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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Horticulture Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Horticulture Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Horticulture Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • LandSerf
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • GSLIB
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Scite AI
  • STATISTICA
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • 3dMapper
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Elicit
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Consensus
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Gstat
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • SAS
  • SPAW
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • DeepSeek
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • GEOEAS
  • PedonCE
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Perplexity AI
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • UNSATFLOW
  • SGeMS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Soil information databases
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • R
  • Personal computers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Dataloggers
  • Desktop computers
  • Porometers
  • Digital cameras
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Lysimeters
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Psychrometers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Heat flux plates
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Colorimeters
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Gel dryers
  • Laptop computers
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Glass flasks
  • Hand augers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Flame photometers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Luminometers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Conductivity meters
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Digital pH meters
  • Osmometers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Circulating water baths
  • pH indicators
  • Glass beakers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Soil augers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Fluorimeters
  • Autosamplers
  • Sample containers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Thermocouples
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Tensiometers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Precision balances
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Soil thermometers
  • Organic carbon analyzers