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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Route Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Route Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Route Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

Technologies & Software

  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Notion AI
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Otter.ai
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Word processing software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Microsoft Word
  • Zapier AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Address Management System AMS
  • Napkin AI
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Grammarly AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Time clocks
  • Small trucks
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Wheeled carts
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Route cases
  • Handheld computers
  • Delivery unit computers