or cold process power gravelers
  • Hydraulic swing beam hoists
  • Foot squaring shears
  • Roof dryers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Slate hammers
  • Power hoists
  • Seam finishing machines
  • Rotary machines
  • Hand roofing double seamers
  • Hot air blowers
  • Propane torches
  • Trowels
  • Power drills