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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Agriculturist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Agriculturist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Agriculturist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

Technologies & Software

  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • PedonCE
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • SGeMS
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • SPAW
  • LandSerf
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Gstat
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • DeepSeek
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Scite AI
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Word processing software
  • Soil information databases
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • GSLIB
  • Elicit
  • R
  • Perplexity AI
  • STATISTICA
  • SAS
  • 3dMapper
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Microsoft Word
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Llama (Meta)
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Consensus
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • GEOEAS
  • Microsoft Access
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Tensiometers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Glass flasks
  • Circulating water baths
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Autosamplers
  • Personal computers
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Laboratory grinders
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Osmometers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Psychrometers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Precision balances
  • Digital cameras
  • pH indicators
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Desktop computers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Soil augers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Flame photometers
  • Porometers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Dataloggers
  • Laptop computers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Fluorimeters
  • Lysimeters
  • Hand augers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Gel dryers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Glass beakers
  • Luminometers
  • Sample containers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Heat flux plates
  • Electron microscopes
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Colorimeters
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Thermocouples
  • Laboratory mixers