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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Wagon Winder” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #512 of 702. Estimated risk: 88.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Wagon Winder” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“Wagon Winder” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Construction Laborers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Perform tasks involving physical labor at construction sites. May operate hand and power tools of all types: air hammers, earth tampers, cement mixers, small mechanical hoists, surveying and measuring equipment, and a variety of other equipment and instruments. May clean and prepare sites, dig trenches, set braces to support the sides of excavations, erect scaffolding, and clean up rubble, debris, and other waste materials. May assist other craft workers.

Avg. Annual Salary $51,260
Avg. Hourly Wage $24.64
Available Jobs (US) 1,057,660
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Construction Laborers #47-2061
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Construction Laborers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Position, join, align, or seal structural components, such as concrete wall sections or pipes.

  • Erect or dismantle scaffolding, shoring, braces, traffic barricades, ramps, or other temporary structures.

  • Load, unload, or identify building materials, machinery, or tools, distributing them to the appropriate locations, according to project plans or specifications.

  • Apply caulking compounds by hand or caulking guns to protect against entry of water or air.

  • Tend pumps, compressors, or generators to provide power for tools, machinery, or equipment or to heat or move materials, such as asphalt.

  • Lubricate, clean, or repair machinery, equipment, or tools.

  • Operate or maintain air monitoring or other sampling devices in confined or hazardous environments.

  • Clean or prepare construction sites to eliminate possible hazards.

  • Dig ditches or trenches, backfill excavations, or compact and level earth to grade specifications, using picks, shovels, pneumatic tampers, or rakes.

  • Provide assistance to craft workers, such as carpenters, plasterers, or masons.

  • Operate jackhammers or drills to break up concrete or pavement.

  • Smooth or finish freshly poured cement or concrete, using floats, trowels, screeds, or powered cement finishing tools.

  • Grind, scrape, sand, or polish surfaces, such as concrete, marble, terrazzo, or wood flooring, using abrasive tools or machines.

  • Control traffic passing near, in, or around work zones.

  • Mix ingredients to create compounds for covering or cleaning surfaces.

  • Measure, mark, or record openings or distances to layout areas where construction work will be performed.

  • Place, consolidate, or protect case-in-place concrete or masonry structures.

  • Read plans, instructions, or specifications to determine work activities.

  • Install sewer, water, or storm drain pipes, using pipe-laying machinery or laser guidance equipment.

  • Raze buildings or salvage useful materials.

  • Position or dismantle forms for pouring concrete, using saws, hammers, nails, or bolts.

  • Perform site activities required of green certified construction practices, such as implementing waste management procedures, identifying materials for reuse, or installing erosion or sedimentation control mechanisms.

  • Mix, pour, or spread concrete, using portable cement mixers.

  • Signal equipment operators to facilitate alignment, movement, or adjustment of machinery, equipment, or materials.

  • Tend machines that pump concrete, grout, cement, sand, plaster, or stucco through spray guns for application to ceilings or walls.

  • Spray materials, such as water, sand, steam, vinyl, paint, or stucco, through hoses to clean, coat, or seal surfaces.

  • Mop, brush, or spread paints, cleaning solutions, or other compounds over surfaces to clean them or to provide protection.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Buildots AI
  • Procore AI
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Forklifts
  • Bosun chairs
  • Belt conveyors
  • Screwdrivers
  • Demolition saws
  • Remote pipe cameras
  • Carpenters' squares
  • Jig saws
  • Weed sprayers
  • Gin poles
  • Liquid propane torches
  • Theodolites
  • Hydraulic chainsaws
  • Chipping guns
  • Air compressors
  • Hydraulic track-guided wall saws
  • Drill presses
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Paint sprayers
  • Laser measuring devices
  • Pavement breakers
  • Dynamite blasters
  • Stucco spray guns
  • Oxygen/acetylene torches
  • Mowing equipment
  • Tuck pointers
  • Forks
  • Pressure washers
  • Guniting machines
  • Electric boring machines
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Manlifts
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Surveying rods
  • Levels
  • Tampers
  • Crawler shovels
  • Impact hammers
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Torches
  • Loaders
  • Saws
  • Rakes
  • Nail guns
  • Rotary hammers
  • Spirit levels
  • Bench grinders
  • Disc grinders
  • Post hole augers
  • Air drills
  • Impact wrenches
  • Brick hammers
  • Steam jennies
  • Hammers
  • Crowbars
  • Concrete mixers
  • Winches
  • Power sanders
  • Power drills
  • Hole cutters
  • Cold chisels
  • Bandsaws
  • Smoke testers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Dump trucks
  • Mortar hoes
  • Laser screeds
  • Air monitoring equipment
  • Hoists
  • Hydraulic boring machines
  • Pneumatic staplers
  • Picks
  • Chain saws
  • Temperature probes
  • Water levels
  • Scissor lifts
  • Hydraulic speed shoring equipment
  • Wire stretchers
  • Screeds
  • Mattocks
  • Chip spreaders
  • Pedestal grinders
  • Caulking guns
  • Hammer drills
  • Two way radios
  • Water tank trucks
  • Asphalt saws
  • Asphalt kettles
  • Brick carrier forks
  • Floor saws
  • Calipers
  • Hydraulic booms
  • Sewer cleaner vactors
  • Water samplers
  • Steam cleaning equipment
  • Mud jacks
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Plaster mixers
  • Cable pullers
  • Coring machines
  • Road rollers
  • Floats
  • Jet trucks for cleaning sewer lines
  • Trenchers
  • Pneumatic drills
  • Concrete saws
  • Trowels
  • Ride-on vacuum cleaners
  • Fencing pliers
  • Slings
  • Circular saws
  • Suction sweepers
  • Walk-behind compacting equipment
  • Punches
  • Smudge pots
  • Stump cutters
  • Walk-behind saws
  • Floor sanders
  • Protective suits
  • Micrometers
  • Water spraying equipment
  • Hand grinders
  • Electric drills
  • Asphalt mops
  • Swing chairs
  • Pickup trucks
  • Plasma cutters
  • Welding hoods
  • Wagon drills
  • Swing stages
  • Oil distributors
  • Respirators
  • Sandblasters
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Spades
  • Axes
  • Power screwdrivers
  • Scaffolding
  • Tripods
  • Vibratory plate compactors
  • Brick tongs
  • Kerosene burners
  • Laser levels
  • Gas leak detection devices
  • Earth tampers
  • Ladders
  • Mortar mixers
  • Salamanders
  • Laser guidance equipment for pipe placement
  • Shovels
  • Sidewalk sweepers
  • Hydraulic rock drills
  • Generators
  • Scarifiers
  • Robotic pipe cutters
  • Cutoff saws
  • Jackhammers
  • Transit levels
  • Measuring wheels
  • Snowplows
  • Power buggies
  • Cutout saws
  • Paddle mixers
  • Plumb bobs
  • Hand trucks
  • Sewer rodding machines
  • Tappers
  • Robotic pipe cleaners
  • Tape measures
  • Bale hooks
  • Concrete pumpers
  • Motor graders
  • Masonry forklifts
  • Skid steer loaders
  • Saber saws

Alternative Job Titles