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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

Technologies & Software

  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • ManagerPlus
  • Building automation software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • HVAC tools software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Contact management systems
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Uptake AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Data logging software
  • Internet browser software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Database software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • SAP software
  • Graphics software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Bubble levels
  • Image scanners
  • Safety goggles
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Utility knives
  • Platform lifts
  • Hand sprayers
  • Watt transducers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Portable drills
  • Personal computers
  • Ladders
  • Black lights
  • Pipe cutters
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Tongs
  • Duct knives
  • Receptacle testers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Hammers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Charging cylinders
  • Slings
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Ammeters
  • Knockout punches
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Pipe threaders
  • Hold down clamps
  • Safety harnesses
  • Humidity simulators
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Temperature simulators
  • Desktop computers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Calipers
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Voltage simulators
  • Manometers
  • Shackles
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Power drills
  • Soldering irons
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • pH meters
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Flowmeters
  • Power grinders
  • Insulation knives
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Labeling machines
  • Pressure simulators
  • Jig saws
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Tap sets
  • Air flow sensors
  • Pipe reamers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Soldering equipment
  • Safety belts
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Drill presses
  • Temperature gauges
  • Fin combs
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hand drills
  • Voltmeters
  • Scrapers
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Two way radios
  • Transfer pumps
  • Hand trucks
  • Wire cutters
  • Fish tapes
  • Open end wrenches
  • Cordless drills
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Water level meters
  • Spectrometers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Duct slicers
  • Compound gauges
  • Tin snips
  • Claw hammers
  • Acetylene torches
  • High-voltage probes
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Straightedges
  • Hygrosticks
  • Oxygen testers
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Power washers
  • Hoists
  • Drill bit sets
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Soft face hammers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Moisture meters
  • Oil guns
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Circular saws
  • Hand seamers
  • Water flow meters
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Bolt cutters
  • Electric drills
  • Conduit benders
  • Box cutters
  • Anemometers
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Rulers
  • Multimeters
  • Portable refractometers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Capacitance testers
  • Torque wrenches
  • Circuit tracers
  • Draft gauges
  • Power saws
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Forklifts
  • Screwdrivers
  • Air compressors
  • Tinners hammers
  • Shears
  • Water testers
  • Scribers
  • Pipe benders
  • Plotters
  • Glue guns
  • Awls
  • Crowbars
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Grease guns
  • Staging equipment
  • Service manifold sets
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Safety glasses
  • Power hacksaws
  • Valve wrenches
  • Cold chisels
  • Jacks
  • Punches
  • Tubing benders
  • Velometers
  • Strap wrenches
  • Transit levels
  • Autoranging meters
  • Laptop computers
  • Current simulators
  • Wire strippers
  • Metal snips
  • Hex wrenches
  • Scale rules
  • Respirators
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Milliohm meters
  • Humidity sensors
  • Vernier calipers
  • Micron gauges
  • Smoke pens
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Litmus papers
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Milliammeters
  • Venturi meters
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Psychrometers
  • Decibel meters
  • Duct vacuums
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Scaffolding
  • Groove pliers
  • Smoke testers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Potentiometers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Dial indicators
  • Dataloggers
  • Resistance meters
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Micrometers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Pipe dies
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Electrical current meters
  • Caulking equipment
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Caulking guns
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Air flow hoods
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Chalk lines
  • Precision levels
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Tachometers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Laser levels
  • Megohmmeters
  • Air velocity meters
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Reamers
  • Squares
  • Staging winches
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Water levels
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Thermocouples
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Soldering guns
  • Bandsaws
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Hole saws
  • Chart recorders
  • Pullers
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Laser printers
  • Welding hoods
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Tube cutters
  • Ohmmeters
  • Wattmeters
  • Flaring tools
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Nut drivers
  • Wire brushes
  • Tape measures
  • Hacksaws
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Long nose pliers
  • Riggings
  • Swaging tools
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Levels

Alternative Job Titles