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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tar Man” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #512 of 702. Estimated risk: 88.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Tar Man” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Tar Man” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Construction Laborers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Perform tasks involving physical labor at construction sites. May operate hand and power tools of all types: air hammers, earth tampers, cement mixers, small mechanical hoists, surveying and measuring equipment, and a variety of other equipment and instruments. May clean and prepare sites, dig trenches, set braces to support the sides of excavations, erect scaffolding, and clean up rubble, debris, and other waste materials. May assist other craft workers.

Avg. Annual Salary $51,260
Avg. Hourly Wage $24.64
Available Jobs (US) 1,057,660
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Construction Laborers #47-2061
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Construction Laborers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Mix ingredients to create compounds for covering or cleaning surfaces.

  • Smooth or finish freshly poured cement or concrete, using floats, trowels, screeds, or powered cement finishing tools.

  • Read plans, instructions, or specifications to determine work activities.

  • Apply caulking compounds by hand or caulking guns to protect against entry of water or air.

  • Spray materials, such as water, sand, steam, vinyl, paint, or stucco, through hoses to clean, coat, or seal surfaces.

  • Operate jackhammers or drills to break up concrete or pavement.

  • Operate or maintain air monitoring or other sampling devices in confined or hazardous environments.

  • Raze buildings or salvage useful materials.

  • Measure, mark, or record openings or distances to layout areas where construction work will be performed.

  • Provide assistance to craft workers, such as carpenters, plasterers, or masons.

  • Control traffic passing near, in, or around work zones.

  • Grind, scrape, sand, or polish surfaces, such as concrete, marble, terrazzo, or wood flooring, using abrasive tools or machines.

  • Position, join, align, or seal structural components, such as concrete wall sections or pipes.

  • Clean or prepare construction sites to eliminate possible hazards.

  • Mop, brush, or spread paints, cleaning solutions, or other compounds over surfaces to clean them or to provide protection.

  • Place, consolidate, or protect case-in-place concrete or masonry structures.

  • Dig ditches or trenches, backfill excavations, or compact and level earth to grade specifications, using picks, shovels, pneumatic tampers, or rakes.

  • Install sewer, water, or storm drain pipes, using pipe-laying machinery or laser guidance equipment.

  • Load, unload, or identify building materials, machinery, or tools, distributing them to the appropriate locations, according to project plans or specifications.

  • Mix, pour, or spread concrete, using portable cement mixers.

  • Erect or dismantle scaffolding, shoring, braces, traffic barricades, ramps, or other temporary structures.

  • Signal equipment operators to facilitate alignment, movement, or adjustment of machinery, equipment, or materials.

  • Tend machines that pump concrete, grout, cement, sand, plaster, or stucco through spray guns for application to ceilings or walls.

  • Position or dismantle forms for pouring concrete, using saws, hammers, nails, or bolts.

  • Perform site activities required of green certified construction practices, such as implementing waste management procedures, identifying materials for reuse, or installing erosion or sedimentation control mechanisms.

  • Tend pumps, compressors, or generators to provide power for tools, machinery, or equipment or to heat or move materials, such as asphalt.

  • Lubricate, clean, or repair machinery, equipment, or tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Revit
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Buildots AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Air compressors
  • Swing chairs
  • Mowing equipment
  • Robotic pipe cleaners
  • Sandblasters
  • Slings
  • Rakes
  • Hydraulic boring machines
  • Water tank trucks
  • Wire stretchers
  • Picks
  • Hand grinders
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Mortar mixers
  • Surveying rods
  • Plumb bobs
  • Laser measuring devices
  • Cable pullers
  • Generators
  • Gas leak detection devices
  • Tappers
  • Bale hooks
  • Trowels
  • Vibratory plate compactors
  • Oxygen/acetylene torches
  • Calipers
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Protective suits
  • Suction sweepers
  • Pedestal grinders
  • Water spraying equipment
  • Hydraulic track-guided wall saws
  • Electric boring machines
  • Post hole augers
  • Concrete mixers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Concrete saws
  • Road rollers
  • Shovels
  • Plasma cutters
  • Water levels
  • Manlifts
  • Asphalt saws
  • Jig saws
  • Smoke testers
  • Circular saws
  • Forks
  • Crowbars
  • Cutout saws
  • Sewer rodding machines
  • Power screwdrivers
  • Chain saws
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Saber saws
  • Hole cutters
  • Brick carrier forks
  • Laser levels
  • Paint sprayers
  • Ride-on vacuum cleaners
  • Floor sanders
  • Mud jacks
  • Sewer cleaner vactors
  • Earth tampers
  • Impact hammers
  • Motor graders
  • Loaders
  • Brick hammers
  • Sidewalk sweepers
  • Gin poles
  • Stucco spray guns
  • Hand trucks
  • Tampers
  • Robotic pipe cutters
  • Cold chisels
  • Dynamite blasters
  • Bandsaws
  • Plaster mixers
  • Nail guns
  • Snowplows
  • Pneumatic drills
  • Jet trucks for cleaning sewer lines
  • Liquid propane torches
  • Fencing pliers
  • Trenchers
  • Tuck pointers
  • Asphalt mops
  • Forklifts
  • Floor saws
  • Weed sprayers
  • Theodolites
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Winches
  • Screwdrivers
  • Paddle mixers
  • Hoists
  • Two way radios
  • Mortar hoes
  • Walk-behind compacting equipment
  • Laser guidance equipment for pipe placement
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Skid steer loaders
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Impact wrenches
  • Transit levels
  • Asphalt kettles
  • Concrete pumpers
  • Hydraulic rock drills
  • Caulking guns
  • Punches
  • Hammer drills
  • Remote pipe cameras
  • Coring machines
  • Screeds
  • Tripods
  • Jackhammers
  • Scarifiers
  • Torches
  • Carpenters' squares
  • Kerosene burners
  • Power sanders
  • Belt conveyors
  • Electric drills
  • Tape measures
  • Drill presses
  • Bosun chairs
  • Stump cutters
  • Hammers
  • Swing stages
  • Rotary hammers
  • Power drills
  • Power buggies
  • Oil distributors
  • Guniting machines
  • Pavement breakers
  • Smudge pots
  • Chip spreaders
  • Respirators
  • Welding hoods
  • Air monitoring equipment
  • Temperature probes
  • Axes
  • Disc grinders
  • Scissor lifts
  • Spades
  • Pickup trucks
  • Levels
  • Mattocks
  • Scaffolding
  • Demolition saws
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Walk-behind saws
  • Salamanders
  • Masonry forklifts
  • Brick tongs
  • Air drills
  • Ladders
  • Chipping guns
  • Saws
  • Wagon drills
  • Floats
  • Water samplers
  • Measuring wheels
  • Steam jennies
  • Laser screeds
  • Hydraulic chainsaws
  • Bench grinders
  • Dump trucks
  • Pressure washers
  • Micrometers
  • Pneumatic staplers
  • Crawler shovels
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Hydraulic booms
  • Hydraulic speed shoring equipment
  • Spirit levels

Alternative Job Titles