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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Route Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Route Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Route Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

Technologies & Software

  • Otter.ai
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Grammarly AI
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Napkin AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Notion AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • Address Management System AMS
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Word processing software
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Zapier AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Wheeled carts
  • Route cases
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Handheld computers
  • Time clocks
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Small trucks
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Delivery unit computers