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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Agricultural Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Agricultural Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Agricultural Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

Technologies & Software

  • Scite AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • 3dMapper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Word processing software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Gstat
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • SPAW
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Grok (xAI)
  • LandSerf
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • PedonCE
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Consensus
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Microsoft Word
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Elicit
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • SGeMS
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • UNSATFLOW
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • GEOEAS
  • R
  • Soil information databases
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • GSLIB
  • Microsoft Excel
  • DeepSeek
  • SAS
  • STATISTICA
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Osmometers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Personal computers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Electron microscopes
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Luminometers
  • Hand augers
  • Lysimeters
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Fluorimeters
  • Glass flasks
  • Tensiometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Dataloggers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Soil thermometers
  • Flame photometers
  • Porometers
  • Autosamplers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Glass beakers
  • Thermocouples
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Digital cameras
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Sample containers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Precision balances
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Gel dryers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Desktop computers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Psychrometers
  • pH indicators
  • Infrared cameras
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Circulating water baths
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Digital pH meters
  • Soil augers
  • Colorimeters
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Personal digital assistants PDA