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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mailman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Mailman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Mailman” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

Technologies & Software

  • Perplexity AI
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Zapier AI
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Grammarly AI
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Microsoft Word
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Word processing software
  • Address Management System AMS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Otter.ai
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Notion AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Napkin AI
  • Route cases
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Time clocks
  • Wheeled carts
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Small trucks
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Handheld computers
  • Mail relay boxes