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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Plumbing Estimator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #321 of 702. Estimated risk: 57.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

60%

“Plumbing Estimator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 60% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

22%

“Plumbing Estimator” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 22% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Cost Estimators, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Prepare cost estimates for product manufacturing, construction projects, or services to aid management in bidding on or determining price of product or service. May specialize according to particular service performed or type of product manufactured.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,160
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.98
Available Jobs (US) 219,530
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Cost Estimators #13-1051
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Cost Estimators”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Collect historical cost data to estimate costs for current or future products.

  • Prepare and maintain a directory of suppliers, contractors and subcontractors.

  • Confer with engineers, architects, owners, contractors, and subcontractors on changes and adjustments to cost estimates.

  • Prepare estimates used by management for purposes such as planning, organizing, and scheduling work.

  • Set up cost monitoring and reporting systems and procedures.

  • Assess cost effectiveness of products, projects or services, tracking actual costs relative to bids as the project develops.

  • Prepare cost and expenditure statements and other necessary documentation at regular intervals for the duration of the project.

  • Conduct special studies to develop and establish standard hour and related cost data or to reduce cost.

  • Review material and labor requirements to decide whether it is more cost-effective to produce or purchase components.

  • Prepare estimates for use in selecting vendors or subcontractors.

  • Visit site and record information about access, drainage and topography, and availability of utility services.

  • Establish and maintain tendering process, and conduct negotiations.

  • Consult with clients, vendors, personnel in other departments, or construction foremen to discuss and formulate estimates and resolve issues.

  • Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.

Technologies & Software

  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ConEst JobTrac
  • Corel QuattroPro
  • IBM Costimater
  • PRICE Sytems TruePlanning
  • ConEst Intellibid
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Resources Calculations Incorporated SoftCost
  • Assured Software JPP
  • Software AG enterprise software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Palisade @Risk
  • Alteryx AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Oracle Primavera Enterprise Project Portfolio Management
  • Oracle JD Edwards EnterpriseOne
  • Tableau AI
  • CPR International GeneralCOST Estimator
  • DataRobot
  • WinEstimator WinEst
  • EFI Hagen OA
  • Cost accounting software
  • Choice Job Cost
  • Sage 100 Contractor
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ConEst T&M Billing Manager
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Galorath SEER-SEM
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Primavera Cost Management
  • ConEst Electrical Formulas
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft OneNote
  • IBM Lotus 1-2-3
  • Microsoft Visio
  • ConEst BidTrac
  • CPR Visual Estimator
  • Apple AppleWorks
  • Computer aided design and drafting CADD software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • HCSS HeavyBid
  • Cost estimating software
  • ConEst IntelliBid Design Build
  • Planful AI
  • Microsoft Project
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • HCSS HeavyJob
  • Perplexity AI
  • Construction Management Software ProEst
  • QSM SLIM Suite
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Sage 300 Construction and Real Estate
  • Logic Software Easy Projects.NET
  • DeepSeek
  • SAP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ConEst Permit Trac
  • Microsoft Word
  • Decisioneering Crystal Ball
  • Meta Business AI
  • Xactware Xactimate
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Procore software
  • Galorath SEER
  • Softstar Costar COCOMO II
  • On Center On-Screen Takeoff
  • ConEst SureCount
  • ConstructConnect PlanSwift
  • Microsoft Business Contact Manager
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Access
  • Napkin AI
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Oracle Hyperion
  • SAP BusinessObjects Crystal Reports
  • Microsoft Dynamics
  • Sage 50 Accounting
  • Laserfiche Avante
  • Personal computers
  • Scanners
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Notebook computers
  • Tablet computers
  • Desktop computers