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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

Technologies & Software

  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Contact management systems
  • IBM Notes
  • Graphics software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Internet browser software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Building automation software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Database software
  • Uptake AI
  • Data logging software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • HVAC tools software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • ManagerPlus
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Pipe dies
  • Tape measures
  • Power grinders
  • Torque wrenches
  • Levels
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Voltage simulators
  • Pipe benders
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Power saws
  • Duct slicers
  • Shackles
  • Calipers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Valve wrenches
  • Allen wrenches
  • Claw hammers
  • Jacks
  • Air flow hoods
  • Crowbars
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Nut drivers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Pipe threaders
  • Hex wrenches
  • Watt transducers
  • Draft gauges
  • Cordless drills
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Desktop computers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Milliammeters
  • Air compressors
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Dataloggers
  • Current simulators
  • Two way radios
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Receptacle testers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Utility knives
  • Cold chisels
  • Hold down clamps
  • Soft face hammers
  • Scrapers
  • Power drills
  • Transit levels
  • Reamers
  • Punches
  • Drill bit sets
  • Duct vacuums
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Tachometers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Hammers
  • Hand seamers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Image scanners
  • Voltmeters
  • Ammeters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Laser printers
  • Chalk lines
  • Portable drills
  • Squares
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Fin combs
  • Hacksaws
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Smoke pens
  • Bandsaws
  • Scale rules
  • Air flow sensors
  • Wire strippers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Riggings
  • Safety goggles
  • Pullers
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Oxygen testers
  • Tubing benders
  • Soldering guns
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Long nose pliers
  • Flowmeters
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Staging winches
  • Soldering equipment
  • Safety glasses
  • Compound gauges
  • Smoke testers
  • Electric drills
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Wire brushes
  • Milliohm meters
  • Charging manifolds
  • Autoranging meters
  • Wire cutters
  • High-voltage probes
  • Decibel meters
  • Knockout punches
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Humidity simulators
  • Anemometers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Safety harnesses
  • pH meters
  • Caulking equipment
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Circuit tracers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Labeling machines
  • Tap sets
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Chart recorders
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Welding hoods
  • Conduit benders
  • Circular saws
  • Water testers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Scaffolding
  • Bolt cutters
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Velometers
  • Metal snips
  • Open end wrenches
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Tongs
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Jig saws
  • Tinners hammers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Portable refractometers
  • Plotters
  • Groove pliers
  • Thermocouples
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Laptop computers
  • Box cutters
  • Charging cylinders
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Staging equipment
  • Water level meters
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Potentiometers
  • Straightedges
  • Tube cutters
  • Awls
  • Feeler gauges
  • Grease guns
  • Power hacksaws
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Laser levels
  • Swaging tools
  • Tin snips
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Fish tapes
  • Precision levels
  • Ladders
  • Air velocity meters
  • Hole saws
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Micrometers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Temperature simulators
  • Service manifold sets
  • Hoists
  • Hand sprayers
  • Hand drills
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Caulking guns
  • Spectrometers
  • Drill presses
  • Water flow meters
  • Pipe reamers
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Manometers
  • Litmus papers
  • Moisture meters
  • Slings
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Hygrosticks
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Venturi meters
  • Hand trucks
  • Black lights
  • Pipe cutters
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Power washers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Duct knives
  • Safety belts
  • Multimeters
  • Flaring tools
  • Forklifts
  • Rulers
  • Personal computers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Respirators
  • Psychrometers
  • Soldering irons
  • Dial indicators
  • Resistance meters
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Capacitance testers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Glue guns
  • Acetylene torches
  • Platform lifts
  • Insulation knives
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Scribers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Wattmeters
  • Micron gauges
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Ohmmeters
  • Pressure simulators
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Strap wrenches
  • Oil guns
  • Shears
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Water levels
  • Bubble levels
  • Water pressure gauges

Alternative Job Titles