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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Arborist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #86 of 702. Estimated risk: 2.1%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Arborist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

42%

“Arborist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 42% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Soil and Plant Scientists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

Avg. Annual Salary $83,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $39.92
Available Jobs (US) 16,600
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Soil and Plant Scientists #19-1013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Soil and Plant Scientists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop methods of conserving or managing soil that can be applied by farmers or forestry companies.

  • Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.

  • Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.

  • Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.

  • Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.

  • Investigate soil problems or poor water quality to determine sources and effects.

  • Identify or classify species of insects or allied forms, such as mites or spiders.

  • Study insect distribution or habitat and recommend methods to prevent importation or spread of injurious species.

  • Conduct experiments regarding causes of bee diseases or factors affecting yields of nectar or pollen.

  • Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.

  • Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.

  • Identify degraded or contaminated soils and develop plans to improve their chemical, biological, or physical characteristics.

  • Research technical requirements or environmental impacts of urban green spaces, such as green roof installations.

  • Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.

  • Plan or supervise waste management programs for composting or farming.

  • Consult with engineers or other technical personnel working on construction projects about the effects of soil problems and possible solutions to these problems.

  • Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.

  • Conduct research into the use of plant species as green fuels or in the production of green fuels.

  • Perform chemical analyses of the microorganism content of soils to determine microbial reactions or chemical mineralogical relationships to plant growth.

  • Survey undisturbed or disturbed lands for classification, inventory, mapping, environmental impact assessments, environmental protection planning, conservation planning, or reclamation planning.

  • Provide information or recommendations to farmers or other landowners regarding ways in which they can best use land, promote plant growth, or avoid or correct problems such as erosion.

  • Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.

  • Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.

  • Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.

  • Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.

  • Communicate research or project results to other professionals or the public or teach related courses, seminars, or workshops.

  • Plan or supervise land conservation or reclamation programs for industrial development projects.

Technologies & Software

  • GSLIB
  • Consensus
  • PC-Progress HYDRUS
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS PEDON Description Program PDP
  • STATISTICA
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • PedonCE
  • Soil information databases
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • UNSATFLOW
  • Leica Geosystems ERDAS IMAGINE
  • Gstat
  • SGeMS
  • National Resources Conservation Service NRCS Soils Explorer
  • Elicit
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • GEOEAS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Water Erosion Prediction Project WEPP
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • R
  • GAEA Technologies WinSieve
  • SAS
  • SoilVision Systems SVOFFICE
  • Gemini (Google)
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • DeepSeek
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft Word
  • 3dMapper
  • Microsoft Office software
  • LandSerf
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Scite AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator EPIC
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • National Soil Information System NASIS
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Variogram Estimation and Spatial Prediction plus Error Vesper
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Excel
  • European Soil Erosion Model EUROSEM
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • SPAW
  • Glass beakers
  • Infrared cameras
  • Refrigerated microfuges
  • Personal computers
  • Organic carbon analyzers
  • Light detection and ranging LIDAR systems
  • Reciprocating shaker water baths
  • Laboratory growth chambers
  • Laboratory mixers
  • Infrared gas analyzers
  • Porometers
  • Circulating water baths
  • Desktop computers
  • High speed centrifuges
  • Mass spectrometers
  • Atomic absorption AA spectrometers
  • Sample containers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Precision balances
  • Osmometers
  • Gel documentation systems
  • Soil analysis hydrometers
  • Tensiometers
  • Inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometers ICP-AES
  • Soil augers
  • Laboratory muffle furnaces
  • Gel electrophoresis systems
  • Synthetic aperture radar SAR
  • Hand augers
  • Gamma ray spectrometers
  • Laser particle sizers
  • Laptop computers
  • Calibrated soil scoops
  • Soil thermometers
  • Graduated glass cylinders
  • Laboratory drying ovens
  • Glass flasks
  • Conductivity meters
  • Cell tissue culture incubators
  • Laboratory sieves
  • Thermocouples
  • Ground penetrating radar GPR
  • Lysimeters
  • Laboratory test tubes
  • Psychrometers
  • Spectrophotometers
  • Electron microscopes
  • Luminometers
  • Flame photometers
  • Polymerase chain reaction PCR equipment
  • Autosamplers
  • Laboratory grinders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • X ray fluorescence XRF spectrometers
  • Gel dryers
  • Soil moisture neutron probes
  • Polarizing microscopes
  • Digital pH meters
  • Hot water shaking baths
  • Canopy analyzers
  • Microtiter plate readers
  • Fluorimeters
  • Heat flux plates
  • Epifluorescence microscopes
  • Erlenmeyer flasks
  • Colorimeters
  • Digital cameras
  • Ion chromatographs
  • Dataloggers
  • Laminar flow hoods
  • pH indicators