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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Building automation software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Internet browser software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • ManagerPlus
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • SAP software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Contact management systems
  • Uptake AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Microsoft Office software
  • IBM Notes
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Perplexity AI
  • Database software
  • Graphics software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Data logging software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Shackles
  • Spectrometers
  • Tubing benders
  • Glue guns
  • Squares
  • Potentiometers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Slings
  • Pressure simulators
  • Personal computers
  • Air velocity meters
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Power washers
  • Duct slicers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Air flow hoods
  • Safety goggles
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Dial indicators
  • Transit levels
  • Reamers
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Plotters
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Respirators
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • High-voltage probes
  • Charging cylinders
  • Tape measures
  • Riggings
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Calipers
  • Claw hammers
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Receptacle testers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Desktop computers
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Wattmeters
  • Staging equipment
  • Two way radios
  • Micrometers
  • Safety belts
  • Ladders
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Velometers
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Grease guns
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Duct vacuums
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Straightedges
  • Humidity sensors
  • Pipe dies
  • Soldering irons
  • Pullers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Rulers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Caulking guns
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Scribers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Metal snips
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Levels
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Water levels
  • Tin snips
  • Thermocouples
  • Open end wrenches
  • Pipe threaders
  • Precision levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Drill bit sets
  • Litmus papers
  • Chalk lines
  • Water testers
  • Pipe cutters
  • Voltmeters
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Tube cutters
  • Venturi meters
  • Valve wrenches
  • Drill presses
  • Hand sprayers
  • Power saws
  • Cordless drills
  • Jig saws
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Nut drivers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Compound gauges
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Black lights
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Smoke pens
  • Acetylene torches
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Punches
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Wire brushes
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Flaring tools
  • Caulking equipment
  • Megohmmeters
  • Power hacksaws
  • Knockout punches
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Conduit benders
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Hacksaws
  • Autoranging meters
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Hammers
  • Draft gauges
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Scale rules
  • Laser printers
  • Scrapers
  • Ammeters
  • Milliammeters
  • Safety harnesses
  • Laser levels
  • Chart recorders
  • Hand trucks
  • Micron gauges
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Circular saws
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Hole saws
  • Image scanners
  • Safety glasses
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Bubble levels
  • Hand seamers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Oil guns
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Box cutters
  • Shears
  • Pipe reamers
  • Fish tapes
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Tinners hammers
  • Pipe benders
  • Power drills
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Welding hoods
  • Soft face hammers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Feeler gauges
  • Scaffolding
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Watt transducers
  • Labeling machines
  • Transfer pumps
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Duct knives
  • Soldering equipment
  • Hex wrenches
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Wire cutters
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Platform lifts
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Current simulators
  • Flowmeters
  • Hygrosticks
  • Hand drills
  • Soldering guns
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Wire strippers
  • Insulation knives
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Dataloggers
  • Circuit tracers
  • Power grinders
  • Electric drills
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Tachometers
  • Cold chisels
  • Temperature gauges
  • Capacitance testers
  • Forklifts
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Allen wrenches
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Temperature simulators
  • Decibel meters
  • Utility knives
  • Strap wrenches
  • Awls
  • Tongs
  • Anemometers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Psychrometers
  • Humidity simulators
  • Resistance meters
  • Charging manifolds
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Swaging tools
  • Crowbars
  • Smoke testers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Water flow meters
  • Air compressors
  • Hold down clamps
  • Long nose pliers
  • Jacks
  • Moisture meters
  • Water level meters
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Groove pliers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Hoists
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Portable refractometers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Torque wrenches
  • Fin combs
  • Portable drills
  • Staging winches
  • Handheld thermometers
  • pH meters
  • Screwdrivers
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Multimeters
  • Service manifold sets
  • Tap sets
  • Manometers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Laptop computers

Alternative Job Titles