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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Estimator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #321 of 702. Estimated risk: 57.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

60%

“Commercial Estimator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 60% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

22%

“Commercial Estimator” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 22% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Cost Estimators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Prepare cost estimates for product manufacturing, construction projects, or services to aid management in bidding on or determining price of product or service. May specialize according to particular service performed or type of product manufactured.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,160
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.98
Available Jobs (US) 219,530
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Cost Estimators #13-1051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Cost Estimators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.

  • Assess cost effectiveness of products, projects or services, tracking actual costs relative to bids as the project develops.

  • Visit site and record information about access, drainage and topography, and availability of utility services.

  • Prepare estimates for use in selecting vendors or subcontractors.

  • Prepare estimates used by management for purposes such as planning, organizing, and scheduling work.

  • Confer with engineers, architects, owners, contractors, and subcontractors on changes and adjustments to cost estimates.

  • Establish and maintain tendering process, and conduct negotiations.

  • Review material and labor requirements to decide whether it is more cost-effective to produce or purchase components.

  • Prepare and maintain a directory of suppliers, contractors and subcontractors.

  • Prepare cost and expenditure statements and other necessary documentation at regular intervals for the duration of the project.

  • Set up cost monitoring and reporting systems and procedures.

  • Consult with clients, vendors, personnel in other departments, or construction foremen to discuss and formulate estimates and resolve issues.

  • Collect historical cost data to estimate costs for current or future products.

  • Conduct special studies to develop and establish standard hour and related cost data or to reduce cost.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Xactware Xactimate
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Apple AppleWorks
  • Tableau AI
  • Cost estimating software
  • Microsoft OneNote
  • ConEst BidTrac
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Choice Job Cost
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • QSM SLIM Suite
  • PRICE Sytems TruePlanning
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ConEst IntelliBid Design Build
  • Alteryx AI
  • WinEstimator WinEst
  • Sage 50 Accounting
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • IBM Costimater
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Decisioneering Crystal Ball
  • Planful AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • Construction Management Software ProEst
  • Meta Business AI
  • Palisade @Risk
  • DataRobot
  • Softstar Costar COCOMO II
  • Galorath SEER-SEM
  • ConEst Intellibid
  • SAP BusinessObjects Crystal Reports
  • Sage 300 Construction and Real Estate
  • On Center On-Screen Takeoff
  • ConEst Permit Trac
  • SAP software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Assured Software JPP
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Procore software
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • CPR International GeneralCOST Estimator
  • Logic Software Easy Projects.NET
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Project
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • EFI Hagen OA
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ConEst T&M Billing Manager
  • ConstructConnect PlanSwift
  • Sage 100 Contractor
  • ConEst Electrical Formulas
  • CPR Visual Estimator
  • Laserfiche Avante
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Dynamics
  • ConEst JobTrac
  • Galorath SEER
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Primavera Cost Management
  • Perplexity AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Oracle Hyperion
  • Resources Calculations Incorporated SoftCost
  • Microsoft Word
  • Napkin AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Computer aided design and drafting CADD software
  • Microsoft Business Contact Manager
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • Corel QuattroPro
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ConEst SureCount
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Cost accounting software
  • Software AG enterprise software
  • Scanners
  • Desktop computers
  • Tablet computers
  • Personal computers
  • Notebook computers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA