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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pick and Shovel Man” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #512 of 702. Estimated risk: 88.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Pick and Shovel Man” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Pick and Shovel Man” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Construction Laborers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Perform tasks involving physical labor at construction sites. May operate hand and power tools of all types: air hammers, earth tampers, cement mixers, small mechanical hoists, surveying and measuring equipment, and a variety of other equipment and instruments. May clean and prepare sites, dig trenches, set braces to support the sides of excavations, erect scaffolding, and clean up rubble, debris, and other waste materials. May assist other craft workers.

Avg. Annual Salary $51,260
Avg. Hourly Wage $24.64
Available Jobs (US) 1,057,660
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Construction Laborers #47-2061
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Construction Laborers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Place, consolidate, or protect case-in-place concrete or masonry structures.

  • Tend pumps, compressors, or generators to provide power for tools, machinery, or equipment or to heat or move materials, such as asphalt.

  • Apply caulking compounds by hand or caulking guns to protect against entry of water or air.

  • Grind, scrape, sand, or polish surfaces, such as concrete, marble, terrazzo, or wood flooring, using abrasive tools or machines.

  • Mix ingredients to create compounds for covering or cleaning surfaces.

  • Operate or maintain air monitoring or other sampling devices in confined or hazardous environments.

  • Tend machines that pump concrete, grout, cement, sand, plaster, or stucco through spray guns for application to ceilings or walls.

  • Mop, brush, or spread paints, cleaning solutions, or other compounds over surfaces to clean them or to provide protection.

  • Load, unload, or identify building materials, machinery, or tools, distributing them to the appropriate locations, according to project plans or specifications.

  • Mix, pour, or spread concrete, using portable cement mixers.

  • Control traffic passing near, in, or around work zones.

  • Dig ditches or trenches, backfill excavations, or compact and level earth to grade specifications, using picks, shovels, pneumatic tampers, or rakes.

  • Raze buildings or salvage useful materials.

  • Position or dismantle forms for pouring concrete, using saws, hammers, nails, or bolts.

  • Clean or prepare construction sites to eliminate possible hazards.

  • Position, join, align, or seal structural components, such as concrete wall sections or pipes.

  • Lubricate, clean, or repair machinery, equipment, or tools.

  • Provide assistance to craft workers, such as carpenters, plasterers, or masons.

  • Spray materials, such as water, sand, steam, vinyl, paint, or stucco, through hoses to clean, coat, or seal surfaces.

  • Operate jackhammers or drills to break up concrete or pavement.

  • Signal equipment operators to facilitate alignment, movement, or adjustment of machinery, equipment, or materials.

  • Measure, mark, or record openings or distances to layout areas where construction work will be performed.

  • Perform site activities required of green certified construction practices, such as implementing waste management procedures, identifying materials for reuse, or installing erosion or sedimentation control mechanisms.

  • Smooth or finish freshly poured cement or concrete, using floats, trowels, screeds, or powered cement finishing tools.

  • Read plans, instructions, or specifications to determine work activities.

  • Install sewer, water, or storm drain pipes, using pipe-laying machinery or laser guidance equipment.

  • Erect or dismantle scaffolding, shoring, braces, traffic barricades, ramps, or other temporary structures.

Technologies & Software

  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Floor saws
  • Sandblasters
  • Salamanders
  • Circular saws
  • Drill presses
  • Scarifiers
  • Air monitoring equipment
  • Hydraulic chainsaws
  • Snowplows
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Air compressors
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Nail guns
  • Power sanders
  • Skid steer loaders
  • Jackhammers
  • Dynamite blasters
  • Bench grinders
  • Swing chairs
  • Levels
  • Mortar hoes
  • Remote pipe cameras
  • Sidewalk sweepers
  • Welding hoods
  • Mud jacks
  • Robotic pipe cutters
  • Hoists
  • Brick tongs
  • Mortar mixers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Slings
  • Oil distributors
  • Sewer rodding machines
  • Chain saws
  • Cold chisels
  • Screwdrivers
  • Walk-behind saws
  • Calipers
  • Ladders
  • Asphalt saws
  • Measuring wheels
  • Respirators
  • Air drills
  • Kerosene burners
  • Water tank trucks
  • Picks
  • Hydraulic track-guided wall saws
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Saws
  • Post hole augers
  • Temperature probes
  • Concrete mixers
  • Floor sanders
  • Brick hammers
  • Demolition saws
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Shovels
  • Jet trucks for cleaning sewer lines
  • Torches
  • Hydraulic rock drills
  • Cutoff saws
  • Crowbars
  • Power screwdrivers
  • Mattocks
  • Plumb bobs
  • Belt conveyors
  • Trenchers
  • Water samplers
  • Scissor lifts
  • Saber saws
  • Power drills
  • Wire stretchers
  • Rakes
  • Hand grinders
  • Asphalt mops
  • Fencing pliers
  • Rotary hammers
  • Road rollers
  • Paddle mixers
  • Paint sprayers
  • Punches
  • Laser levels
  • Pavement breakers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Robotic pipe cleaners
  • Ride-on vacuum cleaners
  • Cable pullers
  • Hammer drills
  • Electric boring machines
  • Laser screeds
  • Earth tampers
  • Hydraulic booms
  • Impact wrenches
  • Jig saws
  • Crawler shovels
  • Pressure washers
  • Gin poles
  • Pickup trucks
  • Motor graders
  • Hydraulic speed shoring equipment
  • Tappers
  • Smudge pots
  • Floats
  • Electric drills
  • Tape measures
  • Plasma cutters
  • Plaster mixers
  • Power buggies
  • Laser guidance equipment for pipe placement
  • Laser measuring devices
  • Gas leak detection devices
  • Masonry forklifts
  • Stump cutters
  • Oxygen/acetylene torches
  • Bandsaws
  • Disc grinders
  • Walk-behind compacting equipment
  • Smoke testers
  • Steam jennies
  • Mowing equipment
  • Asphalt kettles
  • Theodolites
  • Swing stages
  • Bosun chairs
  • Hand trucks
  • Trowels
  • Two way radios
  • Chipping guns
  • Caulking guns
  • Spades
  • Pneumatic staplers
  • Cutout saws
  • Tripods
  • Hydraulic boring machines
  • Guniting machines
  • Coring machines
  • Hole cutters
  • Forks
  • Concrete saws
  • Micrometers
  • Screeds
  • Transit levels
  • Axes
  • Concrete pumpers
  • Wagon drills
  • Spirit levels
  • Vibratory plate compactors
  • Surveying rods
  • Winches
  • Tuck pointers
  • Protective suits
  • Pedestal grinders
  • Impact hammers
  • Hammers
  • Chip spreaders
  • Liquid propane torches
  • Stucco spray guns
  • Dump trucks
  • Carpenters' squares
  • Forklifts
  • Tampers
  • Sewer cleaner vactors
  • Scaffolding
  • Pneumatic drills
  • Weed sprayers
  • Generators
  • Suction sweepers
  • Bale hooks
  • Manlifts
  • Loaders
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Water spraying equipment
  • Brick carrier forks
  • Water levels

Alternative Job Titles