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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Agricultural Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Agricultural Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Agricultural Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

Technologies & Software

  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Consensus
  • GSLIB
  • SGeMS
  • Microsoft Word
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • LandSerf
  • Scite AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Gstat
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Word processing software
  • Elicit
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • 3dMapper
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • R
  • SAS
  • Microsoft Access
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Perplexity AI
  • SPAW
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • DeepSeek
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • PedonCE
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Soil information databases
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • STATISTICA
  • GEOEAS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Hand augers
  • Flame photometers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Porometers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Autosamplers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Tensiometers
  • Circulating water baths
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Precision balances
  • Fluorimeters
  • Conductivity meters
  • Digital cameras
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Dataloggers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Personal computers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Sample containers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Glass beakers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Psychrometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Thermocouples
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Infrared cameras
  • pH indicators
  • Gel dryers
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Desktop computers
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Luminometers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Soil augers
  • Glass flasks
  • Osmometers
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Colorimeters
  • Lysimeters
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers