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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

Technologies & Software

  • Facility energy management software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Perplexity AI
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Microsoft Office software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Database software
  • Contact management systems
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Internet browser software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Data logging software
  • Building automation software
  • Uptake AI
  • IBM Notes
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • ServiceMax AI
  • ManagerPlus
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Graphics software
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SAP software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Precision levels
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Bubble levels
  • Humidity simulators
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Squares
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Watt transducers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Power grinders
  • Slings
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Hand sprayers
  • Grease guns
  • Labeling machines
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Respirators
  • Charging cylinders
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Portable refractometers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Hammers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Platform lifts
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Circuit tracers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Air flow sensors
  • Hand drills
  • Micrometers
  • Autoranging meters
  • Scale rules
  • Chart recorders
  • Safety harnesses
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Long nose pliers
  • Draft gauges
  • Insulation knives
  • Capacitance testers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Charging manifolds
  • Wire cutters
  • Thermocouples
  • Air velocity meters
  • Multimeters
  • Levels
  • Wattmeters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Oil guns
  • Velometers
  • Manometers
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Welding hoods
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Hole saws
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Dial indicators
  • Laser printers
  • Straightedges
  • Moisture meters
  • Soft face hammers
  • Knockout punches
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Drill presses
  • Air compressors
  • Feeler gauges
  • Micron gauges
  • Open end wrenches
  • Desktop computers
  • Safety belts
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Staging winches
  • Image scanners
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Smoke pens
  • Anemometers
  • Hand trucks
  • Tubing benders
  • Safety glasses
  • Soldering irons
  • Tape measures
  • Spectrometers
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Duct knives
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Bandsaws
  • Circular saws
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Box cutters
  • Jig saws
  • Acetylene torches
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Shears
  • Voltmeters
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Calipers
  • Tap sets
  • Scribers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Cordless drills
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Compound gauges
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Personal computers
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Soldering guns
  • Tongs
  • Psychrometers
  • Ammeters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Pipe threaders
  • Plotters
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Receptacle testers
  • Duct vacuums
  • Service manifold sets
  • Pipe reamers
  • Power washers
  • Crowbars
  • Pullers
  • Utility knives
  • Black lights
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Dataloggers
  • Litmus papers
  • Laser levels
  • Temperature simulators
  • Megohmmeters
  • Vernier calipers
  • Pressure simulators
  • Milliammeters
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Metal snips
  • Screwdrivers
  • Hacksaws
  • Current simulators
  • Drill bit sets
  • Flowmeters
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Scrapers
  • Swaging tools
  • Water level meters
  • Riggings
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Claw hammers
  • Resistance meters
  • Conduit benders
  • Fish tapes
  • Shackles
  • Oxygen testers
  • Punches
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Hold down clamps
  • Water levels
  • Venturi meters
  • Glue guns
  • Safety goggles
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Tin snips
  • Allen wrenches
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Valve wrenches
  • Voltage simulators
  • Smoke testers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Groove pliers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Chalk lines
  • Humidity sensors
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Temperature gauges
  • Decibel meters
  • Potentiometers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Rulers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Water flow meters
  • Fin combs
  • Hoists
  • Tachometers
  • Scaffolding
  • Hygrosticks
  • Awls
  • Electrical current meters
  • Power drills
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Forklifts
  • Power saws
  • Ladders
  • Air flow hoods
  • Hand seamers
  • Nut drivers
  • Pipe cutters
  • Water testers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Pipe dies
  • Wire brushes
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Pitot tubes
  • Strap wrenches
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Portable drills
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Flaring tools
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Jacks
  • Electric drills
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Bolt cutters
  • Reamers
  • Two way radios
  • Wire strippers
  • Cold chisels
  • Ohmmeters
  • Tube cutters
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Laptop computers
  • pH meters
  • Pipe benders
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Torque wrenches
  • Hex wrenches
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Caulking guns
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Duct slicers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Staging equipment
  • High-voltage probes
  • Transit levels

Alternative Job Titles