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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“Commercial HVAC Tech (Commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

Technologies & Software

  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Microsoft Word
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Contact management systems
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • SAP software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Internet browser software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Graphics software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • ManagerPlus
  • Building automation software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • HVAC tools software
  • Data logging software
  • Facility energy management software
  • Uptake AI
  • Database software
  • IBM Notes
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Milliohm meters
  • Insulation knives
  • Dataloggers
  • Wire brushes
  • Charging manifolds
  • Service manifold sets
  • Personal computers
  • Respirators
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Duct knives
  • Potentiometers
  • Rulers
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Power grinders
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Air flow sensors
  • Claw hammers
  • Desktop computers
  • Tap sets
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Duct vacuums
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Decibel meters
  • Dial indicators
  • Humidity sensors
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Electrical current meters
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Portable drills
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Venturi meters
  • Smoke pens
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Soldering equipment
  • Spectrometers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Shackles
  • Hold down clamps
  • Portable refractometers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Swaging tools
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Punches
  • Water testers
  • Metal snips
  • Tape measures
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Hand drills
  • Resistance meters
  • Duct slicers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Electric drills
  • Bubble levels
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Screwdrivers
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Milliammeters
  • Velometers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Oil guns
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Strap wrenches
  • Cold chisels
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Hammers
  • High-voltage probes
  • Platform lifts
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Two way radios
  • Power washers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Groove pliers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Power drills
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Safety harnesses
  • Valve wrenches
  • Wattmeters
  • Tachometers
  • Knockout punches
  • Moisture meters
  • Bolt cutters
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Micrometers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Watt transducers
  • Laptop computers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Pipe benders
  • Litmus papers
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Pipe reamers
  • Air compressors
  • Hole saws
  • Welding hoods
  • Wire cutters
  • Drill presses
  • Levels
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Allen wrenches
  • Receptacle testers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Thermocouples
  • Tongs
  • Ladders
  • Bandsaws
  • Voltmeters
  • Slings
  • Smoke testers
  • Nut drivers
  • Caulking guns
  • Jig saws
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Wire strippers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Jacks
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Capacitance testers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Tubing benders
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Image scanners
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Micron gauges
  • Air flow hoods
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Crowbars
  • Cordless drills
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Water flow meters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Draft gauges
  • Circuit tracers
  • Scribers
  • Megohmmeters
  • Forklifts
  • Torque wrenches
  • Compound gauges
  • Water level meters
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Scaffolding
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Temperature simulators
  • Reamers
  • Staging equipment
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Soldering guns
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Tin snips
  • Circular saws
  • Straightedges
  • Hygrosticks
  • Oxygen testers
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Chalk lines
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Soft face hammers
  • Labeling machines
  • Hand sprayers
  • Pipe dies
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Utility knives
  • Vernier calipers
  • Safety glasses
  • Flowmeters
  • Power saws
  • Hex wrenches
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Transfer pumps
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Humidity simulators
  • pH meters
  • Charging cylinders
  • Squares
  • Anemometers
  • Ammeters
  • Chart recorders
  • Pipe cutters
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Hand seamers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Manometers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Staging winches
  • Tube cutters
  • Tinners hammers
  • Scrapers
  • Temperature gauges
  • Water levels
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Precision levels
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Air velocity meters
  • Psychrometers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Multimeters
  • Riggings
  • Box cutters
  • Pipe threaders
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Black lights
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Grease guns
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Pressure simulators
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Hacksaws
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Transit levels
  • Autoranging meters
  • Glue guns
  • Plotters
  • Acetylene torches
  • Fish tapes
  • Safety goggles
  • Hand trucks
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Conduit benders
  • Drill bit sets
  • Laser printers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Long nose pliers
  • Safety belts
  • Shears
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Soldering irons
  • Caulking equipment
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Hoists
  • Laser levels
  • Scale rules
  • Awls
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Current simulators
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Fin combs
  • Pullers
  • Calipers
  • Flaring tools

Alternative Job Titles