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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Arboriculturist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Arboriculturist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Arboriculturist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

Technologies & Software

  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Microsoft Word
  • Word processing software
  • SGeMS
  • UNSATFLOW
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Perplexity AI
  • SPAW
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Consensus
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Soil information databases
  • DeepSeek
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • GSLIB
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Scite AI
  • STATISTICA
  • Elicit
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Grok (xAI)
  • 3dMapper
  • GEOEAS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Access
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Gstat
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • SAS
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • LandSerf
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • PedonCE
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • R
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Thermocouples
  • Precision balances
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Glass flasks
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Osmometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Dataloggers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Autosamplers
  • Soil augers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Gel dryers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Luminometers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Colorimeters
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Porometers
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Digital pH meters
  • Tensiometers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • pH indicators
  • Hand augers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Flame photometers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Sample containers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Fluorimeters
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Digital cameras
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Glass beakers
  • Personal computers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Circulating water baths
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Electron microscopes
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Lysimeters
  • Psychrometers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Desktop computers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths