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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Shingles Roofer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #535 of 702. Estimated risk: 90.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Shingles Roofer” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Shingles Roofer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Roofers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,090
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.45
Available Jobs (US) 136,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Roofers #47-2181
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Roofers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.

  • Cement or nail flashing strips of metal or shingle over joints to make them watertight.

  • Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.

  • Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.

  • Glaze top layers to make a smooth finish or embed gravel in the bitumen for rough surfaces.

  • Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.

  • Apply gravel or pebbles over top layers of roofs, using rakes or stiff-bristled brooms.

  • Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.

  • Apply modular soil- and plant-containing grids over existing roof membranes to create green roofs.

  • Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.

  • Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.

  • Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.

  • Punch holes in slate, tile, terra cotta, or wooden shingles, using punches and hammers.

  • Cover exposed nailheads with roofing cement or caulking to prevent water leakage or rust.

  • Install skylights on roofs to increase natural light inside structures or to reduce energy costs.

  • Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.

  • Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.

  • Smooth rough spots to prepare surfaces for waterproofing, using hammers, chisels, or rubbing bricks.

  • Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.

  • Install layers of vegetation-based green roofs, including protective membranes, drainage, aeration, water retention and filter layers, soil substrates, irrigation materials, and plants.

  • Attach solar panels to existing roofs, according to specifications and without damaging roofing materials or the structural integrity of buildings.

  • Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.

  • Cut felt, shingles, or strips of flashing to fit angles formed by walls, vents, or intersecting roof surfaces.

  • Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.

  • Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.

  • Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

  • Spray roofs, sidings, or walls to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures, using spray guns, air compressors, or heaters.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Exele TopView
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Procore AI
  • Maintenance record software
  • Humidity and vapor drive calculation software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ASR Software TopView LE
  • Roof Pro Estimate Software Roof Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • RoofLogic
  • Buildots AI
  • ASR Software Taper-Plus
  • ASR Software LWC-Plus
  • Roofing Calculator
  • Ziatek RoofDraw
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Wintac Pro
  • Word processing software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Energy cost evaluation software
  • DigiTools Roof CAD
  • ASR Software TopView ME
  • CADAFIS
  • AppliCad Roof Wizard
  • Nail pullers
  • Spud bars
  • Long ladder hoisting wheels
  • Short ladder hoisting wheels
  • Rolling magnetic sweepers
  • Grooving tools
  • Personal computers
  • Seaming pliers
  • Single burner pump kettles
  • Shingle shovels
  • Membrane slitters
  • Cleat benders
  • Carpenters' hatchets
  • Scraper/pullers
  • Roofing tearoff forks
  • Power drills
  • Trowels
  • Standard roofing hatchets
  • Wood shingling hatchets
  • Torches
  • Triangular scales
  • Hot air welding machines
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Power roof rippers
  • Desktop computers
  • Wrecking bars
  • Utility knives
  • Compound snips
  • Power roof cutters
  • Propane torches
  • Single burner draw kettles
  • Slate rippers
  • Downspout crimpers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Tin snips
  • Ladder standoffs
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Welding hoods
  • Riggers' axes
  • Ladder levelers
  • Safety lanyards
  • Corner roofing seamers
  • Ladders
  • Roofing layout tapes
  • Hand punches
  • Wood chisels
  • Semiautomatic welding machines
  • Seaming chisels
  • Hammer tackers
  • Trolley track hoists
  • Double-lock seamers
  • Shingle rippers
  • Roofing seamers
  • Hoisting wheels
  • Foot squaring shears
  • Roofing spades
  • Single seamers
  • Tar mops
  • Slate cutters
  • Roofing knives
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Heat welders
  • Axes
  • Claw hammers
  • Fixed-roof brackets
  • Measuring wheels
  • Heating torches
  • Roof dryers
  • Soldering irons
  • Sheet metal hand tongs
  • Slaters' anvils
  • Hand crimpers
  • Metric roofing hatchets
  • Caulking guns
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Round-point trowels
  • Korker cleats
  • Safety belts
  • Ladder braces
  • Tear-off shovels
  • Pry bars
  • Nail strippers
  • Shingle saws
  • Bench-mount hand brakes
  • Bitumen applicators
  • Hot or cold process power gravelers
  • Notebook computers
  • Gas-powered chop saws
  • Shake tear-off tools
  • Roofing guardrails
  • Rip hammers
  • Roof hooks
  • Slate hammers
  • Straight snips
  • Circular saws
  • Gravelers
  • Roof pitch finders
  • Double-burner pump kettles
  • Adjustable roof brackets
  • Hammers
  • Seam finishing machines
  • Hot air blowers
  • Nail hammers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Plastic hammers
  • Chalk line markers
  • Hand roofing double seamers
  • Rotary machines
  • Snips
  • Tear-off bars
  • Clipping shears
  • Air compressors
  • Power hoists
  • Shears
  • Roofing shoes
  • Core cutters
  • Measuring tapes
  • Chicken ladders
  • Laser printers
  • Draw knives
  • Tinsmith pliers
  • Pointing trowels
  • Seaming hammers
  • Scaffolding
  • Angle knives
  • Ladder jacks
  • Hydraulic swing beam hoists
  • Shingle ladder hoists
  • Roofing coil nailers
  • Pneumatic air nailers
  • Spud/scraper bars
  • Putty knives
  • Two-handed edgers