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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Commercial HVAC Service Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

Technologies & Software

  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Database software
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • ManagerPlus
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Data logging software
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Building automation software
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Graphics software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Uptake AI
  • Contact management systems
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Internet browser software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • HVAC tools software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • High-voltage probes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Shackles
  • Psychrometers
  • Soldering irons
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Hand drills
  • Caulking equipment
  • Receptacle testers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Riggings
  • Service manifold sets
  • Tinners hammers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Tubing benders
  • Labeling machines
  • Wire strippers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Hand seamers
  • Tube cutters
  • Glue guns
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Hygrosticks
  • Tongs
  • Voltmeters
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Straightedges
  • Rulers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Micron gauges
  • Strap wrenches
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Pipe dies
  • Humidity sensors
  • Charging cylinders
  • Claw hammers
  • Tape measures
  • Electrical current meters
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Punches
  • Resistance meters
  • Oil guns
  • Litmus papers
  • Plotters
  • Chart recorders
  • Watt transducers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Thermocouples
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Jig saws
  • Hand sprayers
  • Dial indicators
  • Duct knives
  • Compound gauges
  • Humidity simulators
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Hold down clamps
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Box cutters
  • Insulation knives
  • Air flow hoods
  • Temperature simulators
  • Respirators
  • Portable refractometers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Laser levels
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Air compressors
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Hacksaws
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Milliohm meters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Moisture meters
  • Fin combs
  • Multimeters
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Tap sets
  • Soldering equipment
  • Flowmeters
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Metal snips
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Soldering guns
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Flaring tools
  • Forklifts
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Grease guns
  • Draft gauges
  • Shears
  • Nut drivers
  • Swaging tools
  • Crowbars
  • Power washers
  • Slings
  • Staging equipment
  • Soft face hammers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Platform lifts
  • Squares
  • Groove pliers
  • Pullers
  • Power saws
  • Temperature gauges
  • Pipe reamers
  • Long nose pliers
  • Tin snips
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Torque wrenches
  • Water flow meters
  • Black lights
  • Safety belts
  • pH meters
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Power drills
  • Safety glasses
  • Acetylene torches
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Transit levels
  • Venturi meters
  • Circuit tracers
  • Potentiometers
  • Valve wrenches
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Open end wrenches
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Levels
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Hammers
  • Scale rules
  • Hole saws
  • Drill presses
  • Calipers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Precision levels
  • Laser printers
  • Hoists
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Scribers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Knockout punches
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Anemometers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Chalk lines
  • Pipe threaders
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Power hacksaws
  • Velometers
  • Wire cutters
  • Staging winches
  • Water level meters
  • Current simulators
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Bandsaws
  • Duct vacuums
  • Pressure gauges
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Autoranging meters
  • Wire brushes
  • Air velocity meters
  • Transfer pumps
  • Water levels
  • Milliammeters
  • Hand trucks
  • Scaffolding
  • Air flow sensors
  • Manometers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Cold chisels
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Personal computers
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Wattmeters
  • Smoke pens
  • Laptop computers
  • Spectrometers
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Jacks
  • Duct slicers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Portable drills
  • Bubble levels
  • Ohmmeters
  • Megohmmeters
  • Capacitance testers
  • Two way radios
  • Voltage simulators
  • Fish tapes
  • Vernier calipers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Caulking guns
  • Conduit benders
  • Tachometers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Drill bit sets
  • Power grinders
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Electric drills
  • Safety goggles
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Pressure simulators
  • Reamers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Scrapers
  • Ladders
  • Image scanners
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Decibel meters
  • Pipe benders
  • Awls
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Bolt cutters
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Water testers
  • Ammeters
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Utility knives
  • Cordless drills
  • Smoke testers
  • Dataloggers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Welding hoods
  • Safety harnesses
  • Micrometers
  • Circular saws
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters

Alternative Job Titles