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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mail Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Mail Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Mail Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

Technologies & Software

  • Napkin AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Address Management System AMS
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Grammarly AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Zapier AI
  • Notion AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Otter.ai
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Handheld computers
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Wheeled carts
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Route cases
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Small trucks
  • Time clocks