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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

Technologies & Software

  • Database software
  • SAP software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Facility energy management software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Uptake AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Data logging software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Building automation software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • ServiceMax AI
  • IBM Notes
  • Graphics software
  • Internet browser software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Contact management systems
  • HVAC tools software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Cworks CMMS
  • ManagerPlus
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Word
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Water testers
  • High-voltage probes
  • Circular saws
  • Temperature simulators
  • Cold chisels
  • Hole saws
  • Allen wrenches
  • Voltage simulators
  • Bandsaws
  • Box cutters
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Dataloggers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Venturi meters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Rulers
  • Platform lifts
  • Tongs
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Oil guns
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Service manifold sets
  • Power grinders
  • Scale rules
  • Voltmeters
  • Spectrometers
  • Respirators
  • Hand trucks
  • Humidity simulators
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Soldering guns
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Caulking guns
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Velometers
  • Nut drivers
  • Torque wrenches
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Charging cylinders
  • Water levels
  • Precision levels
  • Laptop computers
  • Grease guns
  • Hex wrenches
  • Power hacksaws
  • Caulking equipment
  • Megohmmeters
  • Staging winches
  • Feeler gauges
  • Laser levels
  • Slings
  • Labeling machines
  • Current simulators
  • Pullers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Tape measures
  • Pipe dies
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Ohmmeters
  • pH meters
  • Image scanners
  • Shackles
  • Tap sets
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Black lights
  • Milliohm meters
  • Hoists
  • Compound gauges
  • Wire cutters
  • Pressure simulators
  • Chart recorders
  • Tachometers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Glue guns
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Utility knives
  • Hand drills
  • Swaging tools
  • Staging equipment
  • Tubing benders
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Pipe threaders
  • Pressure gauges
  • Smoke pens
  • Riggings
  • Punches
  • Knockout punches
  • Scaffolding
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Bolt cutters
  • Resistance meters
  • Pipe benders
  • Potentiometers
  • Claw hammers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Calipers
  • Psychrometers
  • Multimeters
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Scribers
  • Scrapers
  • Forklifts
  • Draft gauges
  • Ladders
  • Safety glasses
  • Moisture meters
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Thermocouples
  • Chalk lines
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Hold down clamps
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Wire brushes
  • Micron gauges
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Water flow meters
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Metal snips
  • Awls
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Ammeters
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Transit levels
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Duct knives
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Power drills
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Air compressors
  • Safety belts
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Wire strippers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Desktop computers
  • Tin snips
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Dial indicators
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Vernier calipers
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Oxygen testers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Hand seamers
  • Smoke testers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Screwdrivers
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Transfer pumps
  • Receptacle testers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Anemometers
  • Fin combs
  • Litmus papers
  • Laser printers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Pipe cutters
  • Conduit benders
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Groove pliers
  • Milliammeters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Water level meters
  • Tinners hammers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Two way radios
  • Levels
  • Reamers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Bubble levels
  • Pipe reamers
  • Acetylene torches
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Insulation knives
  • Air velocity meters
  • Flowmeters
  • Micrometers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Long nose pliers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Decibel meters
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Personal computers
  • Straightedges
  • Valve wrenches
  • Circuit tracers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Power washers
  • Tube cutters
  • Cordless drills
  • Manometers
  • Safety goggles
  • Electrical current meters
  • Electric drills
  • Air flow sensors
  • Air flow hoods
  • Jig saws
  • Flaring tools
  • Watt transducers
  • Portable drills
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Soldering irons
  • Hacksaws
  • Hammers
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Jacks
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Power saws
  • Crowbars
  • Drill presses
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Welding hoods
  • Shears
  • Soldering equipment
  • Fish tapes
  • Autoranging meters
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Plotters
  • Wattmeters
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Squares
  • Duct vacuums
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Duct slicers
  • Strap wrenches
  • Open end wrenches
  • Phillips head screwdrivers

Alternative Job Titles