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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cotton Breeder” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Cotton Breeder” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Cotton Breeder” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Word processing software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SPAW
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • STATISTICA
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Gemini (Google)
  • GEOEAS
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Soil information databases
  • 3dMapper
  • R
  • Elicit
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Consensus
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Scite AI
  • PedonCE
  • GSLIB
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gstat
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Access
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • SGeMS
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • LandSerf
  • Perplexity AI
  • SAS
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • pH indicators
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Electron microscopes
  • Porometers
  • Hand augers
  • Gel dryers
  • Luminometers
  • Digital cameras
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Flame photometers
  • Thermocouples
  • Sample containers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Fluorimeters
  • Conductivity meters
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Lysimeters
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Tensiometers
  • Glass beakers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Infrared cameras
  • Laboratory mixers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Glass flasks
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Desktop computers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Heat flux plates
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Circulating water baths
  • Soil thermometers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Autosamplers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Personal computers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Soil augers
  • Precision balances
  • Laptop computers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Osmometers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Psychrometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Colorimeters
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Dataloggers
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Spectrophotometers