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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC-R Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC-R Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC-R Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

Technologies & Software

  • IBM Notes
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Building automation software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • HVAC tools software
  • Database software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Facility energy management software
  • Internet browser software
  • Perplexity AI
  • SAP software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Contact management systems
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • ServiceMax AI
  • ManagerPlus
  • Graphics software
  • Uptake AI
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Data logging software
  • Wire strippers
  • Acetylene torches
  • Tape measures
  • pH meters
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Air flow hoods
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Respirators
  • Awls
  • Groove pliers
  • Service manifold sets
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Milliohm meters
  • Psychrometers
  • Tube cutters
  • Pipe reamers
  • Calipers
  • Staging equipment
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Drill presses
  • Watt transducers
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Laser printers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Brazing equipment
  • Tap sets
  • Forklifts
  • Straightedges
  • Electrical current meters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Precision levels
  • Water levels
  • Slings
  • Temperature simulators
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Moisture meters
  • Tinners hammers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Glue guns
  • Safety harnesses
  • Power drills
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Litmus papers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Caulking guns
  • Hole saws
  • Jig saws
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Decibel meters
  • Hacksaws
  • Vernier calipers
  • Electric drills
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Claw hammers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Venturi meters
  • Potentiometers
  • Anemometers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Jacks
  • Two way radios
  • Power washers
  • Wire brushes
  • Air flow sensors
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Valve wrenches
  • Pressure gauges
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Air compressors
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Thermocouples
  • Duct vacuums
  • Receptacle testers
  • Manometers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Power hacksaws
  • Hammers
  • Safety glasses
  • Soldering equipment
  • Multimeters
  • Portable drills
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Scaffolding
  • Labeling machines
  • Conduit benders
  • Fish tapes
  • Scale rules
  • Punches
  • Smoke testers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Circular saws
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Reamers
  • Shears
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Portable refractometers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Knockout punches
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Soft face hammers
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Levels
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Voltmeters
  • Voltage simulators
  • Image scanners
  • Temperature gauges
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Cold chisels
  • Ohmmeters
  • Charging cylinders
  • Pullers
  • Shackles
  • Squares
  • Capacitance testers
  • Utility knives
  • Duct slicers
  • Insulation knives
  • Draft gauges
  • Hand trucks
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Smoke pens
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Laser levels
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Soldering irons
  • Hygrosticks
  • Soldering guns
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Micron gauges
  • Platform lifts
  • Feeler gauges
  • Ladders
  • High-voltage probes
  • Oxygen testers
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Staging winches
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Pipe threaders
  • Wire cutters
  • Chalk lines
  • Chart recorders
  • Dial indicators
  • Scrapers
  • Power saws
  • Power grinders
  • Resistance meters
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Grease guns
  • Drill bit sets
  • Hand seamers
  • Long nose pliers
  • Safety belts
  • Water testers
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Tongs
  • Black lights
  • Swaging tools
  • Velometers
  • Personal computers
  • Scribers
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Bandsaws
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Box cutters
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Torque wrenches
  • Metal snips
  • Transit levels
  • Tubing benders
  • Safety goggles
  • Duct knives
  • Laptop computers
  • Riggings
  • Fin combs
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Hand drills
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Plotters
  • Hold down clamps
  • Charging manifolds
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Pitot tubes
  • Desktop computers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Strap wrenches
  • Bolt cutters
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Tin snips
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Cordless drills
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Tachometers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Nut drivers
  • Pressure simulators
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Oil guns
  • Pipe benders
  • Rulers
  • Air velocity meters
  • Crowbars
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Hoists
  • Hand sprayers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Compound gauges
  • Pipe dies
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Water flow meters
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Spectrometers
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Circuit tracers
  • Wattmeters
  • Dataloggers
  • Current simulators
  • Welding hoods
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Autoranging meters
  • Flaring tools
  • Ammeters
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Water level meters
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Micrometers
  • Flowmeters
  • Humidity simulators
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Megohmmeters
  • Bubble levels
  • Milliammeters

Alternative Job Titles