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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Arboriculturist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Arboriculturist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Arboriculturist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Access
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • R
  • Microsoft Office software
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Word processing software
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • SPAW
  • Elicit
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • SAS
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • GEOEAS
  • Scite AI
  • Soil information databases
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft Word
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Consensus
  • Gstat
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • PedonCE
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • 3dMapper
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • GSLIB
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • LandSerf
  • SGeMS
  • STATISTICA
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Perplexity AI
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Circulating water baths
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Fluorimeters
  • Digital cameras
  • Glass beakers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Thermocouples
  • Laptop computers
  • Soil augers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Porometers
  • Psychrometers
  • Tensiometers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Heat flux plates
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Sample containers
  • Dataloggers
  • Hand augers
  • Precision balances
  • Canopy analyzers
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Flame photometers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Gel dryers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • pH indicators
  • Lysimeters
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Osmometers
  • Autosamplers
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Conductivity meters
  • Colorimeters
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Soil thermometers
  • Glass flasks
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Personal computers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Luminometers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Desktop computers