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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Field Agronomist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Field Agronomist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Field Agronomist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

Technologies & Software

  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Scite AI
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • SPAW
  • Gstat
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • STATISTICA
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • R
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • GEOEAS
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • 3dMapper
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Access
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • PedonCE
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Word processing software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • LandSerf
  • SGeMS
  • Soil information databases
  • Microsoft Word
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • GSLIB
  • Elicit
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Consensus
  • SAS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Hand augers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Porometers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Glass flasks
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Personal computers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Electron microscopes
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Psychrometers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Lysimeters
  • Soil augers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Flame photometers
  • Tensiometers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Luminometers
  • Dataloggers
  • Desktop computers
  • pH indicators
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Colorimeters
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Laptop computers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Thermocouples
  • Circulating water baths
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Autosamplers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Infrared cameras
  • Fluorimeters
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Soil thermometers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Digital cameras
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Glass beakers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Precision balances
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Sample containers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Gel dryers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Osmometers
  • Polarizing microscopes