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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • QuarkXPress
  • Napkin AI
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Project
  • Runway ML
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Python
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Siemens NX
  • Microsoft Access
  • Email software
  • Udio
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Verilog
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • jQuery
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Perplexity AI
  • IBM Notes
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Midjourney
  • Corel Painter
  • Recraft
  • Apple iOS
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ElevenLabs
  • CapCut AI
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Microsoft Excel
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • C++
  • Apache Maven
  • Autodesk Maya
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Eko
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • C#
  • SAP software
  • LoveArt AI
  • Web browser software
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • C
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • JavaScript
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Kapwing
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Adobe After Effects
  • Suno AI
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Figma
  • InVision software
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Minitab
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Laptop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors