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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

Technologies & Software

  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Data logging software
  • Uptake AI
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Building automation software
  • SAP software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • HVAC tools software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Contact management systems
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Graphics software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Word
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • IBM Notes
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Facility energy management software
  • Internet browser software
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Water flow meters
  • Welding hoods
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Staging winches
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Calipers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Jacks
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Shears
  • Platform lifts
  • Precision levels
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Conduit benders
  • Hex wrenches
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Slings
  • Dial indicators
  • Potentiometers
  • Drill presses
  • Portable drills
  • Pressure gauges
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Laptop computers
  • Laser printers
  • Valve wrenches
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Bubble levels
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Power drills
  • Tube cutters
  • Scribers
  • Punches
  • Temperature simulators
  • Glue guns
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Tongs
  • Hand seamers
  • Service manifold sets
  • Tubing benders
  • Electrical current meters
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Pipe threaders
  • Scrapers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Circular saws
  • Torque wrenches
  • Milliammeters
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Swaging tools
  • Watt transducers
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Tachometers
  • Rulers
  • Hacksaws
  • Water testers
  • Resistance meters
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Pipe benders
  • Image scanners
  • Capacitance testers
  • Laser levels
  • pH meters
  • Chart recorders
  • Duct knives
  • Riggings
  • Wire strippers
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Labeling machines
  • Venturi meters
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Hand drills
  • Two way radios
  • Staging equipment
  • Dataloggers
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Circuit tracers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Safety harnesses
  • Pipe dies
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Receptacle testers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Power washers
  • Water level meters
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Grease guns
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Fish tapes
  • Hoists
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Tape measures
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Tap sets
  • Ladders
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Moisture meters
  • Voltage simulators
  • Feeler gauges
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Plotters
  • Duct slicers
  • Micron gauges
  • Knockout punches
  • Wire cutters
  • Manometers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Ohmmeters
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Hole saws
  • Cold chisels
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Charging cylinders
  • Transit levels
  • Straightedges
  • Tinners hammers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hammers
  • Squares
  • Long nose pliers
  • Spectrometers
  • Compound gauges
  • Metal snips
  • Oxygen testers
  • Screwdrivers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Crowbars
  • Tin snips
  • Air flow hoods
  • Charging manifolds
  • Thermocouples
  • Vernier calipers
  • Pipe reamers
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Humidity sensors
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Wire brushes
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Flaring tools
  • Hand trucks
  • Scale rules
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Smoke testers
  • Groove pliers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Litmus papers
  • Bandsaws
  • Drill bit sets
  • Fin combs
  • Acetylene torches
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Humidity simulators
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Draft gauges
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Current simulators
  • Power saws
  • Safety goggles
  • Pullers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Portable refractometers
  • Soldering irons
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Autoranging meters
  • Levels
  • Soft face hammers
  • Flowmeters
  • Open end wrenches
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Jig saws
  • Air compressors
  • Black lights
  • Allen wrenches
  • Decibel meters
  • Respirators
  • Box cutters
  • Desktop computers
  • Duct vacuums
  • Voltmeters
  • Air velocity meters
  • Nut drivers
  • Scaffolding
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Safety glasses
  • Pipe cutters
  • Velometers
  • Multimeters
  • Hold down clamps
  • Psychrometers
  • Water levels
  • Utility knives
  • Pitot tubes
  • Anemometers
  • Chalk lines
  • Air flow sensors
  • Personal computers
  • Micrometers
  • Hand sprayers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Claw hammers
  • Oil guns
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Ammeters
  • Power grinders
  • Awls
  • Bolt cutters
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Pressure simulators
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Insulation knives
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • High-voltage probes
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Shackles
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Wattmeters
  • Transfer pumps
  • Strap wrenches
  • Forklifts
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Power hacksaws
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Electric drills
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Reamers
  • Safety belts
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Soldering guns
  • Megohmmeters
  • Caulking guns
  • Soldering equipment
  • Cordless drills
  • Smoke pens

Alternative Job Titles