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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Refrigeration Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Refrigeration Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

Technologies & Software

  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • SAP software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Uptake AI
  • Contact management systems
  • Microsoft Word
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Database software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Data logging software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Facility energy management software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Internet browser software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Graphics software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Building automation software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Air flow sensors
  • Personal computers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Scaffolding
  • Levels
  • Chalk lines
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Tin snips
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Fin combs
  • Pullers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Litmus papers
  • Decibel meters
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Caulking guns
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Hand seamers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Water levels
  • Reamers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Slings
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Scrapers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Feeler gauges
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Air flow hoods
  • Long nose pliers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Power drills
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Charging cylinders
  • Pipe benders
  • Hoists
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Hand drills
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Labeling machines
  • Milliohm meters
  • Valve wrenches
  • Riggings
  • Desktop computers
  • Receptacle testers
  • Straightedges
  • Megohmmeters
  • Open end wrenches
  • Water testers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Bandsaws
  • Wire strippers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Laser printers
  • Soldering irons
  • Dataloggers
  • Jig saws
  • Capacitance testers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Awls
  • Knockout punches
  • Shears
  • Potentiometers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Oil guns
  • Torque wrenches
  • Power grinders
  • Voltage simulators
  • Strap wrenches
  • Hold down clamps
  • Glue guns
  • Smoke pens
  • Screwdrivers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Micron gauges
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Drill bit sets
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Allen wrenches
  • Duct slicers
  • Punches
  • Safety glasses
  • Scale rules
  • High-voltage probes
  • Staging equipment
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Temperature gauges
  • Chart recorders
  • Safety goggles
  • Thermocouples
  • Claw hammers
  • Manometers
  • Pipe cutters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Flowmeters
  • Dial indicators
  • Wire brushes
  • Bolt cutters
  • Jacks
  • Air velocity meters
  • Velometers
  • Rulers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Power hacksaws
  • Circular saws
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Current simulators
  • Ammeters
  • Acetylene torches
  • Portable drills
  • Pipe reamers
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Air compressors
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Calipers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Smoke testers
  • Resistance meters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Pipe threaders
  • Tachometers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Utility knives
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Hacksaws
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Venturi meters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Water level meters
  • Caulking equipment
  • Bubble levels
  • Tube cutters
  • Power saws
  • Circuit tracers
  • Compound gauges
  • Drill presses
  • Fish tapes
  • Hand trucks
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Metal snips
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Psychrometers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Milliammeters
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Draft gauges
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Autoranging meters
  • Micrometers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Insulation knives
  • Wire cutters
  • Moisture meters
  • Welding hoods
  • Crowbars
  • Power washers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Voltmeters
  • Conduit benders
  • Pipe dies
  • Soft face hammers
  • Precision levels
  • Water flow meters
  • Ladders
  • Reciprocating saws
  • pH meters
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Shackles
  • Electrical current meters
  • Staging winches
  • Respirators
  • Image scanners
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Transit levels
  • Laser levels
  • Tap sets
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Multimeters
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Tubing benders
  • Pressure simulators
  • Nut drivers
  • Tape measures
  • Cold chisels
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Ohmmeters
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Soldering guns
  • Two way radios
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Cordless drills
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Spectrometers
  • Anemometers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Flaring tools
  • Hole saws
  • Hammers
  • Wattmeters
  • Hygrosticks
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Black lights
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Box cutters
  • Pitot tubes
  • Laptop computers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Duct knives
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Safety belts
  • Swaging tools
  • Squares
  • Platform lifts
  • Temperature simulators
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Duct vacuums
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Tongs
  • Scribers
  • Plotters
  • Forklifts
  • Service manifold sets
  • Humidity simulators
  • Electric drills
  • Watt transducers
  • Groove pliers
  • Grease guns

Alternative Job Titles