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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Roofer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #535 of 702. Estimated risk: 90.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Commercial Roofer” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Commercial Roofer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Roofers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,090
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.45
Available Jobs (US) 136,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Roofers #47-2181
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Roofers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.

  • Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.

  • Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.

  • Cover exposed nailheads with roofing cement or caulking to prevent water leakage or rust.

  • Attach solar panels to existing roofs, according to specifications and without damaging roofing materials or the structural integrity of buildings.

  • Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.

  • Cement or nail flashing strips of metal or shingle over joints to make them watertight.

  • Spray roofs, sidings, or walls to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures, using spray guns, air compressors, or heaters.

  • Install layers of vegetation-based green roofs, including protective membranes, drainage, aeration, water retention and filter layers, soil substrates, irrigation materials, and plants.

  • Glaze top layers to make a smooth finish or embed gravel in the bitumen for rough surfaces.

  • Smooth rough spots to prepare surfaces for waterproofing, using hammers, chisels, or rubbing bricks.

  • Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.

  • Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.

  • Punch holes in slate, tile, terra cotta, or wooden shingles, using punches and hammers.

  • Apply gravel or pebbles over top layers of roofs, using rakes or stiff-bristled brooms.

  • Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.

  • Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.

  • Cut felt, shingles, or strips of flashing to fit angles formed by walls, vents, or intersecting roof surfaces.

  • Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.

  • Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.

  • Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.

  • Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.

  • Install skylights on roofs to increase natural light inside structures or to reduce energy costs.

  • Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.

  • Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.

  • Apply modular soil- and plant-containing grids over existing roof membranes to create green roofs.

  • Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Ziatek RoofDraw
  • AppliCad Roof Wizard
  • RoofLogic
  • Roof Pro Estimate Software Roof Pro
  • CADAFIS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Procore AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ASR Software TopView ME
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Word
  • Word processing software
  • Buildots AI
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • ASR Software Taper-Plus
  • ASR Software LWC-Plus
  • Microsoft Office software
  • DigiTools Roof CAD
  • Wintac Pro
  • Humidity and vapor drive calculation software
  • Maintenance record software
  • Energy cost evaluation software
  • Exele TopView
  • ASR Software TopView LE
  • Roofing Calculator
  • Adjustable roof brackets
  • Straight snips
  • Measuring tapes
  • Hand crimpers
  • Safety lanyards
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Angle knives
  • Wood shingling hatchets
  • Short ladder hoisting wheels
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Nail strippers
  • Foot squaring shears
  • Air compressors
  • Nail hammers
  • Hot or cold process power gravelers
  • Roofing guardrails
  • Shingle saws
  • Membrane slitters
  • Seam finishing machines
  • Draw knives
  • Corner roofing seamers
  • Laser printers
  • Trowels
  • Single burner draw kettles
  • Double-burner pump kettles
  • Rotary machines
  • Ladder standoffs
  • Wrecking bars
  • Standard roofing hatchets
  • Double-lock seamers
  • Shake tear-off tools
  • Bench-mount hand brakes
  • Propane torches
  • Core cutters
  • Circular saws
  • Hand roofing double seamers
  • Grooving tools
  • Utility knives
  • Shingle ladder hoists
  • Shears
  • Pointing trowels
  • Roofing tearoff forks
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Plastic hammers
  • Roofing coil nailers
  • Single burner pump kettles
  • Tinsmith pliers
  • Shingle shovels
  • Hammer tackers
  • Clipping shears
  • Caulking guns
  • Shingle rippers
  • Personal computers
  • Metric roofing hatchets
  • Tin snips
  • Torches
  • Spud bars
  • Slate rippers
  • Sheet metal hand tongs
  • Hot air blowers
  • Safety belts
  • Tear-off bars
  • Semiautomatic welding machines
  • Wood chisels
  • Nail pullers
  • Seaming pliers
  • Gravelers
  • Rolling magnetic sweepers
  • Desktop computers
  • Hot air welding machines
  • Roofing knives
  • Seaming hammers
  • Tar mops
  • Gas-powered chop saws
  • Ladder jacks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Scraper/pullers
  • Slate cutters
  • Two-handed edgers
  • Hammers
  • Heat welders
  • Long ladder hoisting wheels
  • Korker cleats
  • Riggers' axes
  • Hoisting wheels
  • Roof pitch finders
  • Ladder braces
  • Rip hammers
  • Ladder levelers
  • Chalk line markers
  • Compound snips
  • Bitumen applicators
  • Power drills
  • Power hoists
  • Claw hammers
  • Round-point trowels
  • Trolley track hoists
  • Roofing shoes
  • Fixed-roof brackets
  • Downspout crimpers
  • Welding hoods
  • Soldering irons
  • Snips
  • Chicken ladders
  • Scaffolding
  • Seaming chisels
  • Spud/scraper bars
  • Roof dryers
  • Putty knives
  • Notebook computers
  • Carpenters' hatchets
  • Roof hooks
  • Hydraulic swing beam hoists
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Roofing layout tapes
  • Slaters' anvils
  • Hand punches
  • Roofing seamers
  • Cleat benders
  • Tear-off shovels
  • Pry bars
  • Heating torches
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Power roof rippers
  • Power roof cutters
  • Axes
  • Pneumatic air nailers
  • Roofing spades
  • Slate hammers
  • Triangular scales
  • Single seamers
  • Ladders
  • Measuring wheels