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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Orchard Manager” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #137 of 702. Estimated risk: 4.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Orchard Manager” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Orchard Manager” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Plan, direct, or coordinate the management or operation of farms, ranches, greenhouses, aquacultural operations, nurseries, timber tracts, or other agricultural establishments. May hire, train, and supervise farm workers or contract for services to carry out the day-to-day activities of the managed operation. May engage in or supervise planting, cultivating, harvesting, and financial and marketing activities.

Avg. Annual Salary $97,240
Avg. Hourly Wage $46.75
Available Jobs (US) 5,910
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers #11-9013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Replace chemical insecticides with environmentally friendly practices, such as adding pest-repelling plants to fields.

  • Monitor activities, such as irrigation, chemical application, harvesting, milking, breeding, and grading, to ensure adherence to safety regulations or standards.

  • Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.

  • Conduct or supervise stock examinations to identify diseases or parasites.

  • Supervise the construction of farm or ranch structures, such as buildings, fences, drainage systems, wells, or roads.

  • Direct and monitor trapping and spawning of fish, egg incubation, and fry rearing, applying knowledge of management and fish culturing techniques.

  • Prepare reports required by state and federal laws.

  • Collect and record growth, production, and environmental data.

  • Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules.

  • Analyze soil to determine types or quantities of fertilizer required for maximum crop production.

  • Monitor environments to ensure maintenance of optimum animal or plant life.

  • Coordinate the selection and maintenance of brood stock.

  • Conduct inspections to determine crop maturity or condition or to detect disease or insect infestation.

  • Analyze market conditions to determine acreage allocations.

  • Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers.

  • Determine how to allocate resources and to respond to unanticipated problems, such as insect infestation, drought, and fire.

  • Direct and monitor the transfer of mature fish to lakes, ponds, streams, or commercial tanks.

  • Direct the breeding or raising of stock, such as cattle, poultry, or honeybees, using recognized breeding practices to ensure stock improvement.

  • Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work.

  • Negotiate with buyers for the sale, storage, or shipment of crops or livestock.

  • Evaluate marketing or sales alternatives for products.

  • Devise and participate in activities to improve fish hatching and growth rates, and to prevent disease in hatcheries.

  • Direct crop production operations, such as planning, tilling, planting, fertilizing, cultivating, spraying, and harvesting.

  • Obtain financing for and purchase necessary machinery, land, supplies, or livestock.

  • Determine, administer, and execute policies relating to operations administration and standards, facility maintenance, and safety.

  • Provide information to customers on the care of trees, shrubs, flowers, plants, and lawns.

  • Hire, supervise, and train support workers.

  • Determine types or quantities of crops, plants, or livestock to be grown and raised, based on budgets, federal incentives, market conditions, executive directives, projected sales volumes, or soil conditions.

  • Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities.

  • Maintain financial, operational, production, or employment records for farms or ranches.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Visio
  • Red Wing Software CenterPoint Accounting for Agriculture
  • Email software
  • DeepSeek
  • Trimble AgGPS EZ-Map
  • ProducePak Mobile Farm Management
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • DIVA-GIS
  • Napkin AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Agevo Farm Manager
  • Pear Technology Fieldman Farmer
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Fish stocking databases
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • MapInfo
  • Farm Business Software Systems Smart Feeder
  • ZedX AgFleet
  • TapLogic FarmLogic
  • Countryside Data Ag Payroll
  • Custom Software Group CSG AgroSys
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Atlassian Confluence
  • Hatchery database systems
  • Staff scheduling software
  • Specialized Data Systems Ultra Farm
  • Midwest MicroSystems Cow Sense
  • Microsoft Access
  • SST Development Group Stratus
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Perplexity AI
  • Ag Leader Technology SMS Advanced
  • Resource planning software
  • Payroll software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Delta Data Systems AGIS
  • AGCO Advanced Technology Solutions Fieldstar
  • CattleWorks
  • Trimble Farm Works
  • Notion AI
  • EZ-Ranch
  • Cattlesoft CattleMax
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Argos Software ABECAS Insight
  • MapShots EASi Suite
  • Web browser software
  • Global Mapper Software Global Mapper
  • Global positioning system GPS software
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Datatech The Farmer's Office
  • Motion (AI Scheduler)
  • SAP software
  • Sanders Software Consulting FarmBooks
  • Alua Software Paddock Pro
  • Time reporting software
  • John Deere Apex Farm Management
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Farm Files Livestock
  • PigCHAMP Care 3000
  • TatukGIS Editor
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Otter.ai
  • Brihzon Solutions SMART Dairy Resource Planning
  • AgData Blue Skies Accounting
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Stenco Technologies Farm Trends
  • Microsoft Word
  • Sunrise Software CropSave
  • Ag Connections Land.db
  • i.Agri LandMark Farm
  • Accutech Systems Corporation AccuFarm-MGR
  • International Response Technologies CowChip - Ranch House
  • Fireflies.ai
  • Lion Edge Technologies Ranch Manager
  • AgriSoft/CMC AgriSoft/ERP
  • Word processing software
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Farm Files Crops
  • Grok (xAI)
  • AquaSoft Farm Manager
  • ESRI ArcPad
  • AgTerra Technologies AgTrac
  • SST Development Group SSToolbox
  • Geographic resources analysis support system GRASS
  • Advanced Veterinary Services Ranch Vision
  • Facebook
  • Oracle NetSuite
  • KELTEC Systems HerdMaster
  • CDA International Manifold System
  • Innovative Software Solutions Picas
  • Vertical Solutions Easy-Farm Accounting
  • Skid steer machines
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Power mowers
  • Branding equipment
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Milking equipment
  • Claw hammers
  • Tubing cutters
  • Brush mowers
  • Security alarm systems
  • Microsprinklers
  • Aerosol foggers
  • Mist control systems
  • Soil thermometers
  • Clockwork belt feeders
  • Dew point meters
  • Handheld computers
  • Fish traps
  • Forklifts
  • Light evaluation meters
  • Chain saws
  • Materials conveyors
  • Soil pasteurizers
  • Power monitors
  • Desktop computers
  • Backhoes
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Fumigation equipment
  • Chipping equipment
  • Adjustable hand wrenches
  • Screen filters
  • Pop-up sprinklers
  • Powered trailers
  • Grain dryers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Portable air compressors
  • Animal feeders
  • Hay trucks
  • Fertigation equipment
  • Mulch spreaders
  • pH probes
  • Circular saws
  • Soil electrical conductivity measurement devices
  • Electric timing devices
  • Laptop computers
  • Fish counters
  • Farm tractors
  • Turbine water pumps
  • Digital flowmeters
  • Bar code readers
  • Safety gloves
  • Hay mowing machines
  • Backhoe attachments
  • Impact sprinklers
  • Biological filters
  • Belt conveyor systems
  • Fish crowders
  • Poultry incubators
  • Lawn mowers
  • Soil mixers
  • Grain drills
  • Pneumatic cutters
  • Farm trucks
  • Hacksaws
  • Portable power saws
  • Fish transfer pumps
  • Fish graders
  • Aeration pumps
  • Humidity meters
  • Round metal files
  • Gardening shovels
  • Extension ladders
  • Ultraviolet light UV water disinfection systems
  • Multipurpose tractors
  • Mowing equipment
  • Propane torches
  • Transplanting equipment
  • Four wheel drive 4WD trucks
  • Layout squares
  • Handheld dissolved oxygen meters
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Livestock castration equipment
  • Fish holding pens
  • Trenchers
  • Artificial insemination kits
  • Field cultivators
  • Utility knives
  • Pneumatic pruners
  • Spray attachments
  • Humidifiers
  • Centrifugal water pumps
  • Fish incubators
  • Water filters
  • Aquaculture tanks
  • Garden hoes
  • Chemical sprayers
  • Fish feeders
  • Tanker trucks
  • Tablet computers
  • Grain combines
  • Line cutters
  • Radiant heaters
  • Air compression equipment
  • Fish egg counters
  • Cage nets
  • Bench scales
  • Pruning tools
  • Extended pole pruners
  • Field watering systems
  • Animal transportation trailers
  • Composting equipment
  • Fish collection nets
  • Woodworking chisels
  • Hay balers
  • Carbon dioxide systems
  • Power nail pullers
  • pH indicators
  • Portable dataloggers
  • Cordless power drills
  • Animal vaccination syringes
  • Sport utility vehicles SUVs
  • Overhead sprinklers
  • Grease guns
  • Water test kits
  • Handsaws
  • Trickle irrigators
  • Dump trucks
  • Lawn edgers
  • Weedeaters
  • Animal blood collection syringes
  • Drip emitters
  • Personal computers
  • Snowplow attachments
  • Power augers
  • Hydroponic equipment
  • Utility forklifts
  • Multipurpose pliers
  • Mechanized tilling equipment
  • Dip nets
  • Tongue and groove pliers
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Fish egg sorters
  • Seine reels
  • Steam sterilizers
  • Egg gathering equipment
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Phillips screwdrivers
  • Manure spreaders
  • Snow blowers
  • Ozone generators
  • Power nail guns
  • Stereo light microscopes
  • Corn pickers
  • Grain scales
  • Fry nets
  • Water level monitors
  • Temperature monitors
  • Fertilizer injectors
  • Drainage pumps

Alternative Job Titles