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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Arborist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Arborist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Arborist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

Technologies & Software

  • Elicit
  • Microsoft Access
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • PedonCE
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Microsoft Office software
  • DeepSeek
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • R
  • LandSerf
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SPAW
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • GSLIB
  • Perplexity AI
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Consensus
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • GEOEAS
  • Soil information databases
  • Word processing software
  • STATISTICA
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • 3dMapper
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • SGeMS
  • Gstat
  • SAS
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Excel
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Scite AI
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Colorimeters
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Gel dryers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Conductivity meters
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Fluorimeters
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • pH indicators
  • Digital pH meters
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Lysimeters
  • Glass flasks
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Soil augers
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Flame photometers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Sample containers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Luminometers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Personal computers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Autosamplers
  • Thermocouples
  • Dataloggers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Osmometers
  • Glass beakers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Psychrometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Precision balances
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Porometers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Laptop computers
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Hand augers
  • Desktop computers
  • Tensiometers
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Digital cameras
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Circulating water baths