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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Heating and Air Conditioning Technician (Heating and Air Conditioning Tech)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

Technologies & Software

  • SAP software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Facility energy management software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Building automation software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Internet browser software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Uptake AI
  • Contact management systems
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Graphics software
  • IBM Notes
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Cworks CMMS
  • HVAC tools software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Data logging software
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Safety glasses
  • Welding hoods
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Caulking guns
  • Circuit tracers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Soldering guns
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Wire brushes
  • Tongs
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Pullers
  • Hold down clamps
  • Jig saws
  • Safety belts
  • Respirators
  • Litmus papers
  • Precision levels
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Charging manifolds
  • Milliohm meters
  • Micron gauges
  • Air compressors
  • Micrometers
  • Power drills
  • Cold chisels
  • Flaring tools
  • Knockout punches
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Service manifold sets
  • Strap wrenches
  • Manometers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Draft gauges
  • Smoke pens
  • Duct slicers
  • Laser printers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Power washers
  • Laser levels
  • Crowbars
  • Fin combs
  • Water levels
  • Dial indicators
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Swaging tools
  • Riggings
  • Allen wrenches
  • Potentiometers
  • Tap sets
  • Receptacle testers
  • Hand seamers
  • Calipers
  • Tin snips
  • Jacks
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Tachometers
  • Smoke testers
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Forklifts
  • Hammers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Plotters
  • Rulers
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Staging winches
  • Scaffolding
  • Two way radios
  • Oxygen testers
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Pipe cutters
  • Resistance meters
  • Slings
  • Duct vacuums
  • Moisture meters
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Ladders
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Soldering equipment
  • Temperature gauges
  • Pipe dies
  • Grease guns
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Hygrosticks
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Tinners hammers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Pipe reamers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Electric drills
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Drill presses
  • Voltmeters
  • Bubble levels
  • Straightedges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Hand trucks
  • Pressure simulators
  • Safety goggles
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Safety harnesses
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Hoists
  • Tube cutters
  • Spectrometers
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Black lights
  • Shackles
  • Current simulators
  • Air velocity meters
  • Watt transducers
  • Reamers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Autoranging meters
  • Soldering irons
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Humidity sensors
  • Personal computers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Bandsaws
  • Capacitance testers
  • Image scanners
  • Labeling machines
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Wire cutters
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Velometers
  • pH meters
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Flowmeters
  • Cordless drills
  • Staging equipment
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Long nose pliers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Desktop computers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Levels
  • Megohmmeters
  • Temperature simulators
  • Fish tapes
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Milliammeters
  • Pipe threaders
  • Transit levels
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Glue guns
  • Metal snips
  • Tape measures
  • Thermocouples
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Wire strippers
  • Scrapers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Circular saws
  • Chalk lines
  • Multimeters
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Acetylene torches
  • Brazing equipment
  • Claw hammers
  • Hand sprayers
  • Wattmeters
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Scribers
  • Dataloggers
  • Chart recorders
  • Charging cylinders
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Squares
  • Air flow hoods
  • Venturi meters
  • Psychrometers
  • Water flow meters
  • Groove pliers
  • Power saws
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Duct knives
  • Punches
  • Water testers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Power grinders
  • Humidity simulators
  • Hole saws
  • Scale rules
  • Air flow sensors
  • Anemometers
  • Box cutters
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Insulation knives
  • Platform lifts
  • Water level meters
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Power hacksaws
  • Awls
  • Hand drills
  • Decibel meters
  • Compound gauges
  • Laptop computers
  • High-voltage probes
  • Nut drivers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Oil guns
  • Hacksaws
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Torque wrenches
  • Tubing benders
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Shears
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Electrical current meters
  • Voltage simulators
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Pipe benders
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Valve wrenches
  • Utility knives
  • Ammeters
  • Conduit benders
  • Portable drills

Alternative Job Titles