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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Building automation software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • HVAC tools software
  • Graphics software
  • Uptake AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • IBM Notes
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • ServiceMax AI
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Database software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Internet browser software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Data logging software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Contact management systems
  • ManagerPlus
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Vernier calipers
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Soft face hammers
  • Slings
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Flowmeters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Tongs
  • Humidity simulators
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Air flow hoods
  • Shackles
  • Rulers
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Anemometers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Circular saws
  • Caulking equipment
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Spectrometers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Portable drills
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Oil guns
  • Awls
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Grease guns
  • Current simulators
  • Scrapers
  • Staging equipment
  • Water flow meters
  • Charging manifolds
  • Hand seamers
  • Voltmeters
  • Hand drills
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Wire cutters
  • Tape measures
  • Receptacle testers
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Pipe benders
  • Bolt cutters
  • Autoranging meters
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Water testers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Temperature simulators
  • Duct vacuums
  • Multimeters
  • Megohmmeters
  • Allen wrenches
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Decibel meters
  • Cordless drills
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Drill presses
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Tin snips
  • Wattmeters
  • Wire strippers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Laser printers
  • Safety goggles
  • Soldering irons
  • Charging cylinders
  • Soldering equipment
  • Electrical current meters
  • Water level meters
  • Hammers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Compound gauges
  • Water levels
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Reamers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Acetylene torches
  • Milliohm meters
  • Squares
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Tube cutters
  • Plotters
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Temperature gauges
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Black lights
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Power hacksaws
  • Calipers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Dataloggers
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Nut drivers
  • Thermocouples
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Chalk lines
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Laser levels
  • Pressure simulators
  • Conduit benders
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Duct knives
  • Fish tapes
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Welding hoods
  • Ladders
  • Pitot tubes
  • Brazing equipment
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Draft gauges
  • Hole saws
  • Potentiometers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Voltage simulators
  • Oxygen testers
  • Psychrometers
  • Soldering guns
  • Resistance meters
  • Platform lifts
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Service manifold sets
  • Forklifts
  • Circuit tracers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Shears
  • Groove pliers
  • Long nose pliers
  • Two way radios
  • Power washers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Smoke testers
  • Power saws
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Insulation knives
  • Micrometers
  • Hacksaws
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Laptop computers
  • Smoke pens
  • Hand trucks
  • Punches
  • Watt transducers
  • Litmus papers
  • Precision levels
  • Air velocity meters
  • Transit levels
  • Staging winches
  • Jacks
  • Levels
  • Pullers
  • Capacitance testers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Labeling machines
  • Knockout punches
  • Safety glasses
  • Tap sets
  • Electric drills
  • pH meters
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Hold down clamps
  • Milliammeters
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Moisture meters
  • Pipe dies
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Straightedges
  • Velometers
  • Micron gauges
  • Open end wrenches
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Hoists
  • Air flow sensors
  • Duct slicers
  • Power drills
  • Transfer pumps
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Box cutters
  • Personal computers
  • Pipe reamers
  • Strap wrenches
  • Tachometers
  • Manometers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Feeler gauges
  • Flaring tools
  • Pipe cutters
  • Glue guns
  • Tinners hammers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Dial indicators
  • Desktop computers
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Caulking guns
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Chart recorders
  • Portable refractometers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Claw hammers
  • Bubble levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Scale rules
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Valve wrenches
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Air compressors
  • Crowbars
  • Respirators
  • Torque wrenches
  • Image scanners
  • Power grinders
  • Swaging tools
  • Metal snips
  • Ammeters
  • Wire brushes
  • Jig saws
  • Riggings
  • Venturi meters
  • Scaffolding
  • Fin combs
  • High-voltage probes
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Tubing benders
  • Cold chisels
  • Safety belts
  • Utility knives
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Hex wrenches
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Scribers

Alternative Job Titles