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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

Technologies & Software

  • Facility energy management software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Database software
  • Uptake AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Data logging software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Microsoft Office software
  • IBM Notes
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Building automation software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Word
  • SAP software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • HVAC tools software
  • Contact management systems
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Perplexity AI
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ManagerPlus
  • Internet browser software
  • Graphics software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Charging cylinders
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Ammeters
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Pipe benders
  • Portable refractometers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Smoke testers
  • Duct knives
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Conduit benders
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Circuit tracers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Soldering guns
  • High-voltage probes
  • Precision levels
  • Temperature gauges
  • Welding hoods
  • Bandsaws
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Utility knives
  • Rulers
  • Litmus papers
  • Duct vacuums
  • Micrometers
  • Staging equipment
  • Glue guns
  • Riggings
  • Electric drills
  • Temperature simulators
  • Hand seamers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Acetylene torches
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Duct slicers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Cold chisels
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Portable drills
  • Pullers
  • Smoke pens
  • pH meters
  • Tape measures
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Hoists
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Thermocouples
  • Hacksaws
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Pitot tubes
  • Plotters
  • Draft gauges
  • Decibel meters
  • Laptop computers
  • Scribers
  • Drill presses
  • Scaffolding
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Tachometers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Staging winches
  • Hole saws
  • Shears
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Shackles
  • Power drills
  • Knockout punches
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Water level meters
  • Charging manifolds
  • Caulking guns
  • Megohmmeters
  • Humidity simulators
  • Wire cutters
  • Groove pliers
  • Micron gauges
  • Power washers
  • Labeling machines
  • Flaring tools
  • Velometers
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Pressure gauges
  • Awls
  • Hygrosticks
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Straightedges
  • Desktop computers
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Black lights
  • Psychrometers
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Voltmeters
  • Allen wrenches
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Tongs
  • Caulking equipment
  • Respirators
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Current simulators
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Scale rules
  • Bubble levels
  • Bolt cutters
  • Squares
  • Pressure simulators
  • Multimeters
  • Tube cutters
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Tinners hammers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Insulation knives
  • Hold down clamps
  • Crowbars
  • Reamers
  • Moisture meters
  • Dataloggers
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Forklifts
  • Autoranging meters
  • Long nose pliers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Tin snips
  • Brazing equipment
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Laser levels
  • Tap sets
  • Grease guns
  • Pipe dies
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Power saws
  • Laser printers
  • Water testers
  • Hammers
  • Circular saws
  • Transit levels
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Valve wrenches
  • Hand sprayers
  • Air flow hoods
  • Water levels
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Safety glasses
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Swaging tools
  • Humidity sensors
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Drill bit sets
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Soft face hammers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Wire brushes
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Potentiometers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Platform lifts
  • Safety belts
  • Ohmmeters
  • Ladders
  • Torque wrenches
  • Nut drivers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Calipers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Tubing benders
  • Vernier calipers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Pipe cutters
  • Venturi meters
  • Fish tapes
  • Air compressors
  • Safety goggles
  • Wattmeters
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Jacks
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Slings
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Cordless drills
  • Oxygen testers
  • Hand drills
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Hex wrenches
  • Feeler gauges
  • Chalk lines
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Hand trucks
  • Jig saws
  • Anemometers
  • Box cutters
  • Strap wrenches
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Metal snips
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Dial indicators
  • Compound gauges
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Power hacksaws
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Wire strippers
  • Watt transducers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Claw hammers
  • Air velocity meters
  • Oil guns
  • Manometers
  • Spectrometers
  • Soldering irons
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Screwdrivers
  • Power grinders
  • Soldering equipment
  • Flowmeters
  • Milliammeters
  • Levels
  • Fin combs
  • Open end wrenches
  • Receptacle testers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Chart recorders
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Service manifold sets
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Punches
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Safety harnesses
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Resistance meters
  • Water flow meters
  • Scrapers
  • Two way radios
  • Image scanners
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Pipe reamers

Alternative Job Titles