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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

Technologies & Software

  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Uptake AI
  • Graphics software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Facility energy management software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • SAP software
  • Contact management systems
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Internet browser software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Cworks CMMS
  • HVAC tools software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Building automation software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Data logging software
  • Tube cutters
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Compound gauges
  • Crowbars
  • Drill bit sets
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Scrapers
  • Flowmeters
  • Shears
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Soldering irons
  • Charging cylinders
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Utility knives
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Temperature gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Psychrometers
  • Current simulators
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Soft face hammers
  • Humidity simulators
  • Valve wrenches
  • Milliohm meters
  • Duct knives
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Voltmeters
  • Fish tapes
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Hammers
  • Water level meters
  • Long nose pliers
  • Wattmeters
  • Drill presses
  • pH meters
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Water levels
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Chart recorders
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Venturi meters
  • Staging winches
  • Dial indicators
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Insulation knives
  • Laser printers
  • Pipe cutters
  • Duct slicers
  • Laptop computers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Black lights
  • Scale rules
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Water testers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Metal snips
  • Tinners hammers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Knockout punches
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Ammeters
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Brazing equipment
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Capacitance testers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Watt transducers
  • Caulking guns
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Straightedges
  • Laser levels
  • Ladders
  • Hoists
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Cold chisels
  • Electrical current meters
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Soldering guns
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Squares
  • Humidity sensors
  • Wire strippers
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Scribers
  • Tachometers
  • High-voltage probes
  • Hygrosticks
  • Grease guns
  • Slings
  • Electric drills
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Fin combs
  • Portable drills
  • Manometers
  • Riggings
  • Duct vacuums
  • Spectrometers
  • Precision levels
  • Glue guns
  • Safety glasses
  • Pipe benders
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Vernier calipers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Multimeters
  • Pipe reamers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Micrometers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Torque wrenches
  • Jacks
  • Pullers
  • Chalk lines
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Pipe threaders
  • Potentiometers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Anemometers
  • Tongs
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Transfer pumps
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Hacksaws
  • Dataloggers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Bolt cutters
  • Safety goggles
  • Awls
  • Milliammeters
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Smoke testers
  • Hand seamers
  • Tubing benders
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Allen wrenches
  • Conduit benders
  • Moisture meters
  • Power drills
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Transit levels
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Hold down clamps
  • Safety harnesses
  • Velometers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Levels
  • Feeler gauges
  • Shackles
  • Flaring tools
  • Receptacle testers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Staging equipment
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Power grinders
  • Scaffolding
  • Tape measures
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Circuit tracers
  • Platform lifts
  • Air compressors
  • Circular saws
  • Image scanners
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Punches
  • Swaging tools
  • Air velocity meters
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Megohmmeters
  • Resistance meters
  • Acetylene torches
  • Service manifold sets
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Pressure simulators
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Hand trucks
  • Box cutters
  • Safety belts
  • Forklifts
  • Welding hoods
  • Wire cutters
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Reamers
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Power washers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Water flow meters
  • Air flow sensors
  • Respirators
  • Labeling machines
  • Groove pliers
  • Strap wrenches
  • Tap sets
  • Wire brushes
  • Thermocouples
  • Draft gauges
  • Micron gauges
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Plotters
  • Tin snips
  • Calipers
  • Temperature simulators
  • Smoke pens
  • Bubble levels
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Oil guns
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Nut drivers
  • Decibel meters
  • Pipe dies
  • Air flow hoods
  • Claw hammers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Hole saws
  • Personal computers
  • Jig saws
  • Rulers
  • Power saws
  • Pitot tubes
  • Two way radios
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Power hacksaws
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Bandsaws
  • Soldering equipment
  • Cordless drills
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Litmus papers
  • Autoranging meters
  • Ohmmeters
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Hand drills
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Caulking equipment

Alternative Job Titles