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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Agriculturist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Agriculturist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Agriculturist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • SAS
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • SGeMS
  • Gstat
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Scite AI
  • Consensus
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • PedonCE
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Elicit
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • DeepSeek
  • GSLIB
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Word processing software
  • R
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • GEOEAS
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Soil information databases
  • LandSerf
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • STATISTICA
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Gemini (Google)
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • SPAW
  • 3dMapper
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Microsoft Access
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Fluorimeters
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Gel dryers
  • Flame photometers
  • Glass flasks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Porometers
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Circulating water baths
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Infrared cameras
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Personal computers
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Psychrometers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Laptop computers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Heat flux plates
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Dataloggers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Sample containers
  • Luminometers
  • Thermocouples
  • Soil augers
  • pH indicators
  • Digital cameras
  • Autosamplers
  • Lysimeters
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Tensiometers
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Desktop computers
  • Precision balances
  • Soil thermometers
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Electron microscopes
  • Glass beakers
  • Hand augers
  • Conductivity meters
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Colorimeters
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Osmometers
  • Digital pH meters
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Canopy analyzers