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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Route Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Route Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Route Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Perplexity AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Notion AI
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grammarly AI
  • Napkin AI
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Zapier AI
  • Otter.ai
  • Word processing software
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Address Management System AMS
  • Handheld computers
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Small trucks
  • Wheeled carts
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Time clocks
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Route cases