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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

Technologies & Software

  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Cworks CMMS
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Uptake AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • SAP software
  • Internet browser software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Facility energy management software
  • IBM Notes
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Data logging software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Perplexity AI
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Graphics software
  • Database software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • ManagerPlus
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Contact management systems
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Building automation software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft Word
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Litmus papers
  • Jig saws
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Image scanners
  • Wire cutters
  • Draft gauges
  • Resistance meters
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Hex wrenches
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Wire strippers
  • Nut drivers
  • Fin combs
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Safety goggles
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Venturi meters
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Torque wrenches
  • Straightedges
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Feeler gauges
  • Micron gauges
  • Electrical current meters
  • Box cutters
  • Oxygen testers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Laser levels
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Pipe cutters
  • Respirators
  • Swaging tools
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Water testers
  • Fish tapes
  • Power hacksaws
  • Hand sprayers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Safety harnesses
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Circuit tracers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Hacksaws
  • Flaring tools
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Compound gauges
  • Soldering guns
  • Cordless drills
  • Metal snips
  • Duct vacuums
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Caulking equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Long nose pliers
  • Air compressors
  • Chalk lines
  • Shackles
  • Two way radios
  • Decibel meters
  • Soldering irons
  • Thermocouples
  • Black lights
  • Valve wrenches
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Calipers
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Strap wrenches
  • Spectrometers
  • Moisture meters
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Power drills
  • Portable drills
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Pressure simulators
  • Duct knives
  • Charging manifolds
  • Circular saws
  • Temperature simulators
  • Laptop computers
  • Dataloggers
  • Slings
  • Soft face hammers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Utility knives
  • Shears
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Water flow meters
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Receptacle testers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Charging cylinders
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Tubing benders
  • Water levels
  • Acetylene torches
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Grease guns
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Air velocity meters
  • Jacks
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Vernier calipers
  • Ladders
  • Staging winches
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Watt transducers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Humidity simulators
  • Pipe dies
  • Bolt cutters
  • Allen wrenches
  • Current simulators
  • Capacitance testers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Reamers
  • Glue guns
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Awls
  • Precision levels
  • Plotters
  • Pipe benders
  • Insulation knives
  • Service manifold sets
  • Milliammeters
  • Potentiometers
  • Staging equipment
  • Hammers
  • Tin snips
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Smoke testers
  • Air flow hoods
  • High-voltage probes
  • pH meters
  • Electric drills
  • Punches
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Power grinders
  • Cold chisels
  • Pipe reamers
  • Power washers
  • Squares
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Water level meters
  • Pullers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Brazing equipment
  • Hole saws
  • Wire brushes
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Power saws
  • Micrometers
  • Autoranging meters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Voltmeters
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Psychrometers
  • Hand seamers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Transit levels
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Wattmeters
  • Caulking guns
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Safety belts
  • Forklifts
  • Open end wrenches
  • Tape measures
  • Scale rules
  • Ohmmeters
  • Anemometers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Smoke pens
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Crowbars
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Tongs
  • Scribers
  • Hoists
  • Riggings
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Hand trucks
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Tube cutters
  • Oil guns
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Safety glasses
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Platform lifts
  • Dial indicators
  • Labeling machines
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Groove pliers
  • Levels
  • Hold down clamps
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Drill presses
  • Multimeters
  • Tachometers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Knockout punches
  • Bandsaws
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Rulers
  • Duct slicers
  • Velometers
  • Conduit benders
  • Manometers
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Scaffolding
  • Flowmeters
  • Hand drills
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Claw hammers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Scrapers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Ammeters
  • Bubble levels
  • Chart recorders
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Welding hoods
  • Tap sets
  • Air flow sensors
  • Tinners hammers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Laser printers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Transfer pumps
  • Desktop computers

Alternative Job Titles