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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Horticulturist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Horticulturist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Horticulturist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

Technologies & Software

  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • 3dMapper
  • GSLIB
  • R
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Scite AI
  • Gstat
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Consensus
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Elicit
  • Soil information databases
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • LandSerf
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • GEOEAS
  • STATISTICA
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • SGeMS
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • DeepSeek
  • SAS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • SPAW
  • Perplexity AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • PedonCE
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Word processing software
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Autosamplers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Soil thermometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Psychrometers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Colorimeters
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Sample containers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Precision balances
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Conductivity meters
  • Soil augers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Dataloggers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Hand augers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Heat flux plates
  • pH indicators
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Luminometers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Thermocouples
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Digital cameras
  • Gel dryers
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Personal computers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Glass flasks
  • Circulating water baths
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Laptop computers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Osmometers
  • Lysimeters
  • Fluorimeters
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Electron microscopes
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Porometers
  • Flame photometers
  • Desktop computers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Glass beakers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Tensiometers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Laboratory growth chambers