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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

Technologies & Software

  • Facility energy management software
  • Building automation software
  • IBM Notes
  • ManagerPlus
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Uptake AI
  • SAP software
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Perplexity AI
  • Database software
  • Graphics software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Contact management systems
  • Data logging software
  • Internet browser software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Personal computers
  • pH meters
  • Compound gauges
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Cordless drills
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Wire brushes
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Moisture meters
  • Bubble levels
  • Precision levels
  • Scaffolding
  • Utility knives
  • Groove pliers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Flaring tools
  • Dataloggers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Hand sprayers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Glue guns
  • Milliammeters
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Jacks
  • Potentiometers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Hacksaws
  • Watt transducers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Transit levels
  • Draft gauges
  • Two way radios
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Straightedges
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Safety goggles
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Venturi meters
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Hand seamers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Welding hoods
  • Smoke testers
  • Black lights
  • Soldering guns
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Pipe reamers
  • Portable drills
  • Valve wrenches
  • Tap sets
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Allen wrenches
  • Portable refractometers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Tubing benders
  • Conduit benders
  • Humidity simulators
  • Voltage simulators
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Air flow sensors
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Laptop computers
  • Scale rules
  • Micrometers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Micron gauges
  • Drill presses
  • Air velocity meters
  • Psychrometers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Claw hammers
  • Swaging tools
  • Charging cylinders
  • Wattmeters
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Charging manifolds
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Punches
  • Labeling machines
  • Plotters
  • Velometers
  • Squares
  • Oil guns
  • Water levels
  • Air flow hoods
  • Receptacle testers
  • Hammers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Pitot tubes
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Box cutters
  • Image scanners
  • Voltmeters
  • Oxygen testers
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Knockout punches
  • Power drills
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Bandsaws
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Litmus papers
  • Platform lifts
  • Air compressors
  • Temperature gauges
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Metal snips
  • Shackles
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Water testers
  • Tachometers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Spectrometers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Respirators
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Water level meters
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Laser printers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Riggings
  • Shears
  • Scrapers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Wire strippers
  • Long nose pliers
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Crowbars
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Circular saws
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Tongs
  • Cold chisels
  • Thermocouples
  • Pipe dies
  • Temperature simulators
  • Manometers
  • Hold down clamps
  • Forklifts
  • High-voltage probes
  • Brazing equipment
  • Soldering equipment
  • Power grinders
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Safety harnesses
  • Staging equipment
  • Screwdrivers
  • Ladders
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Service manifold sets
  • Jig saws
  • Chalk lines
  • Pipe cutters
  • Safety belts
  • Pipe benders
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Strap wrenches
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Acetylene torches
  • Electric drills
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Multimeters
  • Fish tapes
  • Power saws
  • Tinners hammers
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Autoranging meters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Water flow meters
  • Hygrosticks
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Smoke pens
  • Circuit tracers
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Insulation knives
  • Nut drivers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Open end wrenches
  • Duct knives
  • Power washers
  • Grease guns
  • Vernier calipers
  • Torque wrenches
  • Fin combs
  • Soldering irons
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Ammeters
  • Tube cutters
  • Hand trucks
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Resistance meters
  • Pressure simulators
  • Reamers
  • Decibel meters
  • Anemometers
  • Staging winches
  • Duct slicers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Chart recorders
  • Pullers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Hoists
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Feeler gauges
  • Flowmeters
  • Slings
  • Tin snips
  • Levels
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Safety glasses
  • Caulking guns
  • Dial indicators
  • Desktop computers
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Hand drills
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Tape measures
  • Awls
  • Hex wrenches
  • Laser levels
  • Calipers
  • Current simulators
  • Duct vacuums
  • Hole saws
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Wire cutters
  • Electrical current meters
  • Rulers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Scribers
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Bolt cutters

Alternative Job Titles