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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Estimator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #321 of 702. Estimated risk: 57.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

60%

“Commercial Estimator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 60% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

22%

“Commercial Estimator” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 22% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Cost Estimators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Prepare cost estimates for product manufacturing, construction projects, or services to aid management in bidding on or determining price of product or service. May specialize according to particular service performed or type of product manufactured.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,160
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.98
Available Jobs (US) 219,530
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Cost Estimators #13-1051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Cost Estimators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Prepare estimates for use in selecting vendors or subcontractors.

  • Assess cost effectiveness of products, projects or services, tracking actual costs relative to bids as the project develops.

  • Consult with clients, vendors, personnel in other departments, or construction foremen to discuss and formulate estimates and resolve issues.

  • Conduct special studies to develop and establish standard hour and related cost data or to reduce cost.

  • Confer with engineers, architects, owners, contractors, and subcontractors on changes and adjustments to cost estimates.

  • Prepare estimates used by management for purposes such as planning, organizing, and scheduling work.

  • Review material and labor requirements to decide whether it is more cost-effective to produce or purchase components.

  • Collect historical cost data to estimate costs for current or future products.

  • Set up cost monitoring and reporting systems and procedures.

  • Visit site and record information about access, drainage and topography, and availability of utility services.

  • Prepare cost and expenditure statements and other necessary documentation at regular intervals for the duration of the project.

  • Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.

  • Prepare and maintain a directory of suppliers, contractors and subcontractors.

  • Establish and maintain tendering process, and conduct negotiations.

Technologies & Software

  • Palisade @Risk
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ConEst BidTrac
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Microsoft Visio
  • EFI Hagen OA
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ConEst IntelliBid Design Build
  • Sage 300 Construction and Real Estate
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Alteryx AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ConEst JobTrac
  • Microsoft Office software
  • PRICE Sytems TruePlanning
  • Softstar Costar COCOMO II
  • Procore software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Tableau AI
  • DataRobot
  • Assured Software JPP
  • Planful AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Logic Software Easy Projects.NET
  • WinEstimator WinEst
  • Cost estimating software
  • ConEst Intellibid
  • Primavera Cost Management
  • Microsoft Business Contact Manager
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • ConstructConnect PlanSwift
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • On Center On-Screen Takeoff
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • CPR International GeneralCOST Estimator
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • ConEst Electrical Formulas
  • IBM Costimater
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Dynamics
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • CPR Visual Estimator
  • Galorath SEER-SEM
  • Microsoft Access
  • Sage 100 Contractor
  • ConEst Permit Trac
  • DeepSeek
  • Construction Management Software ProEst
  • Xactware Xactimate
  • Computer aided design and drafting CADD software
  • Meta Business AI
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Llama (Meta)
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Decisioneering Crystal Ball
  • SAP BusinessObjects Crystal Reports
  • Corel QuattroPro
  • Microsoft Excel
  • QSM SLIM Suite
  • ConEst T&M Billing Manager
  • Napkin AI
  • Microsoft Project
  • Software AG enterprise software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Apple AppleWorks
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Oracle Hyperion
  • Sage 50 Accounting
  • Laserfiche Avante
  • Microsoft OneNote
  • Resources Calculations Incorporated SoftCost
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Cost accounting software
  • Microsoft Word
  • ConEst SureCount
  • Choice Job Cost
  • SAP software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Galorath SEER
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Notebook computers
  • Tablet computers
  • Scanners