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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “City Mail Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“City Mail Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“City Mail Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

Technologies & Software

  • Address Management System AMS
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Word processing software
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Perplexity AI
  • Notion AI
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Zapier AI
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Otter.ai
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Napkin AI
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Grammarly AI
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Wheeled carts
  • Route cases
  • Small trucks
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Handheld computers
  • Time clocks