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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Installer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #535 of 702. Estimated risk: 90.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Installer” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Installer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Roofers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,090
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.45
Available Jobs (US) 136,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Roofers #47-2181
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Roofers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.

  • Apply gravel or pebbles over top layers of roofs, using rakes or stiff-bristled brooms.

  • Cement or nail flashing strips of metal or shingle over joints to make them watertight.

  • Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.

  • Attach solar panels to existing roofs, according to specifications and without damaging roofing materials or the structural integrity of buildings.

  • Apply modular soil- and plant-containing grids over existing roof membranes to create green roofs.

  • Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.

  • Smooth rough spots to prepare surfaces for waterproofing, using hammers, chisels, or rubbing bricks.

  • Install skylights on roofs to increase natural light inside structures or to reduce energy costs.

  • Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

  • Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.

  • Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.

  • Cut felt, shingles, or strips of flashing to fit angles formed by walls, vents, or intersecting roof surfaces.

  • Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.

  • Punch holes in slate, tile, terra cotta, or wooden shingles, using punches and hammers.

  • Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.

  • Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.

  • Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.

  • Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.

  • Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.

  • Glaze top layers to make a smooth finish or embed gravel in the bitumen for rough surfaces.

  • Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.

  • Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.

  • Cover exposed nailheads with roofing cement or caulking to prevent water leakage or rust.

  • Install layers of vegetation-based green roofs, including protective membranes, drainage, aeration, water retention and filter layers, soil substrates, irrigation materials, and plants.

  • Spray roofs, sidings, or walls to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures, using spray guns, air compressors, or heaters.

  • Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • ASR Software LWC-Plus
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Procore AI
  • Ziatek RoofDraw
  • CADAFIS
  • Wintac Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Word processing software
  • Humidity and vapor drive calculation software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Exele TopView
  • ASR Software TopView ME
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Energy cost evaluation software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Roofing Calculator
  • ASR Software TopView LE
  • DigiTools Roof CAD
  • Roof Pro Estimate Software Roof Pro
  • AppliCad Roof Wizard
  • ASR Software Taper-Plus
  • Maintenance record software
  • RoofLogic
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Buildots AI
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Two-handed edgers
  • Roofing layout tapes
  • Axes
  • Scaffolding
  • Ladder jacks
  • Draw knives
  • Soldering irons
  • Ladder braces
  • Heating torches
  • Roofing spades
  • Tinsmith pliers
  • Hand punches
  • Hammer tackers
  • Standard roofing hatchets
  • Bitumen applicators
  • Rolling magnetic sweepers
  • Hot air blowers
  • Sheet metal hand tongs
  • Roofing tearoff forks
  • Single seamers
  • Spud bars
  • Measuring tapes
  • Spud/scraper bars
  • Bench-mount hand brakes
  • Air compressors
  • Carpenters' hatchets
  • Hammers
  • Plastic hammers
  • Tar mops
  • Round-point trowels
  • Claw hammers
  • Shingle ladder hoists
  • Roofing coil nailers
  • Gravelers
  • Nail hammers
  • Utility knives
  • Triangular scales
  • Seaming pliers
  • Trowels
  • Seaming hammers
  • Corner roofing seamers
  • Double-burner pump kettles
  • Hoisting wheels
  • Pneumatic air nailers
  • Slaters' anvils
  • Pry bars
  • Power hoists
  • Snips
  • Compound snips
  • Ladder standoffs
  • Chalk line markers
  • Long ladder hoisting wheels
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Rip hammers
  • Wood shingling hatchets
  • Roof dryers
  • Nail pullers
  • Shingle shovels
  • Circular saws
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Notebook computers
  • Ladders
  • Nail strippers
  • Hand crimpers
  • Downspout crimpers
  • Power roof rippers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Metric roofing hatchets
  • Personal computers
  • Korker cleats
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Propane torches
  • Tear-off shovels
  • Ladder levelers
  • Caulking guns
  • Safety lanyards
  • Hot air welding machines
  • Roof hooks
  • Riggers' axes
  • Wrecking bars
  • Putty knives
  • Roofing shoes
  • Torches
  • Scraper/pullers
  • Angle knives
  • Power roof cutters
  • Slate rippers
  • Safety belts
  • Seam finishing machines
  • Rotary machines
  • Laser printers
  • Grooving tools
  • Chicken ladders
  • Desktop computers
  • Heat welders
  • Core cutters
  • Membrane slitters
  • Power drills
  • Roofing guardrails
  • Roofing knives
  • Seaming chisels
  • Shingle saws
  • Shingle rippers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Roofing seamers
  • Hydraulic swing beam hoists
  • Roof pitch finders
  • Hot or cold process power gravelers
  • Slate cutters
  • Clipping shears
  • Short ladder hoisting wheels
  • Straight snips
  • Shears
  • Semiautomatic welding machines
  • Double-lock seamers
  • Hand roofing double seamers
  • Single burner pump kettles
  • Fixed-roof brackets
  • Tin snips
  • Welding hoods
  • Trolley track hoists
  • Single burner draw kettles
  • Foot squaring shears
  • Shake tear-off tools
  • Tear-off bars
  • Cleat benders
  • Adjustable roof brackets
  • Gas-powered chop saws
  • Pointing trowels
  • Measuring wheels
  • Wood chisels
  • Slate hammers
  • Fall arrest systems