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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Agricultural Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Agricultural Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Agricultural Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

Technologies & Software

  • Llama (Meta)
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • SPAW
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Perplexity AI
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Elicit
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • PedonCE
  • Microsoft Word
  • STATISTICA
  • R
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Soil information databases
  • Word processing software
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • SGeMS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • GSLIB
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Consensus
  • LandSerf
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • 3dMapper
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GEOEAS
  • Gstat
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • SAS
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Scite AI
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Infrared cameras
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital cameras
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Heat flux plates
  • Dataloggers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Electron microscopes
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Autosamplers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Flame photometers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Osmometers
  • Gel dryers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Personal computers
  • Precision balances
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Hand augers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Circulating water baths
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Thermocouples
  • Porometers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Luminometers
  • Fluorimeters
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Desktop computers
  • Colorimeters
  • Glass flasks
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Psychrometers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Digital pH meters
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Soil augers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Sample containers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Glass beakers
  • Conductivity meters
  • pH indicators
  • Tensiometers
  • Lysimeters
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers