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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • SAP software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Data logging software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Database software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Uptake AI
  • IBM Notes
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Internet browser software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Perplexity AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Contact management systems
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Facility energy management software
  • Graphics software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Building automation software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • HVAC tools software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Tachometers
  • Ladders
  • Duct slicers
  • Pullers
  • Voltmeters
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Grease guns
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Scrapers
  • Drill presses
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Micron gauges
  • Utility knives
  • Laser printers
  • Conduit benders
  • Two way radios
  • Jacks
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Soldering irons
  • Tape measures
  • Transit levels
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Cold chisels
  • Dataloggers
  • Hand drills
  • Spectrometers
  • Shackles
  • Punches
  • Ammeters
  • Velometers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Draft gauges
  • Power drills
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Watt transducers
  • Power saws
  • Pipe reamers
  • Compound gauges
  • Smoke pens
  • Ohmmeters
  • Nut drivers
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Bandsaws
  • Slings
  • Decibel meters
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • pH meters
  • Desktop computers
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Tongs
  • Litmus papers
  • Claw hammers
  • Air flow hoods
  • Water level meters
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Milliammeters
  • Torque wrenches
  • Platform lifts
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Water testers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Oxygen testers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Multimeters
  • Personal computers
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Awls
  • Caulking equipment
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Safety glasses
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Duct vacuums
  • Vernier calipers
  • Duct knives
  • Current simulators
  • Hacksaws
  • Autoranging meters
  • Pipe dies
  • Laser levels
  • Wattmeters
  • Scribers
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Voltage simulators
  • Labeling machines
  • Chart recorders
  • Forklifts
  • Circuit tracers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Hygrosticks
  • Electric drills
  • Smoke testers
  • Respirators
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Charging cylinders
  • Resistance meters
  • Circular saws
  • Squares
  • Shears
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Box cutters
  • Valve wrenches
  • Staging equipment
  • Hold down clamps
  • Soldering equipment
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Air velocity meters
  • Tube cutters
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Tin snips
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Levels
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Transfer pumps
  • Precision levels
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Capacitance testers
  • Receptacle testers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Image scanners
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Wire strippers
  • Power washers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Humidity sensors
  • Manometers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Wire brushes
  • Acetylene torches
  • Long nose pliers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Safety harnesses
  • Hand sprayers
  • Micrometers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Swaging tools
  • Scaffolding
  • Strap wrenches
  • Chalk lines
  • Tap sets
  • Pipe threaders
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Glue guns
  • Screwdrivers
  • Insulation knives
  • Temperature simulators
  • Milliohm meters
  • Riggings
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Crowbars
  • Tubing benders
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Safety belts
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Scale rules
  • Wire cutters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Megohmmeters
  • Venturi meters
  • Hammers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Anemometers
  • Hoists
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Drill bit sets
  • Hand trucks
  • Rulers
  • Thermocouples
  • Flaring tools
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Pitot tubes
  • Calipers
  • Temperature gauges
  • Black lights
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Psychrometers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Hand seamers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Water levels
  • Laptop computers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Moisture meters
  • Caulking guns
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Brazing equipment
  • Humidity simulators
  • Straightedges
  • Dial indicators
  • Cordless drills
  • Staging winches
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Flowmeters
  • Metal snips
  • Pressure simulators
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Plotters
  • Safety goggles
  • Service manifold sets
  • Potentiometers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Knockout punches
  • Water flow meters
  • Charging manifolds
  • Portable drills
  • Air compressors
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Pipe benders
  • Jig saws
  • Welding hoods
  • Bubble levels
  • Groove pliers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Hex wrenches
  • Fin combs
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Bolt cutters
  • Power grinders
  • Fish tapes
  • Reamers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Hole saws
  • Soldering guns
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Bourdon tubes
  • High-voltage probes
  • Oil guns

Alternative Job Titles