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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #362 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

37%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 37% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

54%

“HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Avg. Annual Salary $62,690
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.14
Available Jobs (US) 396,870
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers #49-9021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install auxiliary components to heating or cooling equipment, such as expansion or discharge valves, air ducts, pipes, blowers, dampers, flues, or stokers.

  • Lay out reference points for installation of structural and functional components, using measuring instruments.

  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.

  • Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.

  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.

  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

  • Mount compressor, condenser, and other components in specified locations on frames, using hand tools and acetylene welding equipment.

  • Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

  • Perform mechanical overhauls and refrigerant reclaiming.

  • Install or repair self-contained ground source heat pumps or hybrid ground or air source heat pumps to minimize carbon-based energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.

  • Cut or drill holes in floors, walls, or roof to install equipment, using power saws or drills.

  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.

  • Supervise and instruct assistants.

  • Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.

  • Install expansion and control valves, using acetylene torches and wrenches.

  • Braze or solder parts to repair defective joints and leaks.

  • Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.

  • Measure, cut, thread, or bend pipe or tubing, using pipe fitter's tools.

  • Lay out and connect electrical wiring between controls and equipment, according to wiring diagrams, using electrician's hand tools.

  • Lift and align components into position, using hoist or block and tackle.

  • Install dehumidifiers or related equipment for spaces that require cool, dry air to operate efficiently, such as computer rooms.

  • Repair or service heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to improve efficiency, such as by changing filters, cleaning ducts, and refilling non-toxic refrigerants.

  • Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.

  • Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.

  • Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.

  • Install or repair air purification systems, such as specialized filters or ultraviolet (UV) light purification systems.

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.

  • Test pipes, lines, components, and connections for leaks.

  • Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

Technologies & Software

  • Data logging software
  • Graphics software
  • Alerton Ascent Compass
  • Delta Controls inteliWEB
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Building automation software
  • IBM Notes
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • HVAC tools software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Database software
  • Contact management systems
  • Augury (Predictive Maintenance)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ManagerPlus
  • Honeywell WEBs-N4
  • Facility energy management software
  • SAP software
  • Cworks CMMS
  • Uptake AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Siemens APOGEE Building Automation Software
  • Microsoft Exchange
  • Microsoft Word
  • IBM Maximo Asset Management
  • Internet browser software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • ServiceMax AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Johnson Controls Metasys
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Revolutions per minute RPM meters
  • Micron gauges
  • Plotters
  • Claw hammers
  • Riggings
  • Flowmeters
  • Nut drivers
  • Watt transducers
  • Hand trucks
  • Image scanners
  • Water level meters
  • Oxygen testers
  • Wire strippers
  • Turbine flow meters
  • Reclaiming equipment
  • Tongs
  • Draft gauges
  • Conduit benders
  • Hammers
  • Scaffolding
  • Milliammeters
  • Ladders
  • Screw extractor sets
  • Duct vacuums
  • Phase rotation meters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Slings
  • Shackles
  • Volt-ohm meters VOM
  • Wet bulb/dew point meters
  • Hold down clamps
  • Belt tension indicators
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Inspection mirrors
  • Air compressors
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Milliamp/microamp meters
  • Compound gauges
  • Cold chisels
  • Electric drills
  • Velometers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Air flow sensors
  • Potentiometers
  • Spectrometers
  • Smoke detector canisters
  • Carbon monoxide evaluators
  • Valve wrenches
  • Scale rules
  • Power washers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Platform lifts
  • Circuit tracers
  • Pipe clamp thermocouples
  • Power saws
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Current simulators
  • Circuit analyzers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Desktop computers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Fish tapes
  • Pressure gauges
  • Tinners hammers
  • Tin snips
  • Pneumatic air gauges
  • Soft face hammers
  • Safety glasses
  • Autoranging meters
  • Hand seamers
  • Welding hoods
  • Computer diagnostic devices
  • Bolt cutters
  • Safety goggles
  • Manometers
  • Long nose pliers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Refrigerant leak detectors
  • Wire brushes
  • Hand sprayers
  • Recovery and recycle units
  • Anemometers
  • Charging cylinders
  • Smoke pens
  • Allen wrenches
  • Temperature/humidity testers
  • Glue guns
  • Combustible gas leak detectors
  • Water flow meters
  • Awls
  • Electrical frequency indicators
  • Service manifold sets
  • Temperature gauges
  • Brazing equipment
  • Air flow hoods
  • Caulking guns
  • Swaging tools
  • Sheet metal crimpers
  • Water testers
  • Hand drills
  • Refrigerant oil pumps
  • Pipe dies
  • Dataloggers
  • Scribers
  • Safety harnesses
  • Pipe benders
  • Resistance meters
  • Two way radios
  • Precision levels
  • Fin combs
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Groove pliers
  • Hole saws
  • Insulation knives
  • Staging equipment
  • Heating ventilation and air-conditioning/refrigeration HVAC/R clamp meters
  • Jig saws
  • Forklifts
  • Magnehelic gauges
  • Handheld thermometers
  • Laser printers
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Receptacle testers
  • Decibel meters
  • Alternating current AC line splitters
  • Moisture meters
  • Micrometers
  • Wire cutters
  • Electrical current meters
  • Levels
  • Circular saws
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Water levels
  • Calipers
  • Chart recorders
  • Shears
  • Hoists
  • Programmable logic controllers PLC
  • Humidity simulators
  • Box cutters
  • pH meters
  • Lug crimping tool dies
  • Strap wrenches
  • Tap sets
  • 4-wire resistance sensors
  • Tube cutters
  • Knockout punches
  • Utility knives
  • Reamers
  • Squares
  • Hot wire anemometers
  • Soldering irons
  • Refrigerant recovery machines
  • Acetylene torches
  • Rulers
  • Psychrometers
  • Bead type thermocouples
  • Magnetic pickup tools
  • Hygrosticks
  • Caulking equipment
  • Laptop computers
  • Metal snips
  • Pipe threaders
  • Pullers
  • Vacuum pumps
  • Duct slicers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Respirators
  • Water temperature gauges
  • Charging manifolds
  • Hex wrenches
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Bourdon tubes
  • Refrigerant vacuum pumps
  • Safety belts
  • Bandsaws
  • Straightedges
  • Temperature simulators
  • Laser levels
  • Fall arrest lines
  • Transfer pumps
  • Wattmeters
  • Venturi meters
  • Resistance temperature detectors
  • Multimeters
  • Clamp-on multimeters
  • Dial indicators
  • Non-contact surface temperature heads
  • Crowbars
  • Milliohm meters
  • Smoke testers
  • Pressure simulators
  • Power hacksaws
  • Soldering guns
  • Torque wrenches
  • Oil guns
  • Voltmeters
  • Differential pressure detectors
  • Black lights
  • Scrapers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Litmus papers
  • Refrigerant pressure meters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 testers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Jacks
  • Tape measures
  • Non-contact voltage detectors
  • Portable refractometers
  • Chalk lines
  • Thermocouples
  • Soldering equipment
  • Cordless drills
  • Flared tip screwdrivers
  • Thermocouple testers
  • Hacksaws
  • Capacitance testers
  • Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Personal computers
  • Transit levels
  • Megohmmeters
  • Capacitor analyzers
  • Air volume test equipment
  • Drill presses
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Ground fault circuit interrupter GFCI testers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Duplex pressure gauges
  • Contaminant content tests
  • Drill bit sets
  • Tachometers
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Infrared thermography cameras and display units
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Slotted screwdrivers
  • Flaring tools
  • High-voltage probes
  • Power drills
  • Vibration analyis equipment
  • Staging winches
  • Punches
  • Bubble levels
  • Material alignment jigs
  • Grease guns
  • Gas pressure gauges
  • Voltage simulators
  • Industrial vacuums
  • Power grinders
  • Air velocity meters
  • Labeling machines
  • Ammeters
  • Pitot tubes
  • Humidity sensors
  • Tubing benders
  • Pipe reamers
  • Duct knives
  • Portable drills

Alternative Job Titles