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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Orchard Manager” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #137 of 702. Estimated risk: 4.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Orchard Manager” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Orchard Manager” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Plan, direct, or coordinate the management or operation of farms, ranches, greenhouses, aquacultural operations, nurseries, timber tracts, or other agricultural establishments. May hire, train, and supervise farm workers or contract for services to carry out the day-to-day activities of the managed operation. May engage in or supervise planting, cultivating, harvesting, and financial and marketing activities.

Avg. Annual Salary $97,240
Avg. Hourly Wage $46.75
Available Jobs (US) 5,910
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers #11-9013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules.

  • Provide information to customers on the care of trees, shrubs, flowers, plants, and lawns.

  • Determine, administer, and execute policies relating to operations administration and standards, facility maintenance, and safety.

  • Maintain financial, operational, production, or employment records for farms or ranches.

  • Direct and monitor trapping and spawning of fish, egg incubation, and fry rearing, applying knowledge of management and fish culturing techniques.

  • Determine how to allocate resources and to respond to unanticipated problems, such as insect infestation, drought, and fire.

  • Conduct or supervise stock examinations to identify diseases or parasites.

  • Devise and participate in activities to improve fish hatching and growth rates, and to prevent disease in hatcheries.

  • Hire, supervise, and train support workers.

  • Direct and monitor the transfer of mature fish to lakes, ponds, streams, or commercial tanks.

  • Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.

  • Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities.

  • Obtain financing for and purchase necessary machinery, land, supplies, or livestock.

  • Monitor activities, such as irrigation, chemical application, harvesting, milking, breeding, and grading, to ensure adherence to safety regulations or standards.

  • Analyze soil to determine types or quantities of fertilizer required for maximum crop production.

  • Evaluate marketing or sales alternatives for products.

  • Determine types or quantities of crops, plants, or livestock to be grown and raised, based on budgets, federal incentives, market conditions, executive directives, projected sales volumes, or soil conditions.

  • Coordinate the selection and maintenance of brood stock.

  • Supervise the construction of farm or ranch structures, such as buildings, fences, drainage systems, wells, or roads.

  • Collect and record growth, production, and environmental data.

  • Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work.

  • Direct the breeding or raising of stock, such as cattle, poultry, or honeybees, using recognized breeding practices to ensure stock improvement.

  • Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers.

  • Negotiate with buyers for the sale, storage, or shipment of crops or livestock.

  • Conduct inspections to determine crop maturity or condition or to detect disease or insect infestation.

  • Monitor environments to ensure maintenance of optimum animal or plant life.

  • Prepare reports required by state and federal laws.

  • Replace chemical insecticides with environmentally friendly practices, such as adding pest-repelling plants to fields.

  • Direct crop production operations, such as planning, tilling, planting, fertilizing, cultivating, spraying, and harvesting.

  • Analyze market conditions to determine acreage allocations.

Technologies & Software

  • Sanders Software Consulting FarmBooks
  • Word processing software
  • Geographic resources analysis support system GRASS
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • SAP software
  • Farm Files Crops
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Datatech The Farmer's Office
  • Trimble Farm Works
  • Staff scheduling software
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Hatchery database systems
  • AgData Blue Skies Accounting
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Ag Connections Land.db
  • Cattlesoft CattleMax
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Oracle NetSuite
  • Microsoft Word
  • TapLogic FarmLogic
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • AgTerra Technologies AgTrac
  • AGCO Advanced Technology Solutions Fieldstar
  • Advanced Veterinary Services Ranch Vision
  • Brihzon Solutions SMART Dairy Resource Planning
  • CDA International Manifold System
  • Argos Software ABECAS Insight
  • Delta Data Systems AGIS
  • Pear Technology Fieldman Farmer
  • MapInfo
  • Email software
  • CattleWorks
  • Countryside Data Ag Payroll
  • Perplexity AI
  • AquaSoft Farm Manager
  • Payroll software
  • ZedX AgFleet
  • AgriSoft/CMC AgriSoft/ERP
  • KELTEC Systems HerdMaster
  • Farm Files Livestock
  • Atlassian Confluence
  • Custom Software Group CSG AgroSys
  • Agevo Farm Manager
  • Microsoft Access
  • Otter.ai
  • Web browser software
  • ESRI ArcPad
  • Facebook
  • Time reporting software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Specialized Data Systems Ultra Farm
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Llama (Meta)
  • TatukGIS Editor
  • Ag Leader Technology SMS Advanced
  • Napkin AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Notion AI
  • Stenco Technologies Farm Trends
  • Red Wing Software CenterPoint Accounting for Agriculture
  • Fish stocking databases
  • Fireflies.ai
  • Resource planning software
  • i.Agri LandMark Farm
  • Accutech Systems Corporation AccuFarm-MGR
  • International Response Technologies CowChip - Ranch House
  • EZ-Ranch
  • Global Mapper Software Global Mapper
  • Global positioning system GPS software
  • Farm Business Software Systems Smart Feeder
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Vertical Solutions Easy-Farm Accounting
  • SST Development Group Stratus
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Innovative Software Solutions Picas
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Sunrise Software CropSave
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Lion Edge Technologies Ranch Manager
  • Motion (AI Scheduler)
  • SST Development Group SSToolbox
  • Midwest MicroSystems Cow Sense
  • Alua Software Paddock Pro
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Trimble AgGPS EZ-Map
  • John Deere Apex Farm Management
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • MapShots EASi Suite
  • DeepSeek
  • DIVA-GIS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ProducePak Mobile Farm Management
  • PigCHAMP Care 3000
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Drainage pumps
  • Round metal files
  • Phillips screwdrivers
  • Digital flowmeters
  • Power nail guns
  • Bar code readers
  • Field cultivators
  • Snowplow attachments
  • Hay balers
  • Chain saws
  • Grain combines
  • Snow blowers
  • Multipurpose pliers
  • Chemical sprayers
  • Egg gathering equipment
  • Branding equipment
  • Powered trailers
  • Drip emitters
  • Claw hammers
  • Cordless power drills
  • Fish holding pens
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Fish collection nets
  • Radiant heaters
  • pH indicators
  • Animal vaccination syringes
  • Milking equipment
  • Power mowers
  • Tongue and groove pliers
  • Personal computers
  • Fertilizer injectors
  • Dump trucks
  • Materials conveyors
  • Pruning tools
  • Four wheel drive 4WD trucks
  • Portable dataloggers
  • Line cutters
  • Seine reels
  • Extended pole pruners
  • Bench scales
  • Extension ladders
  • Fry nets
  • Mulch spreaders
  • Mowing equipment
  • Humidity meters
  • Soil electrical conductivity measurement devices
  • Ozone generators
  • Power monitors
  • Handsaws
  • Fish egg counters
  • Carbon dioxide systems
  • Layout squares
  • Impact sprinklers
  • Portable air compressors
  • Mist control systems
  • pH probes
  • Fish incubators
  • Hay mowing machines
  • Mechanized tilling equipment
  • Light evaluation meters
  • Fish crowders
  • Tubing cutters
  • Garden hoes
  • Manure spreaders
  • Circular saws
  • Handheld computers
  • Animal transportation trailers
  • Adjustable hand wrenches
  • Grain dryers
  • Fish feeders
  • Trenchers
  • Temperature monitors
  • Dip nets
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Brush mowers
  • Fish egg sorters
  • Safety gloves
  • Pneumatic cutters
  • Cage nets
  • Aquaculture tanks
  • Stereo light microscopes
  • Utility knives
  • Corn pickers
  • Dew point meters
  • Composting equipment
  • Power augers
  • Pop-up sprinklers
  • Woodworking chisels
  • Soil thermometers
  • Skid steer machines
  • Fumigation equipment
  • Aerosol foggers
  • Screen filters
  • Handheld dissolved oxygen meters
  • Steam sterilizers
  • Backhoes
  • Fertigation equipment
  • Portable power saws
  • Water filters
  • Field watering systems
  • Fish traps
  • Laptop computers
  • Animal blood collection syringes
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Grain scales
  • Transplanting equipment
  • Biological filters
  • Multipurpose tractors
  • Centrifugal water pumps
  • Water test kits
  • Power nail pullers
  • Weedeaters
  • Tanker trucks
  • Lawn edgers
  • Humidifiers
  • Electric timing devices
  • Livestock castration equipment
  • Hay trucks
  • Turbine water pumps
  • Tablet computers
  • Pneumatic pruners
  • Animal feeders
  • Grease guns
  • Hacksaws
  • Propane torches
  • Spray attachments
  • Poultry incubators
  • Gardening shovels
  • Clockwork belt feeders
  • Sport utility vehicles SUVs
  • Desktop computers
  • Forklifts
  • Backhoe attachments
  • Water level monitors
  • Chipping equipment
  • Hydroponic equipment
  • Fish graders
  • Grain drills
  • Soil pasteurizers
  • Artificial insemination kits
  • Fish counters
  • Aeration pumps
  • Belt conveyor systems
  • Security alarm systems
  • Air compression equipment
  • Microsprinklers
  • Farm trucks
  • Utility forklifts
  • Lawn mowers
  • Farm tractors
  • Trickle irrigators
  • Ultraviolet light UV water disinfection systems
  • Soil mixers
  • Overhead sprinklers
  • Fish transfer pumps
  • Gas-powered generators

Alternative Job Titles