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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Estimator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #321 of 702. Estimated risk: 57.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

60%

“Commercial Estimator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 60% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

22%

“Commercial Estimator” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 22% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Cost Estimators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Prepare cost estimates for product manufacturing, construction projects, or services to aid management in bidding on or determining price of product or service. May specialize according to particular service performed or type of product manufactured.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,160
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.98
Available Jobs (US) 219,530
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Cost Estimators #13-1051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Cost Estimators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Prepare estimates used by management for purposes such as planning, organizing, and scheduling work.

  • Visit site and record information about access, drainage and topography, and availability of utility services.

  • Establish and maintain tendering process, and conduct negotiations.

  • Review material and labor requirements to decide whether it is more cost-effective to produce or purchase components.

  • Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.

  • Conduct special studies to develop and establish standard hour and related cost data or to reduce cost.

  • Consult with clients, vendors, personnel in other departments, or construction foremen to discuss and formulate estimates and resolve issues.

  • Prepare cost and expenditure statements and other necessary documentation at regular intervals for the duration of the project.

  • Set up cost monitoring and reporting systems and procedures.

  • Collect historical cost data to estimate costs for current or future products.

  • Prepare and maintain a directory of suppliers, contractors and subcontractors.

  • Assess cost effectiveness of products, projects or services, tracking actual costs relative to bids as the project develops.

  • Confer with engineers, architects, owners, contractors, and subcontractors on changes and adjustments to cost estimates.

  • Prepare estimates for use in selecting vendors or subcontractors.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini (Google)
  • Decisioneering Crystal Ball
  • Corel QuattroPro
  • Xactware Xactimate
  • Sage 100 Contractor
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Cost estimating software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Resources Calculations Incorporated SoftCost
  • Microsoft Business Contact Manager
  • ConEst Intellibid
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • ConstructConnect PlanSwift
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SAP BusinessObjects Crystal Reports
  • CPR International GeneralCOST Estimator
  • Cost accounting software
  • Microsoft OneNote
  • ConEst SureCount
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Meta Business AI
  • DataRobot
  • Perplexity AI
  • QSM SLIM Suite
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • ConEst Permit Trac
  • EFI Hagen OA
  • Softstar Costar COCOMO II
  • IBM Costimater
  • Planful AI
  • DeepSeek
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Sage 300 Construction and Real Estate
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Microsoft Word
  • Galorath SEER
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Galorath SEER-SEM
  • CPR Visual Estimator
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Procore software
  • Tableau AI
  • ConEst Electrical Formulas
  • Palisade @Risk
  • Construction Management Software ProEst
  • Microsoft Dynamics
  • Assured Software JPP
  • Software AG enterprise software
  • Oracle Hyperion
  • Computer aided design and drafting CADD software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Napkin AI
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • ConEst JobTrac
  • Sage 50 Accounting
  • PRICE Sytems TruePlanning
  • ConEst BidTrac
  • WinEstimator WinEst
  • Choice Job Cost
  • Microsoft Project
  • ConEst IntelliBid Design Build
  • ConEst T&M Billing Manager
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Apple AppleWorks
  • On Center On-Screen Takeoff
  • Logic Software Easy Projects.NET
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Primavera Cost Management
  • Laserfiche Avante
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Alteryx AI
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Scanners
  • Notebook computers
  • Tablet computers
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers