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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Horticultural Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Horticultural Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Horticultural Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

Technologies & Software

  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • SAS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Word processing software
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • DeepSeek
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • LandSerf
  • Perplexity AI
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Gstat
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Soil information databases
  • GSLIB
  • STATISTICA
  • SGeMS
  • PedonCE
  • Elicit
  • Microsoft Access
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • GEOEAS
  • UNSATFLOW
  • SPAW
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Scite AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • 3dMapper
  • Consensus
  • R
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Glass beakers
  • Soil augers
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Digital cameras
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Tensiometers
  • Luminometers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Electron microscopes
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Autosamplers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Psychrometers
  • Hand augers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Gel dryers
  • Desktop computers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Conductivity meters
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Fluorimeters
  • Colorimeters
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Flame photometers
  • Glass flasks
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Porometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • pH indicators
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Precision balances
  • Thermocouples
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Lysimeters
  • Circulating water baths
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Dataloggers
  • Osmometers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Infrared cameras
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Personal computers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Sample containers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Laptop computers
  • Graduated glass cylinders