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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

Technologies & Software

  • Spreadsheet software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Building automation software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • IBM Notes
  • Database software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • ManagerPlus
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Facility energy management software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • SAP software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Data logging software
  • Graphics software
  • Uptake AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Internet browser software
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Contact management systems
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Oil guns
  • Pipe reamers
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Strap wrenches
  • Water levels
  • Bubble levels
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Circuit tracers
  • Laser levels
  • Labeling machines
  • Flowmeters
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Power washers
  • Portable drills
  • Welding hoods
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Hand drills
  • Claw hammers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Power drills
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Metal snips
  • Bolt cutters
  • Current simulators
  • Knockout punches
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Power grinders
  • Cordless drills
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Litmus papers
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Dataloggers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Soldering irons
  • Scaffolding
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Wire strippers
  • Swaging tools
  • Tinners hammers
  • Safety glasses
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Pipe threaders
  • Soldering equipment
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Tubing benders
  • Hand seamers
  • Forklifts
  • Water level meters
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Hoists
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Wire cutters
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Feeler gauges
  • Hygrosticks
  • Charging cylinders
  • Transit levels
  • Milliohm meters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Two way radios
  • Tachometers
  • Riggings
  • Awls
  • Transfer pumps
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Pipe cutters
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Platform lifts
  • Psychrometers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Caulking guns
  • Hole saws
  • Ladders
  • Soft face hammers
  • Duct slicers
  • Cold chisels
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Wire brushes
  • Caulking equipment
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Personal computers
  • Safety goggles
  • Drill presses
  • Straightedges
  • Flaring tools
  • Micrometers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Draft gauges
  • Hold down clamps
  • Circular saws
  • Compound gauges
  • Ammeters
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Grease guns
  • Scale rules
  • Hammers
  • Utility knives
  • Moisture meters
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Electrical current meters
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Capacitance testers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Charging manifolds
  • Dial indicators
  • Chalk lines
  • Electric drills
  • Squares
  • Potentiometers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Humidity simulators
  • Oxygen testers
  • Black lights
  • Service manifold sets
  • Duct vacuums
  • Humidity sensors
  • Acetylene torches
  • Smoke pens
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Autoranging meters
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Hacksaws
  • Water flow meters
  • Insulation knives
  • Air velocity meters
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Pressure gauges
  • Calipers
  • Box cutters
  • Power hacksaws
  • Bandsaws
  • Receptacle testers
  • Safety belts
  • Wattmeters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Micron gauges
  • Punches
  • Thermocouples
  • Shears
  • Jacks
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Pipe dies
  • Laser printers
  • Manometers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Water testers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Rulers
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Fish tapes
  • Long nose pliers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Scrapers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Pullers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Pipe benders
  • pH meters
  • Shackles
  • Nut drivers
  • Staging equipment
  • Pitot tubes
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Voltmeters
  • Image scanners
  • Temperature simulators
  • Reamers
  • Scribers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Resistance meters
  • Crowbars
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Laptop computers
  • Decibel meters
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Groove pliers
  • Multimeters
  • Fin combs
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Chart recorders
  • Tin snips
  • Portable refractometers
  • Tube cutters
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Drill bit sets
  • Screwdrivers
  • Tongs
  • Velometers
  • Plotters
  • Slings
  • Air flow hoods
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Power saws
  • Spectrometers
  • Anemometers
  • Valve wrenches
  • Levels
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Open end wrenches
  • Precision levels
  • Glue guns
  • Conduit benders
  • Hand trucks
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Milliammeters
  • Tape measures
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Pressure simulators
  • Watt transducers
  • Staging winches
  • Torque wrenches
  • Desktop computers
  • Jig saws
  • Tap sets
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Duct knives
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Reciprocating saws
  • High-voltage probes
  • Air compressors
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Respirators
  • Voltage simulators
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Soldering guns
  • Venturi meters
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Smoke testers

Alternative Job Titles