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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Plant Breeder” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Plant Breeder” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Plant Breeder” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • R
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Access
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Scite AI
  • PedonCE
  • Llama (Meta)
  • GEOEAS
  • DeepSeek
  • Gstat
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Word processing software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • SGeMS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Soil information databases
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Elicit
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • SPAW
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • STATISTICA
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • GSLIB
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Consensus
  • Microsoft Office software
  • 3dMapper
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • SAS
  • LandSerf
  • Perplexity AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Conductivity meters
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Glass flasks
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Soil augers
  • pH indicators
  • Porometers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Luminometers
  • Psychrometers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Fluorimeters
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Soil thermometers
  • Gel dryers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Lysimeters
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Hand augers
  • Precision balances
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Sample containers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Osmometers
  • Tensiometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Circulating water baths
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Colorimeters
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Dataloggers
  • Glass beakers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Thermocouples
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Digital cameras
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Flame photometers
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Personal computers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Heat flux plates
  • Digital pH meters
  • Autosamplers
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Electron microscopes
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Desktop computers
  • Organic carbon analyzers