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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Agricultural Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Agricultural Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Agricultural Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

Technologies & Software

  • SGeMS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Consensus
  • Gstat
  • LandSerf
  • Soil information databases
  • DeepSeek
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • PedonCE
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • R
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Microsoft Access
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Scite AI
  • 3dMapper
  • Perplexity AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • SPAW
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • GSLIB
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Elicit
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • SAS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Word processing software
  • UNSATFLOW
  • STATISTICA
  • GEOEAS
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Microsoft Office software
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Infrared cameras
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Fluorimeters
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Glass flasks
  • Luminometers
  • Tensiometers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Dataloggers
  • Circulating water baths
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • pH indicators
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Soil thermometers
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Psychrometers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Thermocouples
  • Conductivity meters
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Porometers
  • Laboratory grinders
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Glass beakers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Digital cameras
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Lysimeters
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Gel dryers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Precision balances
  • Autosamplers
  • Soil augers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Sample containers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Flame photometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Osmometers
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Heat flux plates
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Colorimeters
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Hand augers