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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Residential HVAC Service Technician (Residential Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

Technologies & Software

  • Uptake AI
  • Graphics software
  • ManagerPlus
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Facility energy management software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Data logging software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Internet browser software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Building automation software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Database software
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Contact management systems
  • SAP software
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Power saws
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Resistance meters
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Scrapers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Reamers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Pipe cutters
  • Milliohm meters
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Humidity sensors
  • Scribers
  • Claw hammers
  • Multimeters
  • Portable drills
  • Power drills
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Metal snips
  • Electric drills
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Acetylene torches
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Thermocouples
  • Scale rules
  • Soldering irons
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Wattmeters
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Insulation knives
  • Potentiometers
  • Flaring tools
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Jacks
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Straightedges
  • Dataloggers
  • Tape measures
  • Power grinders
  • Water level meters
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Portable refractometers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Psychrometers
  • Knockout punches
  • Tubing benders
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Riggings
  • Duct knives
  • Micron gauges
  • Ammeters
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Service manifold sets
  • Power washers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Velometers
  • Smoke testers
  • Moisture meters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Box cutters
  • Litmus papers
  • Oil guns
  • Smoke pens
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Pitot tubes
  • Squares
  • Fin combs
  • Cold chisels
  • Crowbars
  • Labeling machines
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Scaffolding
  • Flowmeters
  • Respirators
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Safety goggles
  • Two way radios
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Levels
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Utility knives
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Hacksaws
  • Pressure simulators
  • Cordless drills
  • Tube cutters
  • Hex wrenches
  • Water testers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Laptop computers
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Pipe reamers
  • Tongs
  • Pullers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Laser printers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Feeler gauges
  • Grease guns
  • Electrical current meters
  • Ohmmeters
  • Precision levels
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Hole saws
  • Tin snips
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Hammers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • pH meters
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Water levels
  • Bubble levels
  • Strap wrenches
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Rulers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Air flow hoods
  • Temperature simulators
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Current simulators
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Welding hoods
  • Glue guns
  • Air velocity meters
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Shears
  • Hygrosticks
  • Hoists
  • Hold down clamps
  • Anemometers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Circuit tracers
  • Ladders
  • Decibel meters
  • Bolt cutters
  • Micrometers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Charging cylinders
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Soldering guns
  • Hand drills
  • Staging winches
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Chart recorders
  • Tinners hammers
  • Pipe benders
  • Duct slicers
  • Staging equipment
  • Power hacksaws
  • Bandsaws
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Chalk lines
  • Shackles
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Pipe dies
  • Brazing equipment
  • Venturi meters
  • Safety glasses
  • Image scanners
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Transfer pumps
  • Black lights
  • Tachometers
  • Receptacle testers
  • Punches
  • Compound gauges
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Wire brushes
  • Awls
  • Autoranging meters
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Wire cutters
  • Caulking guns
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Open end wrenches
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Manometers
  • Water flow meters
  • Fish tapes
  • Safety belts
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Humidity simulators
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Conduit benders
  • Jig saws
  • Milliammeters
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Forklifts
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Plotters
  • Charging manifolds
  • Long nose pliers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Wire strippers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Hand seamers
  • Personal computers
  • Transit levels
  • High-voltage probes
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Platform lifts
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Hand trucks
  • Tap sets
  • Air compressors
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Calipers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Vernier calipers
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Torque wrenches
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Slings
  • Drill presses
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Valve wrenches
  • Draft gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Circular saws
  • Voltmeters
  • Duct vacuums
  • Soft face hammers
  • Spectrometers
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Megohmmeters
  • Nut drivers
  • Temperature gauges
  • Dial indicators
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Groove pliers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Laser levels
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Swaging tools
  • Watt transducers

Alternative Job Titles