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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

Technologies & Software

  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Internet browser software
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • HVAC tools software
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Perplexity AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Contact management systems
  • ServiceMax AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Database software
  • Building automation software
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • ManagerPlus
  • IBM Notes
  • Uptake AI
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Cworks CMMS
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Data logging software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Facility energy management software
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Graphics software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Drill bit sets
  • Pipe threaders
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hygrosticks
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Valve wrenches
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Ohmmeters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Dial indicators
  • Compound gauges
  • Staging winches
  • Current simulators
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Caulking guns
  • Tubing benders
  • Pressure simulators
  • Water level meters
  • Bolt cutters
  • Safety glasses
  • Feeler gauges
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Safety goggles
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Groove pliers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Wire brushes
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Staging equipment
  • Cold chisels
  • Electrical current meters
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Acetylene torches
  • Smoke pens
  • Hole saws
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Bubble levels
  • Metal snips
  • Caulking equipment
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Punches
  • Tap sets
  • Scribers
  • Nut drivers
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Torque wrenches
  • Tape measures
  • Cordless drills
  • Air compressors
  • Dataloggers
  • Pullers
  • Tongs
  • Claw hammers
  • Scale rules
  • Vernier calipers
  • Pipe dies
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Velometers
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Micrometers
  • Oil guns
  • Tin snips
  • Hand trucks
  • Black lights
  • Pipe cutters
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Decibel meters
  • Wire cutters
  • Awls
  • Hammers
  • Fin combs
  • Resistance meters
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Manometers
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Shackles
  • Transit levels
  • Long nose pliers
  • Air velocity meters
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Forklifts
  • Portable drills
  • Flowmeters
  • Charging cylinders
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Air flow hoods
  • Ladders
  • Capacitance testers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Power washers
  • Levels
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Grease guns
  • Electric drills
  • Oxygen testers
  • Power drills
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Chalk lines
  • Service manifold sets
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Circular saws
  • Laser levels
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Humidity sensors
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Platform lifts
  • Power hacksaws
  • Jacks
  • Brazing equipment
  • Multimeters
  • Conduit benders
  • Labeling machines
  • Rulers
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Power saws
  • Hoists
  • pH meters
  • Safety belts
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Swaging tools
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Draft gauges
  • Laser printers
  • Pipe reamers
  • Autoranging meters
  • Laptop computers
  • Spectrometers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Screwdrivers
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Soft face hammers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Temperature simulators
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Flaring tools
  • Psychrometers
  • Welding hoods
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Air flow sensors
  • Soldering guns
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Power grinders
  • Hex wrenches
  • Personal computers
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Charging manifolds
  • Scrapers
  • Voltmeters
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Reamers
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Duct vacuums
  • Tachometers
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Pitot tubes
  • Hacksaws
  • Fish tapes
  • Utility knives
  • Milliammeters
  • Plotters
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Water levels
  • Megohmmeters
  • Watt transducers
  • Hand sprayers
  • Portable refractometers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Drill presses
  • Water flow meters
  • Temperature gauges
  • Bandsaws
  • Duct slicers
  • Tinners hammers
  • Hand drills
  • Knockout punches
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Venturi meters
  • Duct knives
  • Circuit analyzers
  • High-voltage probes
  • Soldering irons
  • Straightedges
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Pipe benders
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Wattmeters
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Jig saws
  • Humidity simulators
  • Squares
  • Slings
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Precision levels
  • Tube cutters
  • Insulation knives
  • Strap wrenches
  • Hold down clamps
  • Potentiometers
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Open end wrenches
  • Circuit tracers
  • Milliohm meters
  • Shears
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Transfer pumps
  • Litmus papers
  • Thermocouples
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Respirators
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Crowbars
  • Hand seamers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Ammeters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Voltage simulators
  • Calipers
  • Smoke testers
  • Two way radios
  • Wire strippers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Water testers
  • Image scanners
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Anemometers
  • Chart recorders
  • Scaffolding
  • Box cutters
  • Desktop computers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Micron gauges
  • Receptacle testers
  • Riggings
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Glue guns
  • Moisture meters

Alternative Job Titles