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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mail Delivery Driver” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Mail Delivery Driver” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Mail Delivery Driver” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Address Management System AMS
  • Napkin AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Word processing software
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Grammarly AI
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Zapier AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Otter.ai
  • Notion AI
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Route cases
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Time clocks
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Small trucks
  • Handheld computers
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Wheeled carts
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Postal vehicle tire chains