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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Uptake AI
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Internet browser software
  • Perplexity AI
  • IBM Notes
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Database software
  • Building automation software
  • Graphics software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • ManagerPlus
  • HVAC tools software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Contact management systems
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Data logging software
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Facility energy management software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Microsoft Excel
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Scaffolding
  • Respirators
  • Circular saws
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Precision levels
  • Watt transducers
  • Duct knives
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Circuit tracers
  • Knockout punches
  • Soldering guns
  • Glue guns
  • Draft gauges
  • Megohmmeters
  • Duct vacuums
  • Black lights
  • Strap wrenches
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Allen wrenches
  • Pipe benders
  • Pipe cutters
  • Drill presses
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Staging winches
  • Hand seamers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Portable refractometers
  • Jacks
  • Decibel meters
  • Squares
  • High-voltage probes
  • Tube cutters
  • Utility knives
  • Calipers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Swaging tools
  • Transit levels
  • Hygrosticks
  • Chart recorders
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Milliohm meters
  • Insulation knives
  • Conduit benders
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Levels
  • Rulers
  • Tachometers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Litmus papers
  • Tongs
  • Awls
  • Torque wrenches
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Thermocouples
  • Oil guns
  • Fish tapes
  • Temperature simulators
  • pH meters
  • Hold down clamps
  • Air velocity meters
  • Laser levels
  • Duct slicers
  • Power saws
  • Valve wrenches
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Cold chisels
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Hammers
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Scrapers
  • Venturi meters
  • Soft face hammers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Tap sets
  • Pipe reamers
  • Power washers
  • Soldering irons
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Electrical current meters
  • Straightedges
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Micron gauges
  • Transfer pumps
  • Power drills
  • Pipe threaders
  • Hand drills
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Bandsaws
  • Humidity sensors
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Dial indicators
  • Reamers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Hacksaws
  • Pullers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Shackles
  • Pressure simulators
  • Caulking guns
  • Pitot tubes
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Safety glasses
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Image scanners
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Hoists
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Groove pliers
  • Claw hammers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Soldering equipment
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Air flow hoods
  • Manometers
  • Chalk lines
  • Personal computers
  • Two way radios
  • Safety belts
  • Tape measures
  • Tin snips
  • Welding hoods
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Water testers
  • Humidity simulators
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Forklifts
  • Pipe dies
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Plotters
  • Voltage simulators
  • Tubing benders
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Psychrometers
  • Flowmeters
  • Potentiometers
  • Wire cutters
  • Fin combs
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Wattmeters
  • Air flow sensors
  • Multimeters
  • Slings
  • Nut drivers
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Laser printers
  • Laptop computers
  • Smoke testers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Smoke pens
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Screwdrivers
  • Water level meters
  • Scribers
  • Hand sprayers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Jig saws
  • Grease guns
  • Acetylene torches
  • Labeling machines
  • Flaring tools
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Ammeters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Shears
  • Micrometers
  • Metal snips
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Milliammeters
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Water flow meters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Hole saws
  • Current simulators
  • Receptacle testers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Cordless drills
  • Long nose pliers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Portable drills
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Drill bit sets
  • Oxygen testers
  • Safety goggles
  • Charging cylinders
  • Box cutters
  • Platform lifts
  • Autoranging meters
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Service manifold sets
  • Bolt cutters
  • Air compressors
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Staging equipment
  • Scale rules
  • Dataloggers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Open end wrenches
  • Feeler gauges
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Voltmeters
  • Moisture meters
  • Safety harnesses
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Compound gauges
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Spectrometers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Desktop computers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Resistance meters
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Water levels
  • Punches
  • Bubble levels
  • Ladders
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Brazing equipment
  • Crowbars
  • Wire brushes
  • Hand trucks
  • Power hacksaws
  • Vernier calipers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Velometers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Anemometers
  • Riggings
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Wire strippers
  • Power grinders
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Electric drills
  • Industrial vacuums

Alternative Job Titles