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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pomologist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Pomologist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Pomologist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

Technologies & Software

  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Gstat
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • R
  • Consensus
  • LandSerf
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Elicit
  • Scite AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • GSLIB
  • DeepSeek
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • SAS
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Perplexity AI
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • SGeMS
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • GEOEAS
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • STATISTICA
  • PedonCE
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • 3dMapper
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Soil information databases
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Microsoft Access
  • Word processing software
  • SPAW
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Autosamplers
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Soil augers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Heat flux plates
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Luminometers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Soil thermometers
  • Hand augers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Circulating water baths
  • Osmometers
  • Personal computers
  • Laptop computers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Desktop computers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Glass beakers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Fluorimeters
  • Dataloggers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Lysimeters
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Digital pH meters
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Gel dryers
  • Colorimeters
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Thermocouples
  • Digital cameras
  • Precision balances
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Psychrometers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Flame photometers
  • Sample containers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • pH indicators
  • Glass flasks
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Tensiometers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Porometers