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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

Technologies & Software

  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Uptake AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • IBM Notes
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Database software
  • SAP software
  • Internet browser software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft Office software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Building automation software
  • Contact management systems
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Facility energy management software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Graphics software
  • Data logging software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Pipe benders
  • Pipe cutters
  • Multimeters
  • Hacksaws
  • Swaging tools
  • Smoke pens
  • Duct slicers
  • Temperature simulators
  • Humidity sensors
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Power drills
  • Knockout punches
  • Charging cylinders
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Flowmeters
  • Hole saws
  • Service manifold sets
  • Electric drills
  • Pitot tubes
  • Platform lifts
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Cordless drills
  • Welding hoods
  • Soldering guns
  • Voltmeters
  • Electrical current meters
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Precision levels
  • Duct vacuums
  • Water level meters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Spectrometers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Nut drivers
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Tongs
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Water flow meters
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Cold chisels
  • Wire strippers
  • Laptop computers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Fin combs
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Tin snips
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Crowbars
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Receptacle testers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Decibel meters
  • Allen wrenches
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Bubble levels
  • Safety glasses
  • Feeler gauges
  • Power grinders
  • Reamers
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Calipers
  • Fish tapes
  • Tap sets
  • Manometers
  • Smoke testers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Levels
  • Micron gauges
  • Scaffolding
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • pH meters
  • Power hacksaws
  • Thermocouples
  • Punches
  • Long nose pliers
  • Hand drills
  • Rulers
  • Desktop computers
  • Tube cutters
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Awls
  • Milliohm meters
  • Black lights
  • Power saws
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Respirators
  • Jig saws
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Duct knives
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Hand seamers
  • Flaring tools
  • Squares
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Draft gauges
  • Straightedges
  • Litmus papers
  • Chart recorders
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Scale rules
  • Pressure simulators
  • Water testers
  • Portable drills
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Caulking equipment
  • Resistance meters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Open end wrenches
  • Insulation knives
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Forklifts
  • Air velocity meters
  • Water levels
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Hammers
  • Compound gauges
  • Glue guns
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Plotters
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Tubing benders
  • Image scanners
  • Air compressors
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Scrapers
  • Shackles
  • Soldering irons
  • Current simulators
  • Claw hammers
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Utility knives
  • Safety harnesses
  • Watt transducers
  • Milliammeters
  • Moisture meters
  • Velometers
  • Safety goggles
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Groove pliers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Personal computers
  • Scribers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Ladders
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Humidity simulators
  • Wattmeters
  • Power washers
  • Psychrometers
  • Box cutters
  • Bolt cutters
  • Micrometers
  • Jacks
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Labeling machines
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Conduit benders
  • Tachometers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Wire cutters
  • Air flow hoods
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Capacitance testers
  • Ammeters
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Torque wrenches
  • Pipe threaders
  • Pipe dies
  • Laser printers
  • Two way radios
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Bandsaws
  • Portable refractometers
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Transit levels
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Hand trucks
  • Transfer pumps
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Staging equipment
  • Oil guns
  • Staging winches
  • Riggings
  • Circular saws
  • High-voltage probes
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Hoists
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Soft face hammers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Dial indicators
  • Acetylene torches
  • Dataloggers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Potentiometers
  • Wire brushes
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Valve wrenches
  • Voltage simulators
  • Safety belts
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Slings
  • Drill presses
  • Grease guns
  • Caulking guns
  • Charging manifolds
  • Autoranging meters
  • Tape measures
  • Hand sprayers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Laser levels
  • Shears
  • Hold down clamps
  • Circuit tracers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Metal snips
  • Screwdrivers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Chalk lines
  • Vernier calipers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Pullers
  • Anemometers
  • Strap wrenches
  • Pipe reamers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Venturi meters

Alternative Job Titles