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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

Technologies & Software

  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • ManagerPlus
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Database software
  • Uptake AI
  • Graphics software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Data logging software
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • ServiceMax AI
  • HVAC tools software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Building automation software
  • IBM Notes
  • Facility energy management software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Internet browser software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Contact management systems
  • SAP software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Laser levels
  • Valve wrenches
  • Power washers
  • Image scanners
  • Voltmeters
  • Claw hammers
  • Wire cutters
  • Caulking guns
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Pipe threaders
  • Pipe dies
  • Bolt cutters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Ohmmeters
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Ammeters
  • Electric drills
  • Levels
  • Jig saws
  • Brazing equipment
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Smoke testers
  • Manometers
  • Bandsaws
  • Hand trucks
  • Electrical current meters
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Charging cylinders
  • Personal computers
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Reamers
  • Water testers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Tap sets
  • Safety belts
  • Nut drivers
  • Micron gauges
  • Labeling machines
  • Long nose pliers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Ladders
  • Acetylene torches
  • Metal snips
  • Desktop computers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Watt transducers
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Wire strippers
  • Milliammeters
  • Scale rules
  • Pipe reamers
  • Knockout punches
  • Utility knives
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Decibel meters
  • Respirators
  • Soldering guns
  • High-voltage probes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Dataloggers
  • pH meters
  • Screwdrivers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Receptacle testers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Cold chisels
  • Hand sprayers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Current simulators
  • Spectrometers
  • Rulers
  • Insulation knives
  • Slings
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Portable refractometers
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Torque wrenches
  • Charging manifolds
  • Scribers
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Chalk lines
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Humidity simulators
  • Pitot tubes
  • Plotters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Oil guns
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Precision levels
  • Litmus papers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Forklifts
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Hacksaws
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Staging winches
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Pipe cutters
  • Drill presses
  • Soft face hammers
  • Glue guns
  • Water levels
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Safety goggles
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Pressure simulators
  • Temperature gauges
  • Oxygen testers
  • Velometers
  • Moisture meters
  • Voltage simulators
  • Squares
  • Punches
  • Psychrometers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Pipe benders
  • Laser printers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Staging equipment
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Compound gauges
  • Black lights
  • Jacks
  • Hold down clamps
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Air velocity meters
  • Bubble levels
  • Platform lifts
  • Tubing benders
  • Cordless drills
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Flaring tools
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Scrapers
  • Draft gauges
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Shears
  • Circuit tracers
  • Duct slicers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Water flow meters
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Transit levels
  • Capacitance testers
  • Groove pliers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Awls
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Temperature simulators
  • Hand drills
  • Tin snips
  • Transfer pumps
  • Tube cutters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Fin combs
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Drill bit sets
  • Swaging tools
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Hex wrenches
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Smoke pens
  • Duct vacuums
  • Resistance meters
  • Power grinders
  • Scaffolding
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Strap wrenches
  • Wattmeters
  • Chart recorders
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Tongs
  • Power saws
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Vernier calipers
  • Tachometers
  • Micrometers
  • Autoranging meters
  • Service manifold sets
  • Grease guns
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Portable drills
  • Pullers
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Air flow hoods
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Hammers
  • Hole saws
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Anemometers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Allen wrenches
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Potentiometers
  • Power drills
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Multimeters
  • Water level meters
  • Soldering irons
  • Air compressors
  • Calipers
  • Caulking equipment
  • Hand seamers
  • Duct knives
  • Thermocouples
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Fish tapes
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Crowbars
  • Venturi meters
  • Hoists
  • Wire brushes
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Straightedges
  • Welding hoods
  • Laptop computers
  • Tape measures
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Circular saws
  • Feeler gauges
  • Flowmeters
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Conduit benders
  • Box cutters
  • Shackles
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Safety glasses
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Two way radios
  • Milliohm meters
  • Dial indicators
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Riggings

Alternative Job Titles