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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

Technologies & Software

  • Uptake AI
  • SAP software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Internet browser software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Database software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Graphics software
  • Contact management systems
  • Microsoft Excel
  • HVAC tools software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Data logging software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Building automation software
  • ManagerPlus
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Facility energy management software
  • Chalk lines
  • Drill presses
  • Pressure simulators
  • pH meters
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Compound gauges
  • Hole saws
  • Personal computers
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Smoke pens
  • Spectrometers
  • Grease guns
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Laser levels
  • Utility knives
  • Scaffolding
  • Tubing benders
  • Resistance meters
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Fin combs
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Oxygen testers
  • Circuit tracers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Ammeters
  • Safety belts
  • Transit levels
  • Hammers
  • Soldering irons
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Forklifts
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Soft face hammers
  • Laptop computers
  • Air compressors
  • Venturi meters
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Megohmmeters
  • Humidity simulators
  • Pipe threaders
  • Open end wrenches
  • Swaging tools
  • Hygrosticks
  • Micrometers
  • Velometers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Strap wrenches
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Calipers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Respirators
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Water flow meters
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Cold chisels
  • Crowbars
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Tinners hammers
  • Tachometers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Pitot tubes
  • Fish tapes
  • Groove pliers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Caulking guns
  • Potentiometers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Tube cutters
  • Punches
  • Riggings
  • Portable drills
  • Autoranging meters
  • Plotters
  • Air flow sensors
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Scale rules
  • Hold down clamps
  • Flaring tools
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Draft gauges
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Wire brushes
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Caulking equipment
  • Staging equipment
  • Screwdrivers
  • Water testers
  • Wire strippers
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Glue guns
  • Dial indicators
  • Tin snips
  • Receptacle testers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Air velocity meters
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Hoists
  • Levels
  • Micron gauges
  • Long nose pliers
  • Circular saws
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Jacks
  • Voltmeters
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Awls
  • Metal snips
  • Air flow hoods
  • Capacitance testers
  • Jig saws
  • Wattmeters
  • Power washers
  • Duct vacuums
  • Torque wrenches
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Ladders
  • Thermocouples
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Service manifold sets
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Watt transducers
  • Milliammeters
  • Flowmeters
  • Platform lifts
  • Milliohm meters
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Psychrometers
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Pipe dies
  • Ohmmeters
  • Image scanners
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Tongs
  • Hacksaws
  • Insulation knives
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Brazing equipment
  • Pipe reamers
  • Hand seamers
  • Pipe benders
  • Pullers
  • Squares
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Water levels
  • Power saws
  • Moisture meters
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Chart recorders
  • Temperature simulators
  • Humidity sensors
  • Current simulators
  • Precision levels
  • Smoke testers
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Allen wrenches
  • Bolt cutters
  • Power drills
  • Desktop computers
  • Transfer pumps
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Safety goggles
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Knockout punches
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Duct slicers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Two way radios
  • Anemometers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Laser printers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Electric drills
  • Scrapers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Scribers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Bubble levels
  • Shears
  • Safety harnesses
  • Acetylene torches
  • Bandsaws
  • Valve wrenches
  • Black lights
  • Duct knives
  • Voltage simulators
  • Wire cutters
  • Power grinders
  • Tape measures
  • Rulers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Manometers
  • Charging cylinders
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Box cutters
  • Slings
  • Claw hammers
  • Conduit benders
  • Temperature gauges
  • Safety glasses
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Soldering equipment
  • Portable refractometers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Multimeters
  • Labeling machines
  • Hand trucks
  • Power hacksaws
  • Hand drills
  • Decibel meters
  • Vernier calipers
  • Shackles
  • High-voltage probes
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Straightedges
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Dataloggers
  • Hand sprayers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Oil guns
  • Litmus papers
  • Nut drivers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Staging winches
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Reamers
  • Soldering guns
  • Cordless drills
  • Welding hoods
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Tap sets
  • Water level meters

Alternative Job Titles