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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Arboriculturist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Arboriculturist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Arboriculturist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • PedonCE
  • Microsoft Access
  • Consensus
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Scite AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • GSLIB
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Perplexity AI
  • SAS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • GEOEAS
  • Elicit
  • Gstat
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • SGeMS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • STATISTICA
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • DeepSeek
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Word processing software
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Soil information databases
  • 3dMapper
  • R
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • SPAW
  • Microsoft Word
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • UNSATFLOW
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • LandSerf
  • Circulating water baths
  • pH indicators
  • Precision balances
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Autosamplers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Desktop computers
  • Dataloggers
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Personal computers
  • Laptop computers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Hand augers
  • Gel dryers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Digital pH meters
  • Colorimeters
  • Fluorimeters
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Lysimeters
  • Glass flasks
  • Porometers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Heat flux plates
  • Psychrometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Sample containers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Electron microscopes
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Thermocouples
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Tensiometers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Soil augers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Conductivity meters
  • Flame photometers
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Digital cameras
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Glass beakers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Soil thermometers
  • Osmometers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Luminometers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR