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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Maintenance Technician (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Maintenance Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

Technologies & Software

  • ManagerPlus
  • Database software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Graphics software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Internet browser software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Data logging software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Facility energy management software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Contact management systems
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • IBM Notes
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • SAP software
  • Uptake AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Building automation software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Ammeters
  • Soldering irons
  • High-voltage probes
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Welding hoods
  • Claw hammers
  • Hoists
  • Receptacle testers
  • Caulking guns
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Crowbars
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Strap wrenches
  • Feeler gauges
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Charging cylinders
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Valve wrenches
  • Platform lifts
  • Humidity simulators
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Smoke testers
  • Pressure simulators
  • Knockout punches
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • pH meters
  • Power saws
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Hold down clamps
  • Grease guns
  • Oxygen testers
  • Air compressors
  • Safety harnesses
  • Megohmmeters
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Water flow meters
  • Cordless drills
  • Allen wrenches
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Swaging tools
  • Staging winches
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Humidity sensors
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Ladders
  • Venturi meters
  • Soldering guns
  • Respirators
  • Electric drills
  • Wire strippers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Glue guns
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Manometers
  • Watt transducers
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Jacks
  • Duct knives
  • Hand trucks
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Box cutters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Scale rules
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Portable refractometers
  • Current simulators
  • Flaring tools
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Autoranging meters
  • Hand seamers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Utility knives
  • Staging equipment
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Micron gauges
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Spectrometers
  • Safety belts
  • Pipe dies
  • Nut drivers
  • Moisture meters
  • Tinners hammers
  • Water testers
  • Conduit benders
  • Scrapers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Milliohm meters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Voltmeters
  • Duct vacuums
  • Screwdrivers
  • Black lights
  • Bubble levels
  • Drill presses
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Labeling machines
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Water levels
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Plotters
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Personal computers
  • Reamers
  • Service manifold sets
  • Precision levels
  • Pipe benders
  • Micrometers
  • Awls
  • Voltage simulators
  • Temperature simulators
  • Pipe threaders
  • Fin combs
  • Resistance meters
  • Insulation knives
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Decibel meters
  • Flowmeters
  • Long nose pliers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Thermocouples
  • Milliammeters
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Air flow sensors
  • Cold chisels
  • Slings
  • Torque wrenches
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Acetylene torches
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Soldering equipment
  • Image scanners
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Transit levels
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Fish tapes
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Dial indicators
  • Chart recorders
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Shears
  • Open end wrenches
  • Pitot tubes
  • Power washers
  • Jig saws
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Ohmmeters
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Hammers
  • Circular saws
  • Oil guns
  • Transfer pumps
  • Wattmeters
  • Compound gauges
  • Capacitance testers
  • Tube cutters
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Brazing equipment
  • Duct slicers
  • Safety glasses
  • Portable drills
  • Desktop computers
  • Smoke pens
  • Two way radios
  • Laser printers
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Bandsaws
  • Metal snips
  • Pullers
  • Air flow hoods
  • Draft gauges
  • Tape measures
  • Scaffolding
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Power grinders
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Vernier calipers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Tap sets
  • Tubing benders
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Charging manifolds
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Laptop computers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Psychrometers
  • Litmus papers
  • Air velocity meters
  • Pipe reamers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Hex wrenches
  • Drill bit sets
  • Hand drills
  • Groove pliers
  • Calipers
  • Wire brushes
  • Anemometers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Circuit tracers
  • Tongs
  • Wire cutters
  • Rulers
  • Dataloggers
  • Forklifts
  • Laser levels
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Straightedges
  • Shackles
  • Riggings
  • Squares
  • Water level meters
  • Scribers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Hacksaws
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Tin snips
  • Pipe cutters
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Temperature gauges
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Chalk lines
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Punches
  • Safety goggles
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Tachometers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Multimeters
  • Power drills
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Hole saws
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Levels
  • Velometers
  • Potentiometers

Alternative Job Titles