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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

Technologies & Software

  • Graphics software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ManagerPlus
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Uptake AI
  • Building automation software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Database software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft Word
  • IBM Notes
  • Contact management systems
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Data logging software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Internet browser software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • SAP software
  • Caulking guns
  • Strap wrenches
  • Power saws
  • Tap sets
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Long nose pliers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Litmus papers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Autoranging meters
  • Safety belts
  • Shears
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • pH meters
  • Water flow meters
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Cold chisels
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Manometers
  • Crowbars
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Nut drivers
  • Plotters
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Thermocouples
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Squares
  • Labeling machines
  • Smoke pens
  • Hygrosticks
  • Tubing benders
  • Caulking equipment
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Staging winches
  • Micrometers
  • Circular saws
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Multimeters
  • Ladders
  • Air compressors
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Duct vacuums
  • Wire strippers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Tachometers
  • Pipe benders
  • Power drills
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Insulation knives
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Metal snips
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Oxygen testers
  • Resistance meters
  • Pitot tubes
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Oil guns
  • Wattmeters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Scale rules
  • Temperature gauges
  • Water level meters
  • Laptop computers
  • Dial indicators
  • Wire cutters
  • Personal computers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Voltmeters
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Psychrometers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Respirators
  • Charging manifolds
  • Moisture meters
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Flowmeters
  • Pressure simulators
  • Drill presses
  • Knockout punches
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Safety goggles
  • Valve wrenches
  • Punches
  • Claw hammers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Laser printers
  • Chart recorders
  • Watt transducers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Soldering guns
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Levels
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Water levels
  • Hex wrenches
  • Hand drills
  • Calipers
  • Grease guns
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Duct slicers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Tube cutters
  • Transit levels
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Spectrometers
  • Electric drills
  • Compound gauges
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Chalk lines
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Pipe reamers
  • Groove pliers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Milliammeters
  • Pipe threaders
  • Vernier calipers
  • Safety glasses
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Scaffolding
  • Torque wrenches
  • Swaging tools
  • High-voltage probes
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Jig saws
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Current simulators
  • Box cutters
  • Screwdrivers
  • Pullers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Water testers
  • Tongs
  • Two way radios
  • Potentiometers
  • Fin combs
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Desktop computers
  • Rulers
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Power grinders
  • Humidity simulators
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Staging equipment
  • Service manifold sets
  • Hand sprayers
  • Black lights
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Laser levels
  • Flaring tools
  • Reamers
  • Bandsaws
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Forklifts
  • Hole saws
  • Shackles
  • Platform lifts
  • Hacksaws
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Receptacle testers
  • Scribers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Hammers
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Allen wrenches
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Awls
  • Power washers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Power hacksaws
  • Charging cylinders
  • Image scanners
  • Venturi meters
  • Pipe cutters
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Tape measures
  • Riggings
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Fish tapes
  • Welding hoods
  • Jacks
  • Acetylene torches
  • Smoke testers
  • Hold down clamps
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Wire brushes
  • Cordless drills
  • Anemometers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Bolt cutters
  • Ammeters
  • Hand trucks
  • Pressure gauges
  • Portable refractometers
  • Draft gauges
  • Circuit tracers
  • Portable drills
  • Transfer pumps
  • Utility knives
  • Conduit benders
  • Electrical current meters
  • Micron gauges
  • Velometers
  • Soldering irons
  • Slings
  • Brazing equipment
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Glue guns
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Tin snips
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Hand seamers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Straightedges
  • Air flow hoods
  • Temperature simulators
  • Megohmmeters
  • Bubble levels
  • Decibel meters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Precision levels
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Pipe dies
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Safety harnesses
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Air velocity meters
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Hoists
  • Duct knives
  • Dataloggers
  • Scrapers

Alternative Job Titles