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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Orchard Manager” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #137 of 702. Estimated risk: 4.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Orchard Manager” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Orchard Manager” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Plan, direct, or coordinate the management or operation of farms, ranches, greenhouses, aquacultural operations, nurseries, timber tracts, or other agricultural establishments. May hire, train, and supervise farm workers or contract for services to carry out the day-to-day activities of the managed operation. May engage in or supervise planting, cultivating, harvesting, and financial and marketing activities.

Avg. Annual Salary $97,240
Avg. Hourly Wage $46.75
Available Jobs (US) 5,910
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers #11-9013
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Negotiate with buyers for the sale, storage, or shipment of crops or livestock.

  • Collect and record growth, production, and environmental data.

  • Conduct inspections to determine crop maturity or condition or to detect disease or insect infestation.

  • Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules.

  • Provide information to customers on the care of trees, shrubs, flowers, plants, and lawns.

  • Supervise the construction of farm or ranch structures, such as buildings, fences, drainage systems, wells, or roads.

  • Conduct or supervise stock examinations to identify diseases or parasites.

  • Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work.

  • Direct crop production operations, such as planning, tilling, planting, fertilizing, cultivating, spraying, and harvesting.

  • Hire, supervise, and train support workers.

  • Direct the breeding or raising of stock, such as cattle, poultry, or honeybees, using recognized breeding practices to ensure stock improvement.

  • Replace chemical insecticides with environmentally friendly practices, such as adding pest-repelling plants to fields.

  • Maintain financial, operational, production, or employment records for farms or ranches.

  • Coordinate the selection and maintenance of brood stock.

  • Analyze market conditions to determine acreage allocations.

  • Obtain financing for and purchase necessary machinery, land, supplies, or livestock.

  • Direct and monitor the transfer of mature fish to lakes, ponds, streams, or commercial tanks.

  • Devise and participate in activities to improve fish hatching and growth rates, and to prevent disease in hatcheries.

  • Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers.

  • Evaluate marketing or sales alternatives for products.

  • Prepare reports required by state and federal laws.

  • Monitor environments to ensure maintenance of optimum animal or plant life.

  • Monitor activities, such as irrigation, chemical application, harvesting, milking, breeding, and grading, to ensure adherence to safety regulations or standards.

  • Determine types or quantities of crops, plants, or livestock to be grown and raised, based on budgets, federal incentives, market conditions, executive directives, projected sales volumes, or soil conditions.

  • Determine, administer, and execute policies relating to operations administration and standards, facility maintenance, and safety.

  • Determine how to allocate resources and to respond to unanticipated problems, such as insect infestation, drought, and fire.

  • Direct and monitor trapping and spawning of fish, egg incubation, and fry rearing, applying knowledge of management and fish culturing techniques.

  • Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.

  • Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities.

  • Analyze soil to determine types or quantities of fertilizer required for maximum crop production.

Technologies & Software

  • Geographic resources analysis support system GRASS
  • ESRI ArcPad
  • ZedX AgFleet
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SST Development Group Stratus
  • AgriSoft/CMC AgriSoft/ERP
  • Ag Connections Land.db
  • Farm Business Software Systems Smart Feeder
  • SAP software
  • Lion Edge Technologies Ranch Manager
  • i.Agri LandMark Farm
  • Argos Software ABECAS Insight
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Atlassian Confluence
  • AgTerra Technologies AgTrac
  • AgData Blue Skies Accounting
  • PigCHAMP Care 3000
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • CattleWorks
  • Trimble Farm Works
  • MapInfo
  • Global Mapper Software Global Mapper
  • ProducePak Mobile Farm Management
  • Stenco Technologies Farm Trends
  • Microsoft Word
  • Sanders Software Consulting FarmBooks
  • Facebook
  • Farm Files Livestock
  • AquaSoft Farm Manager
  • TatukGIS Editor
  • TapLogic FarmLogic
  • AGCO Advanced Technology Solutions Fieldstar
  • Red Wing Software CenterPoint Accounting for Agriculture
  • DeepSeek
  • Accutech Systems Corporation AccuFarm-MGR
  • Sunrise Software CropSave
  • Oracle NetSuite
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • KELTEC Systems HerdMaster
  • Cattlesoft CattleMax
  • Countryside Data Ag Payroll
  • Microsoft Visio
  • CDA International Manifold System
  • Pear Technology Fieldman Farmer
  • Fish stocking databases
  • Email software
  • Innovative Software Solutions Picas
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • MapShots EASi Suite
  • Midwest MicroSystems Cow Sense
  • Hatchery database systems
  • Advanced Veterinary Services Ranch Vision
  • Ag Leader Technology SMS Advanced
  • Notion AI
  • Global positioning system GPS software
  • SST Development Group SSToolbox
  • Microsoft Copilot
  • Alua Software Paddock Pro
  • Vertical Solutions Easy-Farm Accounting
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Access
  • Brihzon Solutions SMART Dairy Resource Planning
  • Trimble AgGPS EZ-Map
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Otter.ai
  • EZ-Ranch
  • Delta Data Systems AGIS
  • International Response Technologies CowChip - Ranch House
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Custom Software Group CSG AgroSys
  • Agevo Farm Manager
  • Time reporting software
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Motion (AI Scheduler)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • John Deere Apex Farm Management
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Specialized Data Systems Ultra Farm
  • Payroll software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Farm Files Crops
  • Word processing software
  • Napkin AI
  • Web browser software
  • Resource planning software
  • Fireflies.ai
  • DIVA-GIS
  • Staff scheduling software
  • Datatech The Farmer's Office
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Extended pole pruners
  • Fish crowders
  • Round metal files
  • Grain combines
  • Water test kits
  • Claw hammers
  • Woodworking chisels
  • Mechanized tilling equipment
  • Light evaluation meters
  • Desktop computers
  • Pruning tools
  • Fertigation equipment
  • Aquaculture tanks
  • Biological filters
  • Propane torches
  • Cage nets
  • Humidity meters
  • Power monitors
  • pH indicators
  • Fish holding pens
  • Manure spreaders
  • Tanker trucks
  • Farm tractors
  • Brush mowers
  • Portable air compressors
  • Bench scales
  • Impact sprinklers
  • Gardening shovels
  • Powered trailers
  • Corn pickers
  • Aerosol foggers
  • Carbon dioxide systems
  • Belt conveyor systems
  • Pneumatic pruners
  • Bar code readers
  • Backhoe attachments
  • Cordless power drills
  • Soil pasteurizers
  • Egg gathering equipment
  • Hacksaws
  • Fish egg sorters
  • Screen filters
  • Trenchers
  • Fish graders
  • Mist control systems
  • Animal feeders
  • Four wheel drive 4WD trucks
  • Sport utility vehicles SUVs
  • Trickle irrigators
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Lawn edgers
  • Poultry incubators
  • Fish incubators
  • Tablet computers
  • Overhead sprinklers
  • Soil electrical conductivity measurement devices
  • Soil mixers
  • Power nail guns
  • Drip emitters
  • Ozone generators
  • Field cultivators
  • Livestock castration equipment
  • Aeration pumps
  • Materials conveyors
  • Fish traps
  • Security alarm systems
  • Utility forklifts
  • Handheld dissolved oxygen meters
  • Hydroponic equipment
  • Multipurpose pliers
  • Tubing cutters
  • Soil thermometers
  • Power mowers
  • Fish transfer pumps
  • Pneumatic cutters
  • Fish feeders
  • Power nail pullers
  • Artificial insemination kits
  • Fry nets
  • Steam sterilizers
  • Dew point meters
  • Field watering systems
  • Spray attachments
  • Grain dryers
  • Layout squares
  • Water level monitors
  • Hay trucks
  • Snowplow attachments
  • Animal vaccination syringes
  • Weedeaters
  • Forklifts
  • Dump trucks
  • Dip nets
  • Humidifiers
  • Fish collection nets
  • Fertilizer injectors
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Air compression equipment
  • Grease guns
  • Circular saws
  • Multipurpose tractors
  • Hay mowing machines
  • Laptop computers
  • Animal transportation trailers
  • Digital flowmeters
  • Backhoes
  • Phillips screwdrivers
  • Animal blood collection syringes
  • Clockwork belt feeders
  • Utility knives
  • Skid steer machines
  • Microsprinklers
  • Stereo light microscopes
  • Portable power saws
  • Grain drills
  • Ultraviolet light UV water disinfection systems
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Extension ladders
  • Fumigation equipment
  • Handsaws
  • Safety gloves
  • Mowing equipment
  • Chemical sprayers
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Temperature monitors
  • Farm trucks
  • Composting equipment
  • Portable dataloggers
  • Turbine water pumps
  • Adjustable hand wrenches
  • Transplanting equipment
  • Electric timing devices
  • Lawn mowers
  • Hay balers
  • Personal computers
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Grain scales
  • Snow blowers
  • Power augers
  • Handheld computers
  • Mulch spreaders
  • Line cutters
  • Drainage pumps
  • Fish egg counters
  • Centrifugal water pumps
  • Pop-up sprinklers
  • Fish counters
  • Milking equipment
  • Water filters
  • Tongue and groove pliers
  • Branding equipment
  • Chipping equipment
  • Radiant heaters
  • pH probes
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Garden hoes
  • Chain saws
  • Seine reels
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers

Alternative Job Titles