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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Journeyman Roofer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #535 of 702. Estimated risk: 90.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Journeyman Roofer” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Journeyman Roofer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Roofers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,090
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.45
Available Jobs (US) 136,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Roofers #47-2181
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Roofers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Attach solar panels to existing roofs, according to specifications and without damaging roofing materials or the structural integrity of buildings.

  • Apply modular soil- and plant-containing grids over existing roof membranes to create green roofs.

  • Install skylights on roofs to increase natural light inside structures or to reduce energy costs.

  • Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.

  • Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.

  • Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.

  • Cover exposed nailheads with roofing cement or caulking to prevent water leakage or rust.

  • Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.

  • Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.

  • Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.

  • Install layers of vegetation-based green roofs, including protective membranes, drainage, aeration, water retention and filter layers, soil substrates, irrigation materials, and plants.

  • Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.

  • Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.

  • Smooth rough spots to prepare surfaces for waterproofing, using hammers, chisels, or rubbing bricks.

  • Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.

  • Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.

  • Spray roofs, sidings, or walls to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures, using spray guns, air compressors, or heaters.

  • Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.

  • Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.

  • Cement or nail flashing strips of metal or shingle over joints to make them watertight.

  • Punch holes in slate, tile, terra cotta, or wooden shingles, using punches and hammers.

  • Apply gravel or pebbles over top layers of roofs, using rakes or stiff-bristled brooms.

  • Cut felt, shingles, or strips of flashing to fit angles formed by walls, vents, or intersecting roof surfaces.

  • Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.

  • Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

  • Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.

  • Glaze top layers to make a smooth finish or embed gravel in the bitumen for rough surfaces.

Technologies & Software

  • ASR Software TopView ME
  • Humidity and vapor drive calculation software
  • RoofLogic
  • Ziatek RoofDraw
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Maintenance record software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ASR Software Taper-Plus
  • Energy cost evaluation software
  • ASR Software TopView LE
  • Microsoft Office software
  • AppliCad Roof Wizard
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Wintac Pro
  • Word processing software
  • ASR Software LWC-Plus
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Procore AI
  • DigiTools Roof CAD
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Roof Pro Estimate Software Roof Pro
  • CADAFIS
  • Exele TopView
  • Buildots AI
  • Roofing Calculator
  • Snips
  • Rolling magnetic sweepers
  • Single burner draw kettles
  • Core cutters
  • Cleat benders
  • Putty knives
  • Shingle shovels
  • Semiautomatic welding machines
  • Roofing knives
  • Scaffolding
  • Spud/scraper bars
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Shingle saws
  • Tin snips
  • Single burner pump kettles
  • Chicken ladders
  • Spud bars
  • Roof hooks
  • Nail hammers
  • Slaters' anvils
  • Tar mops
  • Roofing layout tapes
  • Downspout crimpers
  • Power hoists
  • Hand crimpers
  • Clipping shears
  • Hand punches
  • Nail strippers
  • Roof pitch finders
  • Axes
  • Seaming pliers
  • Slate cutters
  • Corner roofing seamers
  • Nail pullers
  • Circular saws
  • Trolley track hoists
  • Membrane slitters
  • Notebook computers
  • Torches
  • Bitumen applicators
  • Draw knives
  • Seaming hammers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Ladder levelers
  • Roofing spades
  • Rip hammers
  • Double-burner pump kettles
  • Roofing coil nailers
  • Rotary machines
  • Seaming chisels
  • Roofing seamers
  • Korker cleats
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Hydraulic swing beam hoists
  • Safety lanyards
  • Power drills
  • Metric roofing hatchets
  • Desktop computers
  • Ladder standoffs
  • Adjustable roof brackets
  • Utility knives
  • Soldering irons
  • Heat welders
  • Wrecking bars
  • Caulking guns
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Hot air welding machines
  • Power roof rippers
  • Welding hoods
  • Hoisting wheels
  • Plastic hammers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Roof dryers
  • Long ladder hoisting wheels
  • Shingle rippers
  • Scraper/pullers
  • Propane torches
  • Slate hammers
  • Pneumatic air nailers
  • Claw hammers
  • Ladder braces
  • Tear-off shovels
  • Hot or cold process power gravelers
  • Roofing tearoff forks
  • Wood chisels
  • Sheet metal hand tongs
  • Hammer tackers
  • Laser printers
  • Ladders
  • Shears
  • Wood shingling hatchets
  • Measuring tapes
  • Fixed-roof brackets
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Pointing trowels
  • Gas-powered chop saws
  • Triangular scales
  • Double-lock seamers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Roofing shoes
  • Gravelers
  • Bench-mount hand brakes
  • Roofing guardrails
  • Measuring wheels
  • Angle knives
  • Shingle ladder hoists
  • Personal computers
  • Standard roofing hatchets
  • Trowels
  • Round-point trowels
  • Safety belts
  • Air compressors
  • Hammers
  • Foot squaring shears
  • Two-handed edgers
  • Straight snips
  • Heating torches
  • Single seamers
  • Hand roofing double seamers
  • Slate rippers
  • Tear-off bars
  • Compound snips
  • Carpenters' hatchets
  • Tinsmith pliers
  • Short ladder hoisting wheels
  • Power roof cutters
  • Seam finishing machines
  • Pry bars
  • Hot air blowers
  • Grooving tools
  • Chalk line markers
  • Shake tear-off tools
  • Riggers' axes