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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Letter Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Letter Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Letter Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

Technologies & Software

  • Grammarly AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Perplexity AI
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Napkin AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Address Management System AMS
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Zapier AI
  • Word processing software
  • Otter.ai
  • Notion AI
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Passenger vehicles
  • Wheeled carts
  • Time clocks
  • Route cases
  • Small trucks
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Handheld computers
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Portable barcode scanners