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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

Technologies & Software

  • ManagerPlus
  • Graphics software
  • Database software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • IBM Notes
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • HVAC tools software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Facility energy management software
  • Internet browser software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • SAP software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Contact management systems
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Perplexity AI
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Uptake AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Data logging software
  • Building automation software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Water levels
  • Ohmmeters
  • Welding hoods
  • Conduit benders
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Wattmeters
  • Fin combs
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Milliammeters
  • Allen wrenches
  • Receptacle testers
  • Duct slicers
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Riggings
  • Desktop computers
  • Thermocouples
  • Tape measures
  • Levels
  • Safety belts
  • Pipe reamers
  • Two way radios
  • Micron gauges
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Service manifold sets
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Spectrometers
  • Flowmeters
  • Precision levels
  • Temperature gauges
  • Acetylene torches
  • Valve wrenches
  • Vernier calipers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Straightedges
  • Nut drivers
  • Charging manifolds
  • Portable refractometers
  • Squares
  • Platform lifts
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Duct vacuums
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Metal snips
  • Draft gauges
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Knockout punches
  • Micrometers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Portable drills
  • Oxygen testers
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Wire strippers
  • Laser printers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Tongs
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Hole saws
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Psychrometers
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Megohmmeters
  • Air compressors
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Scale rules
  • Jacks
  • Wire cutters
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Staging equipment
  • Power drills
  • Labeling machines
  • Air flow sensors
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Humidity sensors
  • Litmus papers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Laptop computers
  • Hand sprayers
  • Drill presses
  • Claw hammers
  • Insulation knives
  • Caulking equipment
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Punches
  • Oil guns
  • Shackles
  • Swaging tools
  • Decibel meters
  • Hoists
  • Moisture meters
  • Black lights
  • Strap wrenches
  • Image scanners
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Hammers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Pressure simulators
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Smoke pens
  • Temperature simulators
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Dial indicators
  • Utility knives
  • Calipers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Hand trucks
  • Pipe dies
  • Power washers
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Cold chisels
  • Power saws
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Fish tapes
  • Humidity simulators
  • Watt transducers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Crowbars
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Shears
  • Flaring tools
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Soldering guns
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Caulking guns
  • Respirators
  • Air velocity meters
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Charging cylinders
  • Circuit tracers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Jig saws
  • Hand seamers
  • Safety glasses
  • Water flow meters
  • Tube cutters
  • Soft face hammers
  • Tachometers
  • Long nose pliers
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Resistance meters
  • Wire brushes
  • Anemometers
  • Tap sets
  • pH meters
  • Hacksaws
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Voltage simulators
  • Feeler gauges
  • Awls
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Safety goggles
  • Grease guns
  • Pipe benders
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Tinners hammers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Glue guns
  • Reamers
  • Potentiometers
  • Staging winches
  • Transfer pumps
  • Hold down clamps
  • Screwdrivers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Cordless drills
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Pullers
  • Duct knives
  • Air flow hoods
  • Personal computers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Pressure gauges
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Laser levels
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Water testers
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Box cutters
  • Pitot tubes
  • Capacitance testers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Electric drills
  • Smoke testers
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Torque wrenches
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Hex wrenches
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Drill bit sets
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Chalk lines
  • Milliohm meters
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Ammeters
  • Bubble levels
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Rulers
  • Water level meters
  • Power grinders
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Dataloggers
  • Velometers
  • Bandsaws
  • Tubing benders
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Plotters
  • Manometers
  • Electrical current meters
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Voltmeters
  • Groove pliers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Ladders
  • Autoranging meters
  • Hand drills
  • Soldering irons
  • Open end wrenches
  • Tin snips
  • Compound gauges
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Venturi meters
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Multimeters
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Transit levels
  • High-voltage probes
  • Circular saws
  • Forklifts
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Scaffolding
  • Soldering equipment
  • Scrapers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Scribers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Chart recorders
  • Current simulators
  • Power hacksaws
  • Slings

Alternative Job Titles