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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Horticulture Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Horticulture Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Horticulture Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

Technologies & Software

  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • PedonCE
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Consensus
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • GEOEAS
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • SGeMS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Llama (Meta)
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • GSLIB
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • LandSerf
  • SAS
  • Scite AI
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Elicit
  • Soil information databases
  • R
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • UNSATFLOW
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • DeepSeek
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Gstat
  • 3dMapper
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Access
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • STATISTICA
  • SPAW
  • Word processing software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • pH indicators
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Laptop computers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Glass flasks
  • Colorimeters
  • Mass spectrometers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Precision balances
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Lysimeters
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Hand augers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Thermocouples
  • Sample containers
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Porometers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Soil augers
  • Luminometers
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Flame photometers
  • Conductivity meters
  • Psychrometers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Gel dryers
  • Personal computers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Dataloggers
  • Desktop computers
  • Osmometers
  • Circulating water baths
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Digital cameras
  • Autosamplers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Tensiometers
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Fluorimeters
  • Digital pH meters
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Glass beakers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Refrigerated microfuges