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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

Technologies & Software

  • SAP software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Database software
  • Contact management systems
  • HVAC tools software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ManagerPlus
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ServiceMax AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Data logging software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Internet browser software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Building automation software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Uptake AI
  • Cworks CMMS
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Graphics software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Smoke pens
  • Metal snips
  • Punches
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Draft gauges
  • Chart recorders
  • Claw hammers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Valve wrenches
  • Grease guns
  • Personal computers
  • Tin snips
  • Water level meters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Caulking equipment
  • Rulers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Micron gauges
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Pipe cutters
  • Staging equipment
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Image scanners
  • Desktop computers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Brazing equipment
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Glue guns
  • Torque wrenches
  • Jig saws
  • Scribers
  • Fish tapes
  • Oxygen testers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Cold chisels
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Vernier calipers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Straightedges
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Pressure simulators
  • Pitot tubes
  • Staging winches
  • Forklifts
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Box cutters
  • Reamers
  • Duct slicers
  • Slings
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Compound gauges
  • Ladders
  • Tongs
  • High-voltage probes
  • Venturi meters
  • Groove pliers
  • Oil guns
  • Safety glasses
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Levels
  • Transit levels
  • Precision levels
  • Utility knives
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Tape measures
  • Labeling machines
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Soldering guns
  • Fin combs
  • Milliammeters
  • Litmus papers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Anemometers
  • Tachometers
  • Plotters
  • Autoranging meters
  • Safety belts
  • Pipe benders
  • Caulking guns
  • Bubble levels
  • Micrometers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Voltmeters
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Moisture meters
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Safety goggles
  • Resistance meters
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Hacksaws
  • Screwdrivers
  • Hold down clamps
  • Ammeters
  • Bandsaws
  • Tubing benders
  • Two way radios
  • Transfer pumps
  • Allen wrenches
  • Air compressors
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Smoke testers
  • Respirators
  • Charging cylinders
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Tube cutters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Voltage simulators
  • Strap wrenches
  • Power hacksaws
  • Laser printers
  • Dial indicators
  • Milliohm meters
  • Wattmeters
  • Portable refractometers
  • Dataloggers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Portable drills
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Laptop computers
  • Shackles
  • Welding hoods
  • Wire strippers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Scaffolding
  • Calipers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Nut drivers
  • Awls
  • Multimeters
  • Cordless drills
  • Psychrometers
  • Hand sprayers
  • Scrapers
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Temperature gauges
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Scale rules
  • Insulation knives
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Flaring tools
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Feeler gauges
  • Black lights
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Circuit tracers
  • Air flow sensors
  • pH meters
  • Swaging tools
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Receptacle testers
  • Riggings
  • Hex wrenches
  • Duct vacuums
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Knockout punches
  • Potentiometers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Hand seamers
  • Pipe dies
  • Watt transducers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Shears
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Water flow meters
  • Pipe reamers
  • Chalk lines
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Long nose pliers
  • Wire cutters
  • Acetylene torches
  • Safety harnesses
  • Wire brushes
  • Service manifold sets
  • Air flow hoods
  • Crowbars
  • Drill presses
  • Hammers
  • Duct knives
  • Hand trucks
  • Drill bit sets
  • Bolt cutters
  • Soldering irons
  • Squares
  • Velometers
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Laser levels
  • Thermocouples
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Humidity simulators
  • Manometers
  • Flowmeters
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Air velocity meters
  • Spectrometers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Charging manifolds
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Pullers
  • Temperature simulators
  • Decibel meters
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Water testers
  • Power washers
  • Current simulators
  • Tap sets
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Megohmmeters
  • Hole saws
  • Platform lifts
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Pipe threaders
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Jacks
  • Soft face hammers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Water levels
  • Electric drills
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Power saws
  • Hand drills
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Conduit benders
  • Power drills
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Hoists
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Circular saws
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Power grinders

Alternative Job Titles