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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Hot Tar Roofer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #535 of 702. Estimated risk: 90.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

39%

“Hot Tar Roofer” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 39% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Hot Tar Roofer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Roofers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,090
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.45
Available Jobs (US) 136,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Roofers #47-2181
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Roofers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Cover exposed nailheads with roofing cement or caulking to prevent water leakage or rust.

  • Install layers of vegetation-based green roofs, including protective membranes, drainage, aeration, water retention and filter layers, soil substrates, irrigation materials, and plants.

  • Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.

  • Cut felt, shingles, or strips of flashing to fit angles formed by walls, vents, or intersecting roof surfaces.

  • Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.

  • Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.

  • Estimate materials and labor required to complete roofing jobs.

  • Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.

  • Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.

  • Smooth rough spots to prepare surfaces for waterproofing, using hammers, chisels, or rubbing bricks.

  • Cement or nail flashing strips of metal or shingle over joints to make them watertight.

  • Install skylights on roofs to increase natural light inside structures or to reduce energy costs.

  • Remove snow, water, or debris from roofs prior to applying roofing materials.

  • Apply modular soil- and plant-containing grids over existing roof membranes to create green roofs.

  • Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.

  • Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.

  • Glaze top layers to make a smooth finish or embed gravel in the bitumen for rough surfaces.

  • Punch holes in slate, tile, terra cotta, or wooden shingles, using punches and hammers.

  • Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.

  • Inspect problem roofs to determine the best repair procedures.

  • Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.

  • Attach solar panels to existing roofs, according to specifications and without damaging roofing materials or the structural integrity of buildings.

  • Spray roofs, sidings, or walls to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures, using spray guns, air compressors, or heaters.

  • Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.

  • Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.

  • Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.

  • Apply gravel or pebbles over top layers of roofs, using rakes or stiff-bristled brooms.

Technologies & Software

  • Word processing software
  • Ziatek RoofDraw
  • Roofing Calculator
  • Energy cost evaluation software
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Buildots AI
  • AppliCad Roof Wizard
  • ASR Software TopView LE
  • Maintenance record software
  • Wintac Pro
  • Humidity and vapor drive calculation software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • CADAFIS
  • DigiTools Roof CAD
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Exele TopView
  • ASR Software LWC-Plus
  • Procore AI
  • ASR Software Taper-Plus
  • ASR Software TopView ME
  • Roof Pro Estimate Software Roof Pro
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • RoofLogic
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Nail pullers
  • Hoisting wheels
  • Safety belts
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Downspout crimpers
  • Ladder standoffs
  • Short ladder hoisting wheels
  • Slate hammers
  • Slate cutters
  • Tin snips
  • Roof hooks
  • Snips
  • Propane torches
  • Air compressors
  • Hot air blowers
  • Grooving tools
  • Power drills
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Soldering irons
  • Adjustable roof brackets
  • Shingle rippers
  • Rip hammers
  • Roof dryers
  • Roofing spades
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Seaming chisels
  • Pointing trowels
  • Shingle ladder hoists
  • Clipping shears
  • Single burner draw kettles
  • Riggers' axes
  • Hot or cold process power gravelers
  • Round-point trowels
  • Welding hoods
  • Cleat benders
  • Compound snips
  • Tar mops
  • Hammer tackers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Angle knives
  • Axes
  • Hammers
  • Single burner pump kettles
  • Long ladder hoisting wheels
  • Caulking guns
  • Membrane slitters
  • Spud bars
  • Shake tear-off tools
  • Two-handed edgers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Seam finishing machines
  • Nail strippers
  • Core cutters
  • Standard roofing hatchets
  • Tear-off bars
  • Safety lanyards
  • Plastic hammers
  • Hand roofing double seamers
  • Ladder levelers
  • Ladder braces
  • Carpenters' hatchets
  • Draw knives
  • Measuring wheels
  • Rolling magnetic sweepers
  • Scaffolding
  • Laser printers
  • Putty knives
  • Heat welders
  • Claw hammers
  • Roofing seamers
  • Roofing guardrails
  • Sheet metal hand tongs
  • Wood chisels
  • Utility knives
  • Seaming pliers
  • Metric roofing hatchets
  • Roofing shoes
  • Desktop computers
  • Shingle shovels
  • Pry bars
  • Single seamers
  • Seaming hammers
  • Rotary machines
  • Power roof cutters
  • Double-lock seamers
  • Wood shingling hatchets
  • Pneumatic air nailers
  • Roofing layout tapes
  • Hot air welding machines
  • Slaters' anvils
  • Corner roofing seamers
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Gravelers
  • Hand crimpers
  • Scraper/pullers
  • Wrecking bars
  • Measuring tapes
  • Spud/scraper bars
  • Hand punches
  • Tear-off shovels
  • Foot squaring shears
  • Chicken ladders
  • Personal computers
  • Trowels
  • Roof pitch finders
  • Chalk line markers
  • Trolley track hoists
  • Hydraulic swing beam hoists
  • Power hoists
  • Shears
  • Double-burner pump kettles
  • Power roof rippers
  • Roofing tearoff forks
  • Nail hammers
  • Roofing coil nailers
  • Slate rippers
  • Roofing knives
  • Heating torches
  • Straight snips
  • Bitumen applicators
  • Korker cleats
  • Tinsmith pliers
  • Torches
  • Circular saws
  • Notebook computers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Gas-powered chop saws
  • Fixed-roof brackets
  • Shingle saws
  • Triangular scales
  • Semiautomatic welding machines
  • Bench-mount hand brakes
  • Ladders