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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

Technologies & Software

  • SAP software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Database software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • HVAC tools software
  • Data logging software
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Graphics software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Uptake AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Contact management systems
  • Facility energy management software
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Building automation software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • IBM Notes
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Internet browser software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Hacksaws
  • Wire cutters
  • Groove pliers
  • Welding hoods
  • Feeler gauges
  • Tachometers
  • Staging winches
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Pipe cutters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Glue guns
  • Tape measures
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Venturi meters
  • Charging manifolds
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Tongs
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Tap sets
  • Autoranging meters
  • Desktop computers
  • Duct vacuums
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Multimeters
  • Smoke pens
  • Acetylene torches
  • Rulers
  • Pipe reamers
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Tin snips
  • Brazing equipment
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Calipers
  • Power drills
  • pH meters
  • Air compressors
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Fish tapes
  • Black lights
  • Caulking equipment
  • Awls
  • Combustion analyzers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Air flow hoods
  • Charging cylinders
  • Scale rules
  • Vernier calipers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Shears
  • Safety glasses
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Bubble levels
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Precision levels
  • Jacks
  • Hand seamers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Milliammeters
  • Flaring tools
  • Anemometers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Electric drills
  • Bolt cutters
  • Claw hammers
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Water level meters
  • Cordless drills
  • Tinners hammers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Soldering irons
  • Levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Scaffolding
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Hand drills
  • Air velocity meters
  • Safety belts
  • Duct knives
  • Velometers
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Milliohm meters
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Slings
  • Soldering equipment
  • Oil guns
  • Jig saws
  • Shackles
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Power grinders
  • Psychrometers
  • Laser printers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Hoists
  • Wire strippers
  • Caulking guns
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Duct slicers
  • Pipe benders
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Straightedges
  • Compound gauges
  • Micron gauges
  • Wattmeters
  • Knockout punches
  • Forklifts
  • Plotters
  • Scrapers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Pipe threaders
  • Pipe dies
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Fin combs
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Current simulators
  • Water testers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Draft gauges
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Resistance meters
  • Reamers
  • Pullers
  • Laser levels
  • Potentiometers
  • Metal snips
  • Flowmeters
  • Conduit benders
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Pressure simulators
  • Grease guns
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Decibel meters
  • Portable drills
  • Hammers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Smoke testers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Insulation knives
  • Open end wrenches
  • Squares
  • Personal computers
  • Soldering guns
  • Humidity simulators
  • Water levels
  • Riggings
  • Voltage simulators
  • Chart recorders
  • Hand sprayers
  • Micrometers
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Oxygen testers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Ammeters
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Temperature gauges
  • High-voltage probes
  • Image scanners
  • Chalk lines
  • Strap wrenches
  • Moisture meters
  • Respirators
  • Power hacksaws
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Utility knives
  • Power saws
  • Platform lifts
  • Transfer pumps
  • Dataloggers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Hold down clamps
  • Manometers
  • Transit levels
  • Spectrometers
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Hygrosticks
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Drill bit sets
  • Long nose pliers
  • Nut drivers
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Temperature simulators
  • Electrical current meters
  • Ladders
  • Valve wrenches
  • Screwdrivers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Water flow meters
  • Tube cutters
  • Punches
  • Swaging tools
  • Safety harnesses
  • Torque wrenches
  • Service manifold sets
  • Power washers
  • Labeling machines
  • Scribers
  • Watt transducers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Cold chisels
  • Voltmeters
  • Tubing benders
  • Hand trucks
  • Laptop computers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Air flow sensors
  • Circular saws
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Box cutters
  • Thermocouples
  • Crowbars
  • Two way radios
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Safety goggles
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Circuit tracers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Dial indicators
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Litmus papers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Staging equipment
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Wire brushes
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Portable refractometers
  • Hole saws
  • Receptacle testers
  • Drill presses

Alternative Job Titles