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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Agricultural Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Agricultural Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Agricultural Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

Technologies & Software

  • Soil information databases
  • Gstat
  • Elicit
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • LandSerf
  • SAS
  • 3dMapper
  • Microsoft Office software
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • R
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • GEOEAS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SPAW
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Perplexity AI
  • GSLIB
  • DeepSeek
  • UNSATFLOW
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Word processing software
  • STATISTICA
  • SGeMS
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Microsoft Access
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Consensus
  • Scite AI
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • PedonCE
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Osmometers
  • Fluorimeters
  • Gel dryers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Precision balances
  • Hand augers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Flame photometers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • pH indicators
  • Mass spectrometers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Conductivity meters
  • Luminometers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Glass flasks
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Glass beakers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Desktop computers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Personal computers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Digital pH meters
  • Digital cameras
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Lysimeters
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Colorimeters
  • Laptop computers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Sample containers
  • Dataloggers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Psychrometers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Soil augers
  • Autosamplers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Porometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Circulating water baths
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Thermocouples
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Tensiometers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems