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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Building automation software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Data logging software
  • Contact management systems
  • IBM Notes
  • Internet browser software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Facility energy management software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • HVAC tools software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Perplexity AI
  • ManagerPlus
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Uptake AI
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Graphics software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • SAP software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Moisture meters
  • Hex wrenches
  • Long nose pliers
  • Smoke testers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Power saws
  • Hand drills
  • Shears
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Decibel meters
  • Torque wrenches
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Bandsaws
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Psychrometers
  • Respirators
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Pipe benders
  • Laptop computers
  • Swaging tools
  • Circuit tracers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Tinners hammers
  • Tubing benders
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Platform lifts
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Calipers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Slings
  • Hand trucks
  • Brazing equipment
  • Service manifold sets
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Acetylene torches
  • Pressure gauges
  • Pipe dies
  • Bubble levels
  • Safety goggles
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Power hacksaws
  • Manometers
  • Watt transducers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Soft face hammers
  • Scaffolding
  • Portable refractometers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Water levels
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Ladders
  • Pitot tubes
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Pipe reamers
  • Grease guns
  • Power washers
  • Air flow hoods
  • Desktop computers
  • Duct vacuums
  • Hacksaws
  • Multimeters
  • Water level meters
  • Riggings
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Reamers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Conduit benders
  • Safety glasses
  • Labeling machines
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Caulking equipment
  • Soldering equipment
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Staging equipment
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Hand seamers
  • Rulers
  • Transit levels
  • Receptacle testers
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Crowbars
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Wire brushes
  • Oil guns
  • Insulation knives
  • Dial indicators
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Vernier calipers
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Knockout punches
  • Litmus papers
  • Current simulators
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Spectrometers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Black lights
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Claw hammers
  • Precision levels
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Levels
  • Valve wrenches
  • Tap sets
  • Power drills
  • Voltmeters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Smoke pens
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Air flow sensors
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Drill presses
  • Tape measures
  • Venturi meters
  • Fish tapes
  • Tube cutters
  • Chalk lines
  • Thermocouples
  • Soldering guns
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Laser printers
  • Pullers
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Draft gauges
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Strap wrenches
  • Punches
  • Electric drills
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Ammeters
  • Drill bit sets
  • Megohmmeters
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Two way radios
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Metal snips
  • Plotters
  • Wire cutters
  • Welding hoods
  • Allen wrenches
  • Scrapers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Anemometers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Temperature gauges
  • Straightedges
  • Tachometers
  • Safety belts
  • Scribers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • High-voltage probes
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Duct knives
  • Pressure simulators
  • Hoists
  • Laser levels
  • Jacks
  • Charging manifolds
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Potentiometers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Micron gauges
  • Charging cylinders
  • pH meters
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Tin snips
  • Fin combs
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Transfer pumps
  • Autoranging meters
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Glue guns
  • Air compressors
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Micrometers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Screwdrivers
  • Staging winches
  • Utility knives
  • Temperature simulators
  • Caulking guns
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Power grinders
  • Velometers
  • Milliammeters
  • Wattmeters
  • Forklifts
  • Water testers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Dataloggers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Hygrosticks
  • Wire strippers
  • Personal computers
  • Flowmeters
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Tongs
  • Jig saws
  • Shackles
  • Image scanners
  • Hole saws
  • Scale rules
  • Voltage simulators
  • Cold chisels
  • Circular saws
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Chart recorders
  • Awls
  • Oxygen testers
  • Air velocity meters
  • Groove pliers
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Soldering irons
  • Flaring tools
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Squares
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Duct slicers
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Portable drills
  • Humidity simulators
  • Hold down clamps
  • Box cutters
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Open end wrenches
  • Nut drivers
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Hammers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Water flow meters
  • Resistance meters
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Compound gauges
  • Pipe threaders
  • Cordless drills

Alternative Job Titles