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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Shingler” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #535 of 702. Estimated risk: 90.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Shingler” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Shingler” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Roofers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,090
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.45
Available Jobs (US) 136,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Roofers #47-2181
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Roofers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Punch holes in slate, tile, terra cotta, or wooden shingles, using punches and hammers.

  • Apply gravel or pebbles over top layers of roofs, using rakes or stiff-bristled brooms.

  • Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.

  • Cement or nail flashing strips of metal or shingle over joints to make them watertight.

  • Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.

  • Attach solar panels to existing roofs, according to specifications and without damaging roofing materials or the structural integrity of buildings.

  • Cover exposed nailheads with roofing cement or caulking to prevent water leakage or rust.

  • Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.

  • Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.

  • Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.

  • Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.

  • Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.

  • Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.

  • Spray roofs, sidings, or walls to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures, using spray guns, air compressors, or heaters.

  • Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.

  • Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.

  • Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.

  • Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.

  • Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.

  • Apply modular soil- and plant-containing grids over existing roof membranes to create green roofs.

  • Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

  • Smooth rough spots to prepare surfaces for waterproofing, using hammers, chisels, or rubbing bricks.

  • Install skylights on roofs to increase natural light inside structures or to reduce energy costs.

  • Install layers of vegetation-based green roofs, including protective membranes, drainage, aeration, water retention and filter layers, soil substrates, irrigation materials, and plants.

  • Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.

  • Glaze top layers to make a smooth finish or embed gravel in the bitumen for rough surfaces.

  • Cut felt, shingles, or strips of flashing to fit angles formed by walls, vents, or intersecting roof surfaces.

Technologies & Software

  • Word processing software
  • Humidity and vapor drive calculation software
  • Maintenance record software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Buildots AI
  • Ziatek RoofDraw
  • ASR Software LWC-Plus
  • Energy cost evaluation software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • AppliCad Roof Wizard
  • RoofLogic
  • ASR Software Taper-Plus
  • Roof Pro Estimate Software Roof Pro
  • Wintac Pro
  • DigiTools Roof CAD
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • ASR Software TopView ME
  • Roofing Calculator
  • ASR Software TopView LE
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Microsoft Excel
  • CADAFIS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Procore AI
  • Exele TopView
  • Ladder braces
  • Clipping shears
  • Pointing trowels
  • Foot squaring shears
  • Metric roofing hatchets
  • Trolley track hoists
  • Chicken ladders
  • Power roof cutters
  • Notebook computers
  • Propane torches
  • Caulking guns
  • Nail hammers
  • Compound snips
  • Ladders
  • Fixed-roof brackets
  • Semiautomatic welding machines
  • Double-burner pump kettles
  • Slate hammers
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Snips
  • Tear-off bars
  • Hand roofing double seamers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Riggers' axes
  • Rotary machines
  • Bench-mount hand brakes
  • Hammer tackers
  • Single seamers
  • Cleat benders
  • Membrane slitters
  • Measuring wheels
  • Roof pitch finders
  • Power drills
  • Hammers
  • Tin snips
  • Hydraulic swing beam hoists
  • Double-lock seamers
  • Straight snips
  • Round-point trowels
  • Laser printers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Corner roofing seamers
  • Shingle saws
  • Welding hoods
  • Power hoists
  • Seam finishing machines
  • Trowels
  • Single burner pump kettles
  • Seaming hammers
  • Nail pullers
  • Rip hammers
  • Spud bars
  • Gas-powered chop saws
  • Hand punches
  • Heating torches
  • Putty knives
  • Angle knives
  • Personal computers
  • Downspout crimpers
  • Roofing layout tapes
  • Hot air welding machines
  • Seaming chisels
  • Shears
  • Ladder levelers
  • Safety belts
  • Bitumen applicators
  • Short ladder hoisting wheels
  • Korker cleats
  • Hot or cold process power gravelers
  • Roof hooks
  • Wrecking bars
  • Roofing guardrails
  • Two-handed edgers
  • Soldering irons
  • Roofing spades
  • Spud/scraper bars
  • Nail strippers
  • Slate rippers
  • Sheet metal hand tongs
  • Hot air blowers
  • Ladder standoffs
  • Seaming pliers
  • Safety lanyards
  • Shingle rippers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Shingle shovels
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Hoisting wheels
  • Wood shingling hatchets
  • Long ladder hoisting wheels
  • Measuring tapes
  • Axes
  • Scaffolding
  • Roofing coil nailers
  • Wood chisels
  • Roofing knives
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Claw hammers
  • Hand crimpers
  • Roofing shoes
  • Roof dryers
  • Pry bars
  • Tinsmith pliers
  • Desktop computers
  • Power roof rippers
  • Tear-off shovels
  • Roofing seamers
  • Torches
  • Carpenters' hatchets
  • Ladder jacks
  • Rolling magnetic sweepers
  • Slate cutters
  • Shingle ladder hoists
  • Core cutters
  • Adjustable roof brackets
  • Tar mops
  • Grooving tools
  • Single burner draw kettles
  • Scraper/pullers
  • Air compressors
  • Standard roofing hatchets
  • Roofing tearoff forks
  • Heat welders
  • Circular saws
  • Shake tear-off tools
  • Triangular scales
  • Slaters' anvils
  • Draw knives
  • Plastic hammers
  • Utility knives
  • Gravelers
  • Chalk line markers
  • Pneumatic air nailers