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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Letter Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Letter Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Letter Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Windows
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Zapier AI
  • Napkin AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • Otter.ai
  • Notion AI
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grammarly AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Perplexity AI
  • Address Management System AMS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Small trucks
  • Route cases
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Handheld computers
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Wheeled carts
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Time clocks
  • Passenger vehicles