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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Postal Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Postal Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Postal Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

Technologies & Software

  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Address Management System AMS
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Otter.ai
  • Zapier AI
  • Word processing software
  • Grammarly AI
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Notion AI
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Napkin AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Small trucks
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Route cases
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Time clocks
  • Wheeled carts
  • Handheld computers
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Mail sorting trays