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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Arborist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Arborist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Arborist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

Technologies & Software

  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • SAS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • SPAW
  • Gemini (Google)
  • 3dMapper
  • SGeMS
  • Microsoft Word
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • R
  • STATISTICA
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Perplexity AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Soil information databases
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Elicit
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • PedonCE
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Scite AI
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Consensus
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • DeepSeek
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Access
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gstat
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • GSLIB
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Word processing software
  • GEOEAS
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • LandSerf
  • UNSATFLOW
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Glass flasks
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Precision balances
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Digital pH meters
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Glass beakers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Thermocouples
  • Fluorimeters
  • Digital cameras
  • Infrared cameras
  • Sample containers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Flame photometers
  • pH indicators
  • Tensiometers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Autosamplers
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Conductivity meters
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Dataloggers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Soil augers
  • Colorimeters
  • Soil thermometers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Gel dryers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Laptop computers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Lysimeters
  • Psychrometers
  • Hand augers
  • Luminometers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Circulating water baths
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Personal computers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Porometers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Osmometers
  • Desktop computers
  • Canopy analyzers