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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Building automation software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • SAP software
  • ManagerPlus
  • IBM Notes
  • Internet browser software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Contact management systems
  • Facility energy management software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • HVAC tools software
  • Graphics software
  • Uptake AI
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Data logging software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Microsoft Word
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Circular saws
  • Laptop computers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Hoists
  • Bolt cutters
  • Pitot tubes
  • Water testers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Venturi meters
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Water level meters
  • Image scanners
  • Air velocity meters
  • Hygrosticks
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Water levels
  • Wire brushes
  • Tap sets
  • Levels
  • Awls
  • Valve wrenches
  • Psychrometers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Torque wrenches
  • Current simulators
  • Smoke pens
  • Allen wrenches
  • Wire cutters
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Welding hoods
  • Jig saws
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Wire strippers
  • Tongs
  • Scrapers
  • Fin combs
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Autoranging meters
  • Platform lifts
  • Pressure simulators
  • Milliammeters
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Pipe cutters
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Circuit tracers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Milliohm meters
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Thermocouples
  • Safety belts
  • Service manifold sets
  • Micrometers
  • Hand seamers
  • Water flow meters
  • Manometers
  • Temperature gauges
  • Hand sprayers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Bubble levels
  • Staging winches
  • Humidity sensors
  • Reamers
  • Jacks
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Knockout punches
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Conduit benders
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Ammeters
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Megohmmeters
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Hole saws
  • Draft gauges
  • Moisture meters
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Capacitance testers
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Multimeters
  • Cordless drills
  • Temperature simulators
  • Squares
  • Metal snips
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Resistance meters
  • Ladders
  • Humidity simulators
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Pipe dies
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Utility knives
  • Air compressors
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Long nose pliers
  • Tubing benders
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Chart recorders
  • Hand drills
  • Power hacksaws
  • Box cutters
  • Personal computers
  • Pipe benders
  • Wattmeters
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Compound gauges
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Power saws
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Riggings
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Shackles
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Dial indicators
  • Hammers
  • Tachometers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Straightedges
  • Labeling machines
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Air flow hoods
  • Vernier calipers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Duct vacuums
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Voltmeters
  • Power washers
  • Litmus papers
  • Scale rules
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Transit levels
  • Safety goggles
  • Spectrometers
  • Shears
  • Oil guns
  • High-voltage probes
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Groove pliers
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Anemometers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Crowbars
  • Electric drills
  • Hold down clamps
  • Strap wrenches
  • Tube cutters
  • Safety glasses
  • Punches
  • Black lights
  • Watt transducers
  • Charging cylinders
  • Soldering guns
  • Pipe reamers
  • Soldering irons
  • Tin snips
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Charging manifolds
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Plotters
  • Bandsaws
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Calipers
  • Claw hammers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Power drills
  • Fish tapes
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Tape measures
  • Pullers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Cold chisels
  • Laser levels
  • Desktop computers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Scaffolding
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Laser printers
  • Dataloggers
  • Precision levels
  • Rulers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Receptacle testers
  • Hand trucks
  • Forklifts
  • Flowmeters
  • Grease guns
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • pH meters
  • Duct slicers
  • Portable drills
  • Flaring tools
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Chalk lines
  • Decibel meters
  • Nut drivers
  • Smoke testers
  • Caulking guns
  • Power grinders
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Potentiometers
  • Acetylene torches
  • Electrical current meters
  • Oxygen testers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Ohmmeters
  • Respirators
  • Soldering equipment
  • Insulation knives
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Caulking equipment
  • Slings
  • Micron gauges
  • Hacksaws
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Air flow sensors
  • Duct knives
  • Tinners hammers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Staging equipment
  • Glue guns
  • Velometers
  • Scribers
  • Two way radios
  • Drill presses
  • Safety harnesses
  • Swaging tools

Alternative Job Titles