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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Horticulturist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Horticulturist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Horticulturist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

Technologies & Software

  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Perplexity AI
  • GSLIB
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Consensus
  • Microsoft Word
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • R
  • Scite AI
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • STATISTICA
  • Elicit
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • 3dMapper
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Gstat
  • DeepSeek
  • SGeMS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • GEOEAS
  • SPAW
  • PedonCE
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • LandSerf
  • Microsoft Access
  • Word processing software
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Soil information databases
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • SAS
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • pH indicators
  • Dataloggers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Soil augers
  • Glass flasks
  • Digital pH meters
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Gel dryers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Personal computers
  • Porometers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Digital cameras
  • Precision balances
  • Infrared cameras
  • Laptop computers
  • Osmometers
  • Sample containers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Fluorimeters
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Glass beakers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Thermocouples
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Flame photometers
  • Psychrometers
  • Circulating water baths
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Lysimeters
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Colorimeters
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Tensiometers
  • Autosamplers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Hand augers
  • Desktop computers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Luminometers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks