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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Horticulturist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Horticulturist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Horticulturist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

Technologies & Software

  • Scite AI
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Word processing software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Soil information databases
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • GEOEAS
  • Microsoft Word
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • STATISTICA
  • Microsoft Access
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • R
  • SPAW
  • 3dMapper
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gstat
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • SGeMS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • LandSerf
  • PedonCE
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Elicit
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Perplexity AI
  • GSLIB
  • Grok (xAI)
  • UNSATFLOW
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • SAS
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Consensus
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Digital cameras
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Desktop computers
  • Psychrometers
  • Luminometers
  • Dataloggers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Digital pH meters
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Circulating water baths
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Heat flux plates
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Glass beakers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Electron microscopes
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Fluorimeters
  • Thermocouples
  • Sample containers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • pH indicators
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Colorimeters
  • Autosamplers
  • Gel dryers
  • Soil augers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Laptop computers
  • Tensiometers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Precision balances
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Porometers
  • Personal computers
  • Flame photometers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Osmometers
  • Lysimeters
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Hand augers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Glass flasks