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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cotton Breeder” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Cotton Breeder” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Cotton Breeder” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

Technologies & Software

  • Perplexity AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Gstat
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Elicit
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • 3dMapper
  • Microsoft Access
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • DeepSeek
  • SAS
  • Consensus
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • GSLIB
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • SPAW
  • Word processing software
  • Soil information databases
  • Scite AI
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • STATISTICA
  • R
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • PedonCE
  • SGeMS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • LandSerf
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • GEOEAS
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Lysimeters
  • Fluorimeters
  • Glass flasks
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Luminometers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Infrared cameras
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Electron microscopes
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Colorimeters
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Osmometers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Conductivity meters
  • Autosamplers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Circulating water baths
  • Personal computers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Laptop computers
  • Flame photometers
  • Hand augers
  • Soil augers
  • Desktop computers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Digital cameras
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Tensiometers
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Porometers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Heat flux plates
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Psychrometers
  • Gel dryers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Digital pH meters
  • pH indicators
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Dataloggers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Sample containers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Precision balances
  • Thermocouples
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Glass beakers