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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Horticultural Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Horticultural Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Horticultural Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

Technologies & Software

  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • GSLIB
  • SPAW
  • PedonCE
  • DeepSeek
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • STATISTICA
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • LandSerf
  • Scite AI
  • Word processing software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • SGeMS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gstat
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Elicit
  • R
  • Microsoft Office software
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • 3dMapper
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Soil information databases
  • SAS
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Access
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • GEOEAS
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Llama (Meta)
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Consensus
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Flame photometers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Osmometers
  • Soil augers
  • Dataloggers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Personal computers
  • Digital cameras
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Lysimeters
  • Laser particle sizers
  • pH indicators
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Colorimeters
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Tensiometers
  • Glass beakers
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Autosamplers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Gel dryers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Sample containers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Fluorimeters
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Luminometers
  • Hand augers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Laptop computers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Heat flux plates
  • Glass flasks
  • Desktop computers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Thermocouples
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Precision balances
  • Porometers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Electron microscopes
  • Circulating water baths
  • Psychrometers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Calibrated soil scoops