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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Journeyman (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Journeyman)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

Technologies & Software

  • Building automation software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • IBM Notes
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Facility energy management software
  • HVAC tools software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Internet browser software
  • Data logging software
  • Uptake AI
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Database software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Graphics software
  • Contact management systems
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Perplexity AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • SAP software
  • Pipe benders
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Safety glasses
  • Inspection mirrors
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Hold down clamps
  • Scale rules
  • Hammers
  • Power saws
  • Power drills
  • Portable refractometers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Box cutters
  • Temperature simulators
  • Psychrometers
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Scrapers
  • Thermocouples
  • Air velocity meters
  • Micrometers
  • Oil guns
  • Image scanners
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Humidity sensors
  • Soldering equipment
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Glue guns
  • Swaging tools
  • Groove pliers
  • Micron gauges
  • Decibel meters
  • Manometers
  • Drill presses
  • Hand trucks
  • Water level meters
  • Compound gauges
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Claw hammers
  • Tubing benders
  • Forklifts
  • Hoists
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Safety belts
  • Jacks
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Hand drills
  • Desktop computers
  • Nut drivers
  • Wattmeters
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Pipe dies
  • Open end wrenches
  • Strap wrenches
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Temperature gauges
  • Hand seamers
  • Tape measures
  • Transit levels
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Vernier calipers
  • Hole saws
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Transfer pumps
  • Punches
  • Reamers
  • Water levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Power hacksaws
  • Platform lifts
  • Receptacle testers
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Voltmeters
  • Circuit tracers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Long nose pliers
  • Labeling machines
  • Bubble levels
  • Autoranging meters
  • Soft face hammers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Pressure simulators
  • Litmus papers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Watt transducers
  • Personal computers
  • Wire brushes
  • Valve wrenches
  • Plotters
  • Tin snips
  • Oxygen testers
  • Staging winches
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Tinners hammers
  • Awls
  • Riggings
  • Safety harnesses
  • Safety goggles
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Moisture meters
  • Grease guns
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Spectrometers
  • Multimeters
  • Portable drills
  • Drill bit sets
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Metal snips
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Cold chisels
  • Conduit benders
  • Respirators
  • Service manifold sets
  • pH meters
  • Hacksaws
  • Utility knives
  • Pipe threaders
  • Ammeters
  • Hand sprayers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Pullers
  • Venturi meters
  • Acetylene torches
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Caulking equipment
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Resistance meters
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Shackles
  • Voltage simulators
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Dial indicators
  • Power washers
  • High-voltage probes
  • Pipe cutters
  • Straightedges
  • Charging cylinders
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Wire cutters
  • Fin combs
  • Circular saws
  • Pressure gauges
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Hex wrenches
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Ladders
  • Current simulators
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Feeler gauges
  • Slings
  • Cordless drills
  • Draft gauges
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Smoke testers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Smoke pens
  • Chart recorders
  • Precision levels
  • Jig saws
  • Tap sets
  • Air compressors
  • Flaring tools
  • Laser levels
  • Air flow hoods
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Insulation knives
  • Staging equipment
  • Anemometers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Black lights
  • Laptop computers
  • Crowbars
  • Laser printers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Chalk lines
  • Calipers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Caulking guns
  • Flowmeters
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Two way radios
  • Rulers
  • Pipe reamers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Duct vacuums
  • Fish tapes
  • Bolt cutters
  • Tongs
  • Potentiometers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Torque wrenches
  • Scribers
  • Levels
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Electric drills
  • Tachometers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Velometers
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Capacitance testers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Knockout punches
  • Soldering irons
  • Air flow sensors
  • Water flow meters
  • Shears
  • Power grinders
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Charging manifolds
  • Duct knives
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Squares
  • Dataloggers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Water testers
  • Soldering guns
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Milliammeters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Duct slicers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Humidity simulators
  • Tube cutters
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Welding hoods
  • Scaffolding
  • Wire strippers

Alternative Job Titles