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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

Technologies & Software

  • Database software
  • Data logging software
  • Graphics software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Building automation software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft Word
  • ManagerPlus
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Internet browser software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Facility energy management software
  • Uptake AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Contact management systems
  • HVAC tools software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Cworks CMMS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • SAP software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Transit levels
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Precision levels
  • Manometers
  • Air compressors
  • Crowbars
  • Tachometers
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Caulking equipment
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Safety harnesses
  • Chart recorders
  • Personal computers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Pullers
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Air flow sensors
  • Screwdrivers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Hold down clamps
  • Electrical current meters
  • Grease guns
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Soldering equipment
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Laptop computers
  • Shackles
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Respirators
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Draft gauges
  • Wire strippers
  • Utility knives
  • Duct vacuums
  • Open end wrenches
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Hand seamers
  • Venturi meters
  • Pitot tubes
  • Riggings
  • Circuit tracers
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Pipe benders
  • Hand sprayers
  • Oil guns
  • Temperature gauges
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Glue guns
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Box cutters
  • Potentiometers
  • Safety glasses
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Staging winches
  • Decibel meters
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Watt transducers
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Wire cutters
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Jig saws
  • Groove pliers
  • Dial indicators
  • Fish tapes
  • Chalk lines
  • Portable refractometers
  • Pipe dies
  • Torque wrenches
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Plotters
  • Wattmeters
  • Milliohm meters
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Safety goggles
  • Metal snips
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Soldering guns
  • Humidity sensors
  • High-voltage probes
  • Swaging tools
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Portable drills
  • Pipe reamers
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Pressure simulators
  • Water level meters
  • Nut drivers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Temperature simulators
  • Strap wrenches
  • Claw hammers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Awls
  • Bandsaws
  • Capacitance testers
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Image scanners
  • Levels
  • Soldering irons
  • Rulers
  • Scrapers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Autoranging meters
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Tape measures
  • Caulking guns
  • Flaring tools
  • Transfer pumps
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Cordless drills
  • Punches
  • Water flow meters
  • Forklifts
  • Fin combs
  • Scribers
  • Hole saws
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Bolt cutters
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Scaffolding
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Tube cutters
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Air flow hoods
  • Laser levels
  • Jacks
  • Duct slicers
  • Service manifold sets
  • Staging equipment
  • Vernier calipers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Labeling machines
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Current simulators
  • Calipers
  • Receptacle testers
  • Cold chisels
  • Ammeters
  • Acetylene torches
  • Smoke testers
  • Circular saws
  • Insulation knives
  • Safety belts
  • Voltmeters
  • Black lights
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Hand trucks
  • Electric drills
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Tinners hammers
  • Anemometers
  • Tap sets
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Dataloggers
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Knockout punches
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Squares
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Thermocouples
  • Two way radios
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • pH meters
  • Power washers
  • Shears
  • Allen wrenches
  • Flowmeters
  • Spectrometers
  • Power drills
  • Smoke pens
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Velometers
  • Duct knives
  • Soft face hammers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Power saws
  • Scale rules
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Straightedges
  • Milliammeters
  • Multimeters
  • Water levels
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Valve wrenches
  • Hand drills
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Power grinders
  • Brazing equipment
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Charging manifolds
  • Reamers
  • Laser printers
  • Conduit benders
  • Tubing benders
  • Desktop computers
  • Platform lifts
  • Slings
  • Pipe cutters
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Micrometers
  • Drill presses
  • Humidity simulators
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Tongs
  • Wire brushes
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Tin snips
  • Long nose pliers
  • Litmus papers
  • Hammers
  • Bubble levels
  • Hacksaws
  • Hoists
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Water testers
  • Ladders
  • Voltage simulators
  • Welding hoods
  • Compound gauges
  • Micron gauges
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Oxygen testers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Feeler gauges
  • Moisture meters
  • Resistance meters
  • Air velocity meters
  • Psychrometers
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Charging cylinders

Alternative Job Titles