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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

Technologies & Software

  • Uptake AI
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Graphics software
  • SAP software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Microsoft Excel
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Word
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • ManagerPlus
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Contact management systems
  • Data logging software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • HVAC tools software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Facility energy management software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Database software
  • Building automation software
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Internet browser software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Hand drills
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Pipe reamers
  • Wattmeters
  • Pullers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Platform lifts
  • Strap wrenches
  • Bubble levels
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Transit levels
  • Water levels
  • Flowmeters
  • Glue guns
  • Pipe cutters
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Conduit benders
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Claw hammers
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Precision levels
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Duct vacuums
  • Chart recorders
  • Psychrometers
  • Two way radios
  • Air velocity meters
  • Labeling machines
  • Manometers
  • Water flow meters
  • Tin snips
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Portable drills
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Reamers
  • Desktop computers
  • Water level meters
  • Pitot tubes
  • Litmus papers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Scribers
  • Tubing benders
  • Velometers
  • Air flow hoods
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Cold chisels
  • Vernier calipers
  • Pressure simulators
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Safety glasses
  • Milliammeters
  • Circuit tracers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Charging cylinders
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Soft face hammers
  • Jig saws
  • Tachometers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Staging equipment
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Humidity sensors
  • Electrical current meters
  • Image scanners
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Brazing equipment
  • Power saws
  • Draft gauges
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Metal snips
  • Swaging tools
  • Hacksaws
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Long nose pliers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Safety belts
  • Multimeters
  • Staging winches
  • Hand sprayers
  • Micrometers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Respirators
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Riggings
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Venturi meters
  • Awls
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Milliohm meters
  • Soldering irons
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • High-voltage probes
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Crowbars
  • Compound gauges
  • Personal computers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Air compressors
  • Oil guns
  • Ohmmeters
  • Transfer pumps
  • Moisture meters
  • Laptop computers
  • Shackles
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Fin combs
  • Black lights
  • Duct knives
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Spectrometers
  • Power drills
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Water testers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Safety goggles
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Pressure gauges
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Megohmmeters
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Rulers
  • Anemometers
  • Box cutters
  • Duct slicers
  • Caulking guns
  • Torque wrenches
  • Dataloggers
  • Electric drills
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Grease guns
  • Hammers
  • Hole saws
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Acetylene torches
  • Micron gauges
  • Hand trucks
  • Open end wrenches
  • Jacks
  • Bandsaws
  • Temperature simulators
  • Smoke pens
  • Resistance meters
  • Scaffolding
  • Hex wrenches
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Thermocouples
  • Valve wrenches
  • Wire strippers
  • Hoists
  • Calipers
  • Slings
  • Hand seamers
  • Straightedges
  • Power grinders
  • Welding hoods
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Pipe benders
  • Levels
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Ammeters
  • Knockout punches
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Utility knives
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Tape measures
  • Caulking equipment
  • Tap sets
  • Soldering equipment
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Decibel meters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Air flow sensors
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Safety harnesses
  • Bolt cutters
  • Drill presses
  • Scrapers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Oxygen testers
  • Power washers
  • pH meters
  • Soldering guns
  • Voltmeters
  • Chalk lines
  • Screwdrivers
  • Flaring tools
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Watt transducers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Tube cutters
  • Hold down clamps
  • Fish tapes
  • Shears
  • Laser printers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Allen wrenches
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Tongs
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Plotters
  • Receptacle testers
  • Ladders
  • Potentiometers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Current simulators
  • Wire brushes
  • Wire cutters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Smoke testers
  • Autoranging meters
  • Pipe dies
  • Drill bit sets
  • Capacitance testers
  • Nut drivers
  • Groove pliers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Insulation knives
  • Humidity simulators
  • Laser levels
  • Service manifold sets
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Punches
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Dial indicators
  • Forklifts
  • Circular saws
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Cordless drills
  • Scale rules
  • Squares

Alternative Job Titles