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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Hot Tar Roofer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #535 of 702. Estimated risk: 90.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Hot Tar Roofer” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Hot Tar Roofer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Roofers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,090
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.45
Available Jobs (US) 136,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Roofers #47-2181
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Roofers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Glaze top layers to make a smooth finish or embed gravel in the bitumen for rough surfaces.

  • Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.

  • Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.

  • Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.

  • Install skylights on roofs to increase natural light inside structures or to reduce energy costs.

  • Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.

  • Apply modular soil- and plant-containing grids over existing roof membranes to create green roofs.

  • Attach solar panels to existing roofs, according to specifications and without damaging roofing materials or the structural integrity of buildings.

  • Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.

  • Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.

  • Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

  • Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.

  • Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.

  • Install layers of vegetation-based green roofs, including protective membranes, drainage, aeration, water retention and filter layers, soil substrates, irrigation materials, and plants.

  • Apply gravel or pebbles over top layers of roofs, using rakes or stiff-bristled brooms.

  • Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.

  • Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.

  • Cement or nail flashing strips of metal or shingle over joints to make them watertight.

  • Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.

  • Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.

  • Cut felt, shingles, or strips of flashing to fit angles formed by walls, vents, or intersecting roof surfaces.

  • Punch holes in slate, tile, terra cotta, or wooden shingles, using punches and hammers.

  • Cover exposed nailheads with roofing cement or caulking to prevent water leakage or rust.

  • Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.

  • Smooth rough spots to prepare surfaces for waterproofing, using hammers, chisels, or rubbing bricks.

  • Spray roofs, sidings, or walls to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures, using spray guns, air compressors, or heaters.

  • Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.

Technologies & Software

  • Buildots AI
  • Roof Pro Estimate Software Roof Pro
  • ASR Software TopView ME
  • Microsoft Word
  • Maintenance record software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Roofing Calculator
  • Ziatek RoofDraw
  • ASR Software Taper-Plus
  • ASR Software LWC-Plus
  • Procore AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • DigiTools Roof CAD
  • Wintac Pro
  • Exele TopView
  • Energy cost evaluation software
  • Word processing software
  • ASR Software TopView LE
  • Humidity and vapor drive calculation software
  • CADAFIS
  • AppliCad Roof Wizard
  • Microsoft Excel
  • RoofLogic
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Wrecking bars
  • Shingle rippers
  • Gas-powered chop saws
  • Slate rippers
  • Cleat benders
  • Foot squaring shears
  • Hydraulic swing beam hoists
  • Hot or cold process power gravelers
  • Double-lock seamers
  • Axes
  • Shears
  • Bitumen applicators
  • Tin snips
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Torches
  • Trolley track hoists
  • Hoisting wheels
  • Utility knives
  • Shake tear-off tools
  • Roofing guardrails
  • Wood shingling hatchets
  • Personal computers
  • Roofing knives
  • Carpenters' hatchets
  • Roof hooks
  • Long ladder hoisting wheels
  • Power roof rippers
  • Caulking guns
  • Safety lanyards
  • Two-handed edgers
  • Grooving tools
  • Ladders
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Short ladder hoisting wheels
  • Power drills
  • Roof dryers
  • Roof pitch finders
  • Scraper/pullers
  • Chicken ladders
  • Semiautomatic welding machines
  • Propane torches
  • Double-burner pump kettles
  • Rolling magnetic sweepers
  • Core cutters
  • Ladder jacks
  • Pneumatic air nailers
  • Ladder levelers
  • Hammers
  • Seaming chisels
  • Claw hammers
  • Laser printers
  • Measuring tapes
  • Power hoists
  • Single burner draw kettles
  • Tinsmith pliers
  • Nail strippers
  • Wood chisels
  • Rip hammers
  • Single seamers
  • Shingle saws
  • Clipping shears
  • Angle knives
  • Triangular scales
  • Hot air welding machines
  • Draw knives
  • Hand crimpers
  • Roofing spades
  • Standard roofing hatchets
  • Roofing layout tapes
  • Hot air blowers
  • Spud bars
  • Slate hammers
  • Chalk line markers
  • Shingle shovels
  • Gravelers
  • Single burner pump kettles
  • Rotary machines
  • Tear-off bars
  • Pry bars
  • Tear-off shovels
  • Korker cleats
  • Hand roofing double seamers
  • Spud/scraper bars
  • Power roof cutters
  • Membrane slitters
  • Seam finishing machines
  • Roofing tearoff forks
  • Bench-mount hand brakes
  • Safety belts
  • Hand punches
  • Seaming pliers
  • Pointing trowels
  • Round-point trowels
  • Shingle ladder hoists
  • Plastic hammers
  • Heat welders
  • Roofing shoes
  • Trowels
  • Sheet metal hand tongs
  • Notebook computers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Nail pullers
  • Downspout crimpers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Compound snips
  • Air compressors
  • Welding hoods
  • Circular saws
  • Riggers' axes
  • Ladder braces
  • Scaffolding
  • Snips
  • Desktop computers
  • Heating torches
  • Metric roofing hatchets
  • Adjustable roof brackets
  • Nail hammers
  • Seaming hammers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Slaters' anvils
  • Corner roofing seamers
  • Tar mops
  • Putty knives
  • Straight snips
  • Slate cutters
  • Fixed-roof brackets
  • Ladder standoffs
  • Hammer tackers
  • Roofing seamers
  • Roofing coil nailers
  • Measuring wheels
  • Soldering irons