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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Rural Mail Carrier” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #375 of 702. Estimated risk: 68.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Rural Mail Carrier” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

49%

“Rural Mail Carrier” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 49% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Postal Service Mail Carriers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Avg. Annual Salary $59,880
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.79
Available Jobs (US) 336,040
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Postal Service Mail Carriers #43-5052
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Postal Service Mail Carriers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

  • Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

  • Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

  • Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

  • Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

  • Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

  • Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

  • Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

  • Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

  • Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

  • Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

  • Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

  • Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

  • Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

  • Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

  • Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

  • Sell stamps and money orders.

  • Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

  • Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

  • Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

  • Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

Technologies & Software

  • Delivery operations information system DOIS
  • Napkin AI
  • Grammarly AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • End of Run Report EOR
  • Electronic Time Clock ETC
  • UiPath (RPA + AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Time and Attendance Collection System TACS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Address Management System AMS
  • Delivery Routing System DRS
  • Zapier AI
  • Word processing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Automated Data Collection System ADCS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Notion AI
  • Otter.ai
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Wheeled carts
  • Time clocks
  • Mail distribution cases
  • Mail relay boxes
  • Delivery unit computers
  • Postal vehicle tire chains
  • Small trucks
  • Handheld computers
  • Route cases
  • Portable barcode scanners
  • Mail sorting trays
  • Passenger vehicles