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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

Technologies & Software

  • Siemens NX
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • C++
  • CapCut AI
  • Minitab
  • Microsoft Access
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Figma
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Napkin AI
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • jQuery
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Grok (xAI)
  • QuarkXPress
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Runway ML
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Python
  • LoveArt AI
  • Suno AI
  • Microsoft Project
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Apple iOS
  • Recraft
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • C#
  • Apache Maven
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Perplexity AI
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • InVision software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Finite element analysis software
  • C
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Eko
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ElevenLabs
  • Verilog
  • Adobe After Effects
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Web browser software
  • Udio
  • Kapwing
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • JavaScript
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Microsoft Word
  • Email software
  • Midjourney
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Delphi Technology
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Corel Painter
  • Autodesk Maya
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • SAP software
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Desktop computers
  • Laptop computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Personal computers