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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Agriculturist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Agriculturist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Agriculturist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

Technologies & Software

  • Grok (xAI)
  • Scite AI
  • Consensus
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • PedonCE
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • LandSerf
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Office software
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Elicit
  • GSLIB
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Word processing software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Microsoft Access
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Perplexity AI
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • SGeMS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • STATISTICA
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • GEOEAS
  • UNSATFLOW
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gstat
  • Microsoft Word
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • 3dMapper
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • SPAW
  • SAS
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Soil information databases
  • R
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Dataloggers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Heat flux plates
  • Digital cameras
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Soil augers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Porometers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Flame photometers
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Conductivity meters
  • pH indicators
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Circulating water baths
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Laser particle sizers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Colorimeters
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Psychrometers
  • Gel dryers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Lysimeters
  • Glass flasks
  • Precision balances
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Fluorimeters
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Tensiometers
  • Autosamplers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Hand augers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Sample containers
  • Osmometers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Luminometers
  • Thermocouples
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Laptop computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Personal computers
  • Glass beakers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Soil moisture neutron probes