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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

Technologies & Software

  • Graphics software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Contact management systems
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Facility energy management software
  • Perplexity AI
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Internet browser software
  • Database software
  • Building automation software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Uptake AI
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Data logging software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • HVAC tools software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • ServiceMax AI
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Valve wrenches
  • Portable refractometers
  • Hole saws
  • Reamers
  • Insulation knives
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Precision levels
  • Duct knives
  • Hand trucks
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Litmus papers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Soldering irons
  • Chart recorders
  • Caulking guns
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Ladders
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Brazing equipment
  • Metal snips
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Rulers
  • Laser levels
  • Service manifold sets
  • Punches
  • Wire cutters
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Safety harnesses
  • Psychrometers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Resistance meters
  • Hoists
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Thermocouples
  • Scale rules
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Power saws
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Jacks
  • Jig saws
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Hammers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Compound gauges
  • Pressure simulators
  • Box cutters
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Platform lifts
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Two way radios
  • Feeler gauges
  • Hand seamers
  • Current simulators
  • Awls
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • pH meters
  • Glue guns
  • Swaging tools
  • Tap sets
  • Voltmeters
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Caulking equipment
  • Charging cylinders
  • Tongs
  • Power hacksaws
  • Calipers
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Hygrosticks
  • Pipe dies
  • Flowmeters
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Autoranging meters
  • Humidity simulators
  • Pipe benders
  • Staging equipment
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Pipe cutters
  • Velometers
  • Micron gauges
  • Utility knives
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Laser printers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Humidity sensors
  • Tin snips
  • Anemometers
  • Respirators
  • Groove pliers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Fin combs
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Water levels
  • Voltage simulators
  • Electric drills
  • Transit levels
  • Tubing benders
  • Tube cutters
  • Welding hoods
  • Conduit benders
  • Strap wrenches
  • Straightedges
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • High-voltage probes
  • Screwdrivers
  • Knockout punches
  • Power grinders
  • Hand drills
  • Water level meters
  • Torque wrenches
  • Wire strippers
  • Scaffolding
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Multimeters
  • Forklifts
  • Ammeters
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Venturi meters
  • Duct vacuums
  • Micrometers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Power washers
  • Claw hammers
  • Chalk lines
  • Decibel meters
  • Receptacle testers
  • Manometers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Hold down clamps
  • Oil guns
  • Plotters
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Acetylene torches
  • Long nose pliers
  • Drill presses
  • Levels
  • Air compressors
  • Bolt cutters
  • Pipe reamers
  • Safety belts
  • Potentiometers
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Capacitance testers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Fish tapes
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Nut drivers
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Image scanners
  • Water testers
  • Cordless drills
  • Dataloggers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Temperature simulators
  • Ohmmeters
  • Grease guns
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Pipe threaders
  • Vernier calipers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Water flow meters
  • Drill bit sets
  • Wire brushes
  • Duct slicers
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Electrical current meters
  • Charging manifolds
  • Slings
  • Cold chisels
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Scrapers
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Pitot tubes
  • Tape measures
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Watt transducers
  • Pullers
  • Air velocity meters
  • Dial indicators
  • Circuit tracers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Allen wrenches
  • Scribers
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Tachometers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Smoke pens
  • Hacksaws
  • Flaring tools
  • Hand sprayers
  • Laptop computers
  • Milliammeters
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Temperature gauges
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Bubble levels
  • Squares
  • Spectrometers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Power drills
  • Shackles
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Circular saws
  • Oxygen testers
  • Safety goggles
  • Staging winches
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Shears
  • Portable drills
  • Riggings
  • Crowbars
  • Soldering guns
  • Safety glasses
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Draft gauges
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Hex wrenches
  • Smoke testers
  • Air flow hoods
  • Black lights
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Moisture meters
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Bandsaws
  • Wattmeters
  • Labeling machines
  • Magnetic pickup tools

Alternative Job Titles