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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Arborist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Arborist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Arborist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

Technologies & Software

  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Consensus
  • Grok (xAI)
  • GEOEAS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • GSLIB
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Elicit
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • SAS
  • STATISTICA
  • Gemini (Google)
  • LandSerf
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • UNSATFLOW
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Office software
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • 3dMapper
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Microsoft Access
  • Perplexity AI
  • PedonCE
  • SPAW
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Scite AI
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Word
  • R
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • SGeMS
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Gstat
  • Soil information databases
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Precision balances
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Luminometers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Heat flux plates
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Glass flasks
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Desktop computers
  • Thermocouples
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Autosamplers
  • Colorimeters
  • Osmometers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Personal computers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Infrared cameras
  • Digital pH meters
  • Laboratory grinders
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Circulating water baths
  • Soil augers
  • Glass beakers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Hand augers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Tensiometers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Fluorimeters
  • Dataloggers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Lysimeters
  • Psychrometers
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Porometers
  • Laptop computers
  • pH indicators
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Sample containers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Flame photometers
  • Digital cameras
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Gel dryers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Electron microscopes