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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

Technologies & Software

  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Contact management systems
  • HVAC tools software
  • SAP software
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Building automation software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Internet browser software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Database software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Graphics software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Data logging software
  • Uptake AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Perplexity AI
  • Cworks CMMS
  • ManagerPlus
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Water flow meters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Tape measures
  • Micrometers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Anemometers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Long nose pliers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Pullers
  • Valve wrenches
  • Calipers
  • Electric drills
  • Ammeters
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Air velocity meters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Labeling machines
  • Levels
  • Groove pliers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Utility knives
  • Pipe reamers
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Moisture meters
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • High-voltage probes
  • Autoranging meters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Multimeters
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Platform lifts
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Power hacksaws
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Rulers
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Swaging tools
  • Thermocouples
  • Circuit tracers
  • Flaring tools
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Velometers
  • Safety glasses
  • Shears
  • Portable refractometers
  • Caulking guns
  • Laptop computers
  • Forklifts
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Watt transducers
  • Grease guns
  • Tubing benders
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Megohmmeters
  • Humidity sensors
  • Manometers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Squares
  • Pitot tubes
  • Hold down clamps
  • Tin snips
  • Tap sets
  • Cold chisels
  • Dataloggers
  • Glue guns
  • Jacks
  • Charging cylinders
  • Service manifold sets
  • Awls
  • Personal computers
  • Precision levels
  • Current simulators
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Conduit benders
  • Wire cutters
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Ladders
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Power saws
  • Laser printers
  • Desktop computers
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Tongs
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Pipe threaders
  • Cordless drills
  • Respirators
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Psychrometers
  • Hand seamers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Welding hoods
  • Voltage simulators
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Black lights
  • Scaffolding
  • Insulation knives
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Caulking equipment
  • Image scanners
  • Chart recorders
  • Strap wrenches
  • Shackles
  • Milliohm meters
  • Allen wrenches
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Air compressors
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Pressure simulators
  • Nut drivers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Drill presses
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Pipe benders
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Capacitance testers
  • Milliammeters
  • Slings
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Straightedges
  • Compound gauges
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Wire brushes
  • Safety harnesses
  • Portable drills
  • Air flow hoods
  • Tachometers
  • Hacksaws
  • Wattmeters
  • Transfer pumps
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Fish tapes
  • Soldering guns
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • pH meters
  • Hand trucks
  • Hand drills
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Box cutters
  • Temperature simulators
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Open end wrenches
  • Acetylene torches
  • Scribers
  • Chalk lines
  • Feeler gauges
  • Reamers
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Pipe cutters
  • Voltmeters
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Duct knives
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Tinners hammers
  • Smoke testers
  • Temperature gauges
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Flowmeters
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Air flow sensors
  • Water testers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Laser levels
  • Water levels
  • Resistance meters
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Transit levels
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Riggings
  • Screwdrivers
  • Duct slicers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Pipe dies
  • Venturi meters
  • Receptacle testers
  • Hoists
  • Hex wrenches
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Hammers
  • Plotters
  • Bandsaws
  • Draft gauges
  • Bubble levels
  • Vernier calipers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Power grinders
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Torque wrenches
  • Hygrosticks
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Metal snips
  • Staging equipment
  • Scrapers
  • Jig saws
  • Dial indicators
  • Soft face hammers
  • Scale rules
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Circular saws
  • Brazing equipment
  • Knockout punches
  • Litmus papers
  • Hole saws
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Smoke pens
  • Humidity simulators
  • Oxygen testers
  • Staging winches
  • Crowbars
  • Fin combs
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Two way radios
  • Power washers
  • Water level meters
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Safety goggles
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Spectrometers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Wire strippers
  • Duct vacuums
  • Tube cutters
  • Potentiometers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Claw hammers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Power drills
  • Punches
  • Soldering irons
  • Decibel meters
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Oil guns
  • Safety belts
  • Micron gauges

Alternative Job Titles