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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tar Roofer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #535 of 702. Estimated risk: 90.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Tar Roofer” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Tar Roofer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Roofers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,090
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.45
Available Jobs (US) 136,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Roofers #47-2181
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Roofers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.

  • Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.

  • Smooth rough spots to prepare surfaces for waterproofing, using hammers, chisels, or rubbing bricks.

  • Apply modular soil- and plant-containing grids over existing roof membranes to create green roofs.

  • Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.

  • Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.

  • Cement or nail flashing strips of metal or shingle over joints to make them watertight.

  • Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.

  • Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.

  • Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.

  • Cover exposed nailheads with roofing cement or caulking to prevent water leakage or rust.

  • Install layers of vegetation-based green roofs, including protective membranes, drainage, aeration, water retention and filter layers, soil substrates, irrigation materials, and plants.

  • Apply gravel or pebbles over top layers of roofs, using rakes or stiff-bristled brooms.

  • Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.

  • Spray roofs, sidings, or walls to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures, using spray guns, air compressors, or heaters.

  • Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.

  • Glaze top layers to make a smooth finish or embed gravel in the bitumen for rough surfaces.

  • Install skylights on roofs to increase natural light inside structures or to reduce energy costs.

  • Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.

  • Attach solar panels to existing roofs, according to specifications and without damaging roofing materials or the structural integrity of buildings.

  • Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.

  • Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.

  • Cut felt, shingles, or strips of flashing to fit angles formed by walls, vents, or intersecting roof surfaces.

  • Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.

  • Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

  • Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.

  • Punch holes in slate, tile, terra cotta, or wooden shingles, using punches and hammers.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Exele TopView
  • Wintac Pro
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Energy cost evaluation software
  • Ziatek RoofDraw
  • Roof Pro Estimate Software Roof Pro
  • Humidity and vapor drive calculation software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ASR Software LWC-Plus
  • AppliCad Roof Wizard
  • ASR Software TopView LE
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Maintenance record software
  • ASR Software TopView ME
  • Word processing software
  • Roofing Calculator
  • ASR Software Taper-Plus
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • RoofLogic
  • CADAFIS
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • DigiTools Roof CAD
  • Air compressors
  • Shears
  • Hoisting wheels
  • Circular saws
  • Pneumatic air nailers
  • Downspout crimpers
  • Welding hoods
  • Wood chisels
  • Safety lanyards
  • Shingle rippers
  • Rolling magnetic sweepers
  • Notebook computers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Scraper/pullers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Roofing knives
  • Short ladder hoisting wheels
  • Ladder jacks
  • Adjustable roof brackets
  • Putty knives
  • Slate rippers
  • Wood shingling hatchets
  • Seaming hammers
  • Long ladder hoisting wheels
  • Hand punches
  • Ladder braces
  • Rotary machines
  • Power drills
  • Scaffolding
  • Single seamers
  • Shingle shovels
  • Single burner pump kettles
  • Hammers
  • Triangular scales
  • Compound snips
  • Single burner draw kettles
  • Heating torches
  • Round-point trowels
  • Tear-off shovels
  • Power roof rippers
  • Roofing shoes
  • Roofing seamers
  • Power roof cutters
  • Bitumen applicators
  • Laser printers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Axes
  • Personal computers
  • Ladder standoffs
  • Roofing tearoff forks
  • Shingle saws
  • Hand crimpers
  • Caulking guns
  • Measuring wheels
  • Chalk line markers
  • Hot air blowers
  • Spud/scraper bars
  • Slate cutters
  • Ladder levelers
  • Seaming chisels
  • Roofing guardrails
  • Roof dryers
  • Roof pitch finders
  • Trolley track hoists
  • Spud bars
  • Seam finishing machines
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Hot or cold process power gravelers
  • Roofing layout tapes
  • Nail hammers
  • Double-burner pump kettles
  • Semiautomatic welding machines
  • Rip hammers
  • Wrecking bars
  • Membrane slitters
  • Chicken ladders
  • Tar mops
  • Roofing coil nailers
  • Sheet metal hand tongs
  • Riggers' axes
  • Draw knives
  • Roofing spades
  • Grooving tools
  • Slate hammers
  • Hammer tackers
  • Clipping shears
  • Slaters' anvils
  • Nail pullers
  • Korker cleats
  • Claw hammers
  • Cleat benders
  • Shake tear-off tools
  • Hot air welding machines
  • Snips
  • Safety belts
  • Propane torches
  • Roof hooks
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Nail strippers
  • Gas-powered chop saws
  • Soldering irons
  • Pry bars
  • Standard roofing hatchets
  • Utility knives
  • Trowels
  • Tear-off bars
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Pointing trowels
  • Shingle ladder hoists
  • Measuring tapes
  • Two-handed edgers
  • Angle knives
  • Power hoists
  • Seaming pliers
  • Straight snips
  • Bench-mount hand brakes
  • Tinsmith pliers
  • Hydraulic swing beam hoists
  • Fixed-roof brackets
  • Torches
  • Hand roofing double seamers
  • Double-lock seamers
  • Tin snips
  • Foot squaring shears
  • Carpenters' hatchets
  • Corner roofing seamers
  • Core cutters
  • Metric roofing hatchets
  • Ladders
  • Gravelers
  • Heat welders
  • Plastic hammers