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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Arborist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Arborist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Arborist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

Technologies & Software

  • GSLIB
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • PedonCE
  • Word processing software
  • Elicit
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • LandSerf
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Consensus
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • R
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gstat
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Soil information databases
  • SAS
  • SPAW
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SGeMS
  • STATISTICA
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • 3dMapper
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Word
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Perplexity AI
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Scite AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • GEOEAS
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Laptop computers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Soil augers
  • Colorimeters
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Gel dryers
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Psychrometers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Fluorimeters
  • Heat flux plates
  • Soil thermometers
  • Lysimeters
  • Glass beakers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • pH indicators
  • Digital cameras
  • Flame photometers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Digital pH meters
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Desktop computers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Personal computers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Dataloggers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Circulating water baths
  • Porometers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Tensiometers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Sample containers
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Osmometers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Luminometers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Glass flasks
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Thermocouples
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Hand augers
  • Precision balances
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Autosamplers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES