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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

Technologies & Software

  • ManagerPlus
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Database software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Perplexity AI
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Contact management systems
  • Internet browser software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Cworks CMMS
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Building automation software
  • Uptake AI
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • SAP software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Data logging software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Graphics software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • HVAC tools software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Facility energy management software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Rulers
  • Glue guns
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Jig saws
  • Power drills
  • Resistance meters
  • Potentiometers
  • Autoranging meters
  • Utility knives
  • Acetylene torches
  • Claw hammers
  • pH meters
  • Venturi meters
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Wire brushes
  • Power grinders
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Long nose pliers
  • Calipers
  • Swaging tools
  • Shears
  • Transit levels
  • Hygrosticks
  • Scribers
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Air velocity meters
  • Two way radios
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Laser printers
  • Reamers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Dataloggers
  • Oil guns
  • Decibel meters
  • Staging equipment
  • Watt transducers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Feeler gauges
  • Staging winches
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Milliammeters
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Scale rules
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Hand trucks
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Knockout punches
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Multimeters
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Jacks
  • Chart recorders
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Pipe reamers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Charging manifolds
  • Power washers
  • Wire cutters
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Oxygen testers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Squares
  • Receptacle testers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Riggings
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Grease guns
  • Transfer pumps
  • Conduit benders
  • Water level meters
  • Pipe benders
  • Micron gauges
  • Hammers
  • Hold down clamps
  • Micrometers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Pitot tubes
  • High-voltage probes
  • Metal snips
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Black lights
  • Welding hoods
  • Ammeters
  • Chalk lines
  • Bolt cutters
  • Circular saws
  • Nut drivers
  • Scaffolding
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Voltage simulators
  • Strap wrenches
  • Air compressors
  • Slings
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Safety belts
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Safety goggles
  • Tongs
  • Punches
  • Valve wrenches
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Pipe threaders
  • Hex wrenches
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Tin snips
  • Plotters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Litmus papers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Compound gauges
  • Soft face hammers
  • Crowbars
  • Drill bit sets
  • Flowmeters
  • Laptop computers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Fin combs
  • Tachometers
  • Spectrometers
  • Hand drills
  • Tinners hammers
  • Portable drills
  • Air flow hoods
  • Bubble levels
  • Water levels
  • Hand seamers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Wattmeters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Respirators
  • Circuit tracers
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Forklifts
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Hand sprayers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Air flow sensors
  • Tap sets
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Tubing benders
  • Soldering irons
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Screwdrivers
  • Manometers
  • Duct slicers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Open end wrenches
  • Groove pliers
  • Voltmeters
  • Power saws
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Tube cutters
  • Desktop computers
  • Awls
  • Ladders
  • Service manifold sets
  • Drill presses
  • Labeling machines
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Humidity simulators
  • Pullers
  • Box cutters
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Hole saws
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Draft gauges
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Thermocouples
  • Shackles
  • Flaring tools
  • Fish tapes
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Temperature gauges
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Electric drills
  • Caulking guns
  • Anemometers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Pressure simulators
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Laser levels
  • Water flow meters
  • Personal computers
  • Temperature simulators
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Smoke testers
  • Levels
  • Cordless drills
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Power hacksaws
  • Scrapers
  • Torque wrenches
  • Velometers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Safety glasses
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Allen wrenches
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Charging cylinders
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Duct knives
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Soldering equipment
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Wire strippers
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Water testers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Electrical current meters
  • Hoists
  • Hacksaws
  • Duct vacuums
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Pipe dies
  • Image scanners
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Tape measures
  • Safety harnesses
  • Psychrometers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Soldering guns
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Current simulators
  • Moisture meters
  • Precision levels
  • Dial indicators
  • Insulation knives
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Platform lifts
  • Smoke pens
  • Bandsaws
  • Cold chisels
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Straightedges
  • Ohmmeters
  • Socket wrench sets

Alternative Job Titles