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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Controls Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Controls Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Controls Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Controls Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Controls Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Controls Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

Technologies & Software

  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • IBM Notes
  • SAP software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • ManagerPlus
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Database software
  • Data logging software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Internet browser software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Uptake AI
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Graphics software
  • Building automation software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Contact management systems
  • Voltmeters
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Ohmmeters
  • Transit levels
  • Hoists
  • Ammeters
  • Labeling machines
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Draft gauges
  • Scaffolding
  • Autoranging meters
  • Slings
  • Tinners hammers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Drill bit sets
  • Cordless drills
  • Portable drills
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Voltage simulators
  • Resistance meters
  • Hand trucks
  • Manometers
  • Litmus papers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Calipers
  • Dataloggers
  • Charging cylinders
  • Hand drills
  • Ladders
  • Soldering guns
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Laptop computers
  • Knockout punches
  • Shears
  • Valve wrenches
  • Temperature simulators
  • Bandsaws
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Claw hammers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Pressure simulators
  • Swaging tools
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Hacksaws
  • Anemometers
  • Crowbars
  • Soft face hammers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Fish tapes
  • Tachometers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Air flow hoods
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Shackles
  • Decibel meters
  • Caulking equipment
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Grease guns
  • Pressure gauges
  • Milliammeters
  • Pullers
  • Pipe dies
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Duct slicers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Power drills
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Bolt cutters
  • Capacitance testers
  • Cold chisels
  • Respirators
  • Platform lifts
  • Staging winches
  • Drill presses
  • Forklifts
  • Potentiometers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Electric drills
  • Chalk lines
  • Insulation knives
  • Groove pliers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Micrometers
  • Hold down clamps
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Riggings
  • Oil guns
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • pH meters
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Jacks
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Punches
  • Water flow meters
  • Image scanners
  • Megohmmeters
  • Smoke pens
  • Multimeters
  • Soldering irons
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Feeler gauges
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Power hacksaws
  • Current simulators
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Precision levels
  • Tape measures
  • Chart recorders
  • Circuit tracers
  • Two way radios
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Glue guns
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Compound gauges
  • Brazing equipment
  • Vernier calipers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Allen wrenches
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Squares
  • Oxygen testers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Pipe threaders
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Charging manifolds
  • Hand sprayers
  • Nut drivers
  • Torque wrenches
  • Circular saws
  • Tubing benders
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Wattmeters
  • Laser levels
  • Receptacle testers
  • Reamers
  • Water testers
  • Hand seamers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Tongs
  • Box cutters
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Soldering equipment
  • Plotters
  • Levels
  • Duct knives
  • Scale rules
  • Fin combs
  • Bubble levels
  • Tube cutters
  • Watt transducers
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Laser printers
  • Power saws
  • Jig saws
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Wire strippers
  • Scribers
  • Desktop computers
  • Staging equipment
  • Temperature gauges
  • Electrical current meters
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Welding hoods
  • Air velocity meters
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Safety belts
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Moisture meters
  • Screwdrivers
  • Conduit benders
  • Safety harnesses
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Pipe reamers
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Caulking guns
  • Flowmeters
  • Wire cutters
  • Safety glasses
  • Duct vacuums
  • Wire brushes
  • High-voltage probes
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Strap wrenches
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Venturi meters
  • Velometers
  • Personal computers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Hole saws
  • Flaring tools
  • Transfer pumps
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Psychrometers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Acetylene torches
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Rulers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Straightedges
  • Utility knives
  • Pitot tubes
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Spectrometers
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Awls
  • Dial indicators
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Thermocouples
  • Metal snips
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Hammers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Humidity sensors
  • Humidity simulators
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Long nose pliers
  • Pipe benders
  • Hygrosticks
  • Smoke testers
  • Tin snips
  • Power grinders
  • Air compressors
  • Micron gauges
  • Black lights
  • Water level meters
  • Scrapers
  • Tap sets
  • Pipe cutters
  • Water levels
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Service manifold sets
  • Power washers
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Safety goggles

Alternative Job Titles