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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Rural Route Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Rural Route Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Rural Route Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

Technologies & Software

  • Word processing software
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Notion AI
  • Zapier AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • Grammarly AI
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Otter.ai
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Address Management System AMS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Napkin AI
  • Wheeled carts
  • Route cases
  • Time clocks
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Handheld computers
  • Small trucks
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Passenger vehicles